- Lead
- 537
- Total
- 4,331
- vs nation
- D+13.9
- Turnout
- 36.4%
Bethel Census Area, AK
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 36.4% of 11,888 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,452
- Total
- 5,144
- vs nation
- D+23.8
- Turnout
- 44.4%
- Lead
- 1,646
- Total
- 5,014
- vs nation
- D+30.9
- Turnout
- 44.3%
- Lead
- 2,293
- Total
- 4,770
- vs nation
- D+44.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 445
- Total
- 5,172
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 70
- Total
- 4,510
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 205
- Total
- 4,799
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,317
- Total
- 4,818
- vs nation
- D+18.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,3942024 5-year
- Population density
- 0.45 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 40,661 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,9962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.7 in 1960MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nome Census Area, AK · twin score 96.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 36.4%4,331 participants ÷ 11,888 CVAP
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,331 | 11,888 ± 161 | 36.4% | Audited | C/A | |
| 5,144 | 11,592 ± 132 | 44.4% | Audited | C/A | |
| 5,014 | 11,319 ± 114 | 44.3% | Audited | C/A | |
| 4,770 | 10,832 | 44.0% | Derived | — | |
| 5,172 | 10,941 | 47.3% | Derived | — | |
| 4,510 | 11,050 extrapolated | 40.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2020, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 62 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
62 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 37-746 Sleetmute746 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38-800 Akiachak800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-802 Akiak802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-804 Aniak804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-806 Atmautluak806 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-808 Bethel No. 1808 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-810 Bethel No. 2810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-812 Chefornak812 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-814 Chuathbaluk814 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-816 Crooked Creek816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-818 Eek818 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-820 Goodnews Bay820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-822 Kasigluk822 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-824 Kipnuk824 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-826 Kongiganak826 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-828 Kwethluk828 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-830 Kwigillingok830 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-832 Lower Kalskag832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-836 Mekoryuk836 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-838 Napakiak838 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-840 Napaskiak840 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-842 Newtok842 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-844 Nightmute844 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-846 Nunapitchuk846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-848 Quinhagak848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-852 Toksook Bay852 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-854 Tuluksak854 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-856 Tuntutuliak856 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-858 Tununak858 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-860 Upper Kalskag860 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Akiachak Precinct800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Akiak Precinct802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Aniak Precinct (Part; Also See Part In Wade Hampton Census Area)510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atmautluak Precinct804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethel No. 1 Precinct806 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethel No. 2 Precinct808 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethel No. 3 Precinct810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chefornak Precinct812 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chuathbaluk Precinct540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crooked Creek Precinct545 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eek Precinct814 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goodnews Bay Precinct816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kasigluk Precinct820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kipnuk Precinct822 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kongiganak Precinct824 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kwethluk Precinct826 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kwigillingok Precinct828 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lower Kalskag Precinct830 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mcgrath Precinct (Part; Also See Part In Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area)610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mekoryuk Precinct832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Napakiak Precinct834 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Napaskiak Precinct836 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newtok Precinct838 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nightmute Precinct840 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nunapitchuk Precinct842 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Quinhagak Precinct844 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sleetmute Precinct665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Toksook Bay Precinct846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tuluksak Precinct848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tuntutuliak Precinct850 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tununak Precinct852 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Upper Kalskag Precinct818 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Bethel Census Area, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
86.5%
1,649 votes · D+73.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 71.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
67.4%
786 votes · R+34.7
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 51.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
3,415votes
71.6% of the vote · D+48.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,135 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
2,401votes
51.5% of the vote · R+6.4
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 2,250 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+50.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+73.1 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · +45.5 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+34.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.7 · U.S. D+0.2
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1992 · +5.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Bethel Census Area, AK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 4.0 points more Democratic than the rolls.
11,264 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−229 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,212 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,301 in average income, against $54,996 for residents who stayed — 1% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+4.7 on average — 7.7 points more Republican-leaning than Bethel Census Area, AK itself (D+12.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anchorage Municipality, AK67D+1.4
- Kusilvak Census Area, AK20D+15.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK137
- Kusilvak Census Area, AK23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −26 |
| 2012 | −63 |
| 2013 | −166 |
| 2014 | −276 |
| 2015 | −281 |
| 2016 | −259 |
| 2017 | −235 |
| 2018 | −135 |
| 2019 | −88 |
| 2021 | −299 |
| 2022 | −592 |
| 2023 | −344 |
| 2024 | −219 |
| 2025 | −229 |
Bethel Census Area spans a roadless stretch of western Alaska where Yup'ik communities make up the majority of the population, producing Democratic margins that stand out sharply against the state's otherwise Republican-leaning presidential map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 34.7 points in 1960. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 15.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.4 points.
A population of 18,394, a 8% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,996 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nome Census Area and Dillingham Census Area.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bethel Census Area, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02050/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.