Adair County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 10,239 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KV3KV3 | 656 | 1,266 | 29 | 1,951 | 33.6% | 64.9% | R+31.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -RURAL BENTONRURAL BENTON | 497 | 1,281 | 21 | 1,799 | 27.6% | 71.2% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -KV2KV2 | 635 | 1,084 | 29 | 1,748 | 36.3% | 62.0% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -NOVINGERNOVINGER | 353 | 1,079 | 11 | 1,443 | 24.5% | 74.8% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -KV1KV1 | 404 | 724 | 15 | 1,143 | 35.3% | 63.3% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -BRASHEARBRASHEAR | 271 | 766 | 12 | 1,049 | 25.8% | 73.0% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -KV4KV4 | 412 | 508 | 14 | 934 | 44.1% | 54.4% | R+10.3 |
| Precinct -TSUTSU | 106 | 63 | 3 | 172 | 61.6% | 36.6% | D+25.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −23.4% |
| 1896 | −1.9% |
| 1900 | −9.8% |
| 1904 | −22.8% |
| 1908 | −10.7% |
| 1912 | +7.3% |
| 1916 | −7.7% |
| 1920 | −29.5% |
| 1924 | −19.3% |
| 1928 | −32.0% |
| 1932 | +21.0% |
| 1936 | +6.2% |
| 1940 | −8.3% |
| 1944 | −15.3% |
| 1948 | +1.4% |
| 1952 | −26.4% |
| 1956 | −21.8% |
| 1960 | −26.8% |
| 1964 | +8.5% |
| 1968 | −25.2% |
| 1972 | −45.8% |
| 1976 | −17.1% |
| 1980 | −21.1% |
| 1984 | −34.7% |
| 1988 | −23.0% |
| 1992 | +0.9% |
| 1996 | −2.1% |
| 2000 | −18.5% |
| 2004 | −12.5% |
| 2008 | −1.3% |
| 2012 | −14.1% |
| 2016 | −24.7% |
| 2020 | −26.2% |
| 2024 | −33.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,216 |
| 2018 | 14,113 |
| 2020 | 14,908 |
| 2022 | 14,824 |
| 2024 | 14,508 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−209 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,009 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,749 in average income, against $62,953 for residents who stayed — 35% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+50.4 on average — 17 points more Republican-leaning than Adair County, MO itself (R+33.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Macon County, MO39R+61.5
- Sullivan County, MO38R+66.1
- Boone County, MO28D+9.7
- Schuyler County, MO27R+64.5
- Knox County, MO20R+64.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Boone County, MO53
- Macon County, MO46
- Schuyler County, MO29
- St. Louis County, MO25
- Franklin County, OH25
- St. Louis city, MO22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −102 |
| 2012 | −118 |
| 2013 | −45 |
| 2014 | −269 |
| 2015 | −307 |
| 2016 | −249 |
| 2017 | +21 |
| 2018 | −100 |
| 2019 | −307 |
| 2021 | −167 |
| 2022 | −134 |
| 2023 | −149 |
| 2024 | +126 |
| 2025 | −209 |
Kirksville's presence as home to Truman State University tempers but doesn't reverse Adair County's strong Republican lean, which widened to R+33.6 in 2024 despite the college-town demographic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 45.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.6 points.
A population of 25,301, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,536 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Johnson County and Crawford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Adair County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.