Lenoir County, North Carolina: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 54,9192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $45,1432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 39.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lee County, NC · similarity 0.92
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +15.4% |
| 1896 | +16.5% |
| 1900 | +22.7% |
| 1904 | +34.5% |
| 1908 | +18.1% |
| 1912 | +71.0% |
| 1916 | +42.8% |
| 1920 | +37.9% |
| 1924 | +61.4% |
| 1928 | +28.6% |
| 1932 | +85.7% |
| 1936 | +88.7% |
| 1940 | +86.8% |
| 1944 | +80.9% |
| 1948 | +80.2% |
| 1952 | +50.1% |
| 1956 | +45.5% |
| 1960 | +37.9% |
| 1964 | +15.1% |
| 1968 | +0.1% |
| 1972 | −49.4% |
| 1976 | −0.4% |
| 1980 | −12.9% |
| 1984 | −21.7% |
| 1988 | −16.5% |
| 1992 | −0.7% |
| 1996 | −4.2% |
| 2000 | +9.4% |
| 2004 | −11.8% |
| 2008 | −0.1% |
| 2012 | −0.1% |
| 2016 | −3.7% |
| 2020 | −3.5% |
| 2024 | −6.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,700 | 14,564 | 27,503 | ||
| R | 13,605 | 14,590 | 28,409 | ||
| R | 12,634 | 13,613 | 26,807 | ||
| R | 13,948 | 13,980 | 28,086 | ||
| R | 13,378 | 13,401 | 26,897 | ||
| R | 10,207 | 12,939 | 23,179 | ||
| D | 11,512 | 9,527 | 21,163 | ||
| R | 8,635 | 9,433 | 18,925 | ||
| R | 8,793 | 8,932 | 19,842 | ||
| R | 7,649 | 10,669 | 18,353 | ||
| R | 8,556 | 13,321 | 21,914 | ||
| R | 7,546 | 9,832 | 17,714 | ||
| R | 7,650 | 7,715 | 15,474 | ||
| R | 3,672 | 11,065 | 14,975 | ||
| O | 3,853 | 3,844 | 15,733 | ||
| D | 7,617 | 5,617 | 13,234 | ||
| D | 8,126 | 3,658 | 11,784 | ||
| D | 6,847 | 2,564 | 9,411 | ||
| D | 6,723 | 2,233 | 8,956 | ||
| D | 5,445 | 515 | 6,150 | ||
| D | 5,253 | 554 | 5,807 | ||
| D | 6,247 | 440 | 6,687 | ||
| D | 5,854 | 351 | 6,205 | ||
| D | 4,677 | 350 | 5,051 | ||
| D | 2,363 | 1,311 | 3,674 | ||
| D | 2,191 | 514 | 2,730 | ||
| D | 2,560 | 1,153 | 3,713 | ||
| D | 1,666 | 667 | 2,335 | ||
| D | 1,568 | 122 | 2,037 | ||
| D | 1,393 | 966 | 2,362 | ||
| D | 1,386 | 674 | 2,061 | ||
| D | 1,942 | 1,224 | 3,166 | ||
| D | 1,966 | 1,410 | 3,378 | ||
| D | 1,388 | 957 | 2,800 | ||
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Demographics
Lenoir County's population has declined roughly 15% over two decades as manufacturing contracted, and its electorate — once reliably Democratic in statewide races — has shifted toward Republicans in each of the last four presidential cycles.
The Democratic margin here reached eighty-nine points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $45,143 and a 22% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lee County and Alamance County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lenoir County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
