Lenoir County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 27,503 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FCFC | 977 | 2,101 | 23 | 3,101 | 31.5% | 67.8% | R+36.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MHMH | 1,268 | 1,488 | 26 | 2,782 | 45.6% | 53.5% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -NN | 715 | 1,566 | 19 | 2,300 | 31.1% | 68.1% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -K4K4 | 1,080 | 875 | 24 | 1,979 | 54.6% | 44.2% | D+10.4 |
| Precinct -CC | 691 | 980 | 11 | 1,682 | 41.1% | 58.3% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -VV | 769 | 751 | 8 | 1,528 | 50.3% | 49.1% | D+1.2 |
| Precinct -K9K9 | 1,062 | 416 | 14 | 1,492 | 71.2% | 27.9% | D+43.3 |
| Precinct -II | 461 | 927 | 12 | 1,400 | 32.9% | 66.2% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -K6K6 | 1,066 | 209 | 12 | 1,287 | 82.8% | 16.2% | D+66.6 |
| Precinct -K7K7 | 922 | 224 | 8 | 1,154 | 79.9% | 19.4% | D+60.5 |
| Precinct -T1T1 | 167 | 853 | 7 | 1,027 | 16.3% | 83.1% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -K5K5 | 775 | 219 | 22 | 1,016 | 76.3% | 21.6% | D+54.7 |
| Precinct -WW | 121 | 777 | 5 | 903 | 13.4% | 86.0% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -PH2PH2 | 143 | 732 | 6 | 881 | 16.2% | 83.1% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -T2T2 | 126 | 721 | 8 | 855 | 14.7% | 84.3% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -K3K3 | 653 | 162 | 5 | 820 | 79.6% | 19.8% | D+59.9 |
| Precinct -SWSW | 160 | 641 | 6 | 807 | 19.8% | 79.4% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -K8K8 | 567 | 27 | 7 | 601 | 94.3% | 4.5% | D+89.9 |
| Precinct -SHSH | 101 | 446 | 2 | 549 | 18.4% | 81.2% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -K2K2 | 463 | 34 | 4 | 501 | 92.4% | 6.8% | D+85.6 |
| Precinct -PH1PH1 | 74 | 410 | 6 | 490 | 15.1% | 83.7% | R+68.6 |
| Precinct -K1K1 | 339 | 5 | 4 | 348 | 97.4% | 1.4% | D+96.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.4% |
| 1896 | +16.5% |
| 1900 | +22.7% |
| 1904 | +34.5% |
| 1908 | +18.1% |
| 1912 | +71.0% |
| 1916 | +42.8% |
| 1920 | +37.9% |
| 1924 | +61.4% |
| 1928 | +28.6% |
| 1932 | +85.7% |
| 1936 | +88.7% |
| 1940 | +86.8% |
| 1944 | +80.9% |
| 1948 | +80.2% |
| 1952 | +50.1% |
| 1956 | +45.5% |
| 1960 | +37.9% |
| 1964 | +15.1% |
| 1968 | +0.1% |
| 1972 | −49.4% |
| 1976 | −0.4% |
| 1980 | −12.9% |
| 1984 | −21.7% |
| 1988 | −16.5% |
| 1992 | −0.7% |
| 1996 | −4.2% |
| 2000 | −9.4% |
| 2004 | −11.8% |
| 2008 | −0.1% |
| 2012 | −0.1% |
| 2016 | −3.7% |
| 2020 | −3.5% |
| 2024 | −6.8% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 42.1%7,872 | 55.9%10,452 | 18,684 |
| 2020 | R | 47.2%13,284 | 49.4%13,898 | 28,119 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Lenoir County, NC registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 20-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 37,847 | 23,862 | 8,858 | 5,117 | 10 |
| 2012 | 40,152 | 23,955 | 9,682 | 6,465 | 50 |
| 2016 | 39,627 | 21,924 | 9,712 | 7,893 | 98 |
| 2020 | 38,569 | 18,787 | 10,347 | 9,279 | 156 |
| 2022 | 37,246 | 16,885 | 10,222 | 9,994 | 145 |
| 2024 | 39,568 | 16,310 | 10,965 | 11,874 | 419 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+563 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,468 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,728 in average income, against $58,548 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+11.2 on average — 4.4 points more Republican-leaning than Lenoir County, NC itself (R+6.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wayne County, NC206R+16.4
- Pitt County, NC194D+6.0
- Greene County, NC85R+18.1
- Duplin County, NC73R+28.9
- Wake County, NC69D+25.4
- Onslow County, NC65R+35.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pitt County, NC188
- Wayne County, NC141
- Greene County, NC87
- Wake County, NC71
- Duplin County, NC56
- Onslow County, NC39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −80 |
| 2012 | −310 |
| 2013 | −325 |
| 2014 | −463 |
| 2015 | −277 |
| 2016 | −667 |
| 2017 | −518 |
| 2018 | −546 |
| 2019 | +80 |
| 2021 | −113 |
| 2022 | +131 |
| 2023 | +552 |
| 2024 | +505 |
| 2025 | +563 |
Lenoir County's population has declined roughly 15% over two decades as manufacturing contracted, and its electorate — once reliably Democratic in statewide races — has shifted toward Republicans in each of the last four presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 49.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.8 points.
A population of 54,919, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,143 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Nash County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lenoir County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.