Nash County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 52,471 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -P08AP08A | 2,673 | 3,030 | 42 | 5,745 | 46.5% | 52.7% | R+6.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -P19AP19A | 2,372 | 1,984 | 83 | 4,439 | 53.4% | 44.7% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -P15AP15A | 1,424 | 2,172 | 29 | 3,625 | 39.3% | 59.9% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct -P17AP17A | 2,125 | 866 | 57 | 3,048 | 69.7% | 28.4% | D+41.3 |
| Precinct -P11AP11A | 690 | 2,035 | 24 | 2,749 | 25.1% | 74.0% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -P05AP05A | 507 | 2,170 | 23 | 2,700 | 18.8% | 80.4% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -P01AP01A | 909 | 1,739 | 25 | 2,673 | 34.0% | 65.1% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -P24AP24A | 835 | 1,707 | 18 | 2,560 | 32.6% | 66.7% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -P06AP06A | 1,191 | 1,164 | 24 | 2,379 | 50.1% | 48.9% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -P23AP23A | 1,809 | 320 | 17 | 2,146 | 84.3% | 14.9% | D+69.4 |
| Precinct -P18AP18A | 1,487 | 601 | 31 | 2,119 | 70.2% | 28.4% | D+41.8 |
| Precinct -P20AP20A | 1,227 | 859 | 22 | 2,108 | 58.2% | 40.7% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct -P21AP21A | 1,445 | 548 | 32 | 2,025 | 71.4% | 27.1% | D+44.3 |
| Precinct -P02AP02A | 677 | 1,246 | 21 | 1,944 | 34.8% | 64.1% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -P16AP16A | 1,014 | 667 | 7 | 1,688 | 60.1% | 39.5% | D+20.6 |
| Precinct -P10AP10A | 993 | 605 | 11 | 1,609 | 61.7% | 37.6% | D+24.1 |
| Precinct -P03AP03A | 443 | 1,076 | 14 | 1,533 | 28.9% | 70.2% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -P04AP04A | 496 | 994 | 11 | 1,501 | 33.0% | 66.2% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -P14AP14A | 574 | 767 | 12 | 1,353 | 42.4% | 56.7% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -P22AP22A | 1,092 | 137 | 9 | 1,238 | 88.2% | 11.1% | D+77.1 |
| Precinct -P09AP09A | 470 | 655 | 8 | 1,133 | 41.5% | 57.8% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct -P12AP12A | 436 | 402 | 8 | 846 | 51.5% | 47.5% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -P07AP07A | 200 | 521 | 2 | 723 | 27.7% | 72.1% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -P13AP13A | 419 | 166 | 2 | 587 | 71.4% | 28.3% | D+43.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +18.6% |
| 1896 | +26.4% |
| 1900 | +32.1% |
| 1904 | +37.7% |
| 1908 | +11.4% |
| 1912 | +63.7% |
| 1916 | +44.9% |
| 1920 | +44.3% |
| 1924 | +56.5% |
| 1928 | +34.6% |
| 1932 | +86.2% |
| 1936 | +88.8% |
| 1940 | +86.5% |
| 1944 | +79.3% |
| 1948 | +80.5% |
| 1952 | +59.6% |
| 1956 | +57.8% |
| 1960 | +44.3% |
| 1964 | +17.8% |
| 1968 | +3.6% |
| 1972 | −46.0% |
| 1976 | +2.6% |
| 1980 | −14.6% |
| 1984 | −33.6% |
| 1988 | −29.0% |
| 1992 | −12.2% |
| 1996 | −14.7% |
| 2000 | −18.4% |
| 2004 | −16.5% |
| 2008 | −1.3% |
| 2012 | +1.0% |
| 2016 | −0.2% |
| 2020 | +0.2% |
| 2024 | −1.8% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 45.9%16,401 | 52.6%18,796 | 35,726 |
| 2020 | D | 49.1%25,474 | 47.6%24,719 | 51,895 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Nash County, NC registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 12-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 64,550 | 35,835 | 20,209 | 8,477 | 29 |
| 2012 | 68,230 | 36,798 | 19,897 | 11,430 | 105 |
| 2016 | 66,787 | 34,163 | 18,928 | 13,520 | 176 |
| 2020 | 68,754 | 32,015 | 19,903 | 16,504 | 332 |
| 2022 | 68,054 | 29,742 | 19,534 | 18,473 | 305 |
| 2024 | 71,083 | 27,549 | 20,156 | 22,811 | 567 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+550 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,290 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,981 in average income, against $68,214 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+14.3 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Nash County, NC itself (R+1.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Edgecombe County, NC506D+22.7
- Wake County, NC465D+25.4
- Wilson County, NC246D+0.4
- Johnston County, NC128R+21.5
- Halifax County, NC122D+17.7
- Franklin County, NC92R+13.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Edgecombe County, NC505
- Wake County, NC319
- Wilson County, NC272
- Pitt County, NC103
- Johnston County, NC100
- Halifax County, NC92
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −148 |
| 2012 | −712 |
| 2013 | −952 |
| 2014 | −399 |
| 2015 | −476 |
| 2016 | +163 |
| 2017 | −16 |
| 2018 | +54 |
| 2019 | +159 |
| 2021 | +234 |
| 2022 | +761 |
| 2023 | +850 |
| 2024 | +1,222 |
| 2025 | +550 |
Nash County's shift from double-digit Democratic margins a decade ago to R+1.8 in 2024 tracks a broader rural realignment in the North Carolina Piedmont, even as Rocky Mount anchors a sizable Black voter population that keeps the county competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 46.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.8 points.
A population of 96,216, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,426 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Florence County and Lenoir County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Nash County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.