Surry County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
23 precincts · 37,508 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -3232 | 801 | 2,291 | 51 | 3,143 | 25.5% | 72.9% | R+47.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3434 | 905 | 1,990 | 39 | 2,934 | 30.8% | 67.8% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -1919 | 600 | 1,439 | 18 | 2,057 | 29.2% | 70.0% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -2626 | 258 | 1,744 | 6 | 2,008 | 12.8% | 86.9% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -3030 | 739 | 1,242 | 27 | 2,008 | 36.8% | 61.9% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -2323 | 312 | 1,583 | 15 | 1,910 | 16.3% | 82.9% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -0505 | 227 | 1,641 | 15 | 1,883 | 12.1% | 87.1% | R+75.1 |
| Precinct -0101 | 310 | 1,560 | 9 | 1,879 | 16.5% | 83.0% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -2727 | 305 | 1,412 | 18 | 1,735 | 17.6% | 81.4% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -2929 | 403 | 1,183 | 12 | 1,598 | 25.2% | 74.0% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -1515 | 445 | 1,107 | 15 | 1,567 | 28.4% | 70.6% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -0909 | 212 | 1,264 | 6 | 1,482 | 14.3% | 85.3% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -1212 | 538 | 879 | 15 | 1,432 | 37.6% | 61.4% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -1010 | 212 | 1,157 | 9 | 1,378 | 15.4% | 84.0% | R+68.6 |
| Precinct -1616 | 253 | 1,067 | 9 | 1,329 | 19.0% | 80.3% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -1818 | 295 | 986 | 9 | 1,290 | 22.9% | 76.4% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -2828 | 346 | 901 | 9 | 1,256 | 27.5% | 71.7% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -0404 | 346 | 852 | 15 | 1,213 | 28.5% | 70.2% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -2525 | 238 | 932 | 3 | 1,173 | 20.3% | 79.5% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -2424 | 217 | 901 | 9 | 1,127 | 19.3% | 79.9% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -2222 | 181 | 910 | 3 | 1,094 | 16.5% | 83.2% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -1111 | 284 | 762 | 6 | 1,052 | 27.0% | 72.4% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -1717 | 186 | 762 | 12 | 960 | 19.4% | 79.4% | R+60.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +6.2% |
| 1896 | −12.4% |
| 1900 | −12.7% |
| 1904 | −17.4% |
| 1908 | −25.3% |
| 1912 | −7.5% |
| 1916 | −18.9% |
| 1920 | −18.6% |
| 1924 | −6.0% |
| 1928 | −31.6% |
| 1932 | +24.7% |
| 1936 | +29.9% |
| 1940 | +36.0% |
| 1944 | +20.0% |
| 1948 | +18.9% |
| 1952 | +3.9% |
| 1956 | −12.4% |
| 1960 | −10.2% |
| 1964 | +10.3% |
| 1968 | −24.2% |
| 1972 | −37.4% |
| 1976 | +15.0% |
| 1980 | −5.6% |
| 1984 | −29.9% |
| 1988 | −22.2% |
| 1992 | −6.3% |
| 1996 | −19.0% |
| 2000 | −32.7% |
| 2004 | −35.7% |
| 2008 | −28.0% |
| 2012 | −36.7% |
| 2016 | −50.3% |
| 2020 | −51.4% |
| 2024 | −53.2% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 23.6%5,828 | 74.2%18,303 | 24,677 |
| 2020 | R | 25.5%9,267 | 70.2%25,475 | 36,303 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 24 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 45,565 | 18,918 | 17,832 | 8,796 | 19 |
| 2012 | 44,880 | 16,915 | 17,966 | 9,887 | 112 |
| 2016 | 45,871 | 14,675 | 19,098 | 11,973 | 125 |
| 2020 | 47,206 | 11,426 | 21,413 | 14,150 | 217 |
| 2022 | 47,512 | 9,861 | 21,982 | 15,446 | 223 |
| 2024 | 49,366 | 8,940 | 23,557 | 16,528 | 341 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+228 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +573 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,777 in average income, against $67,541 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.7 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Surry County, NC itself (R+53.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Forsyth County, NC197D+13.1
- Stokes County, NC131R+59.5
- Yadkin County, NC117R+62.3
- Wilkes County, NC104R+59.5
- Carroll County, VA59R+63.1
- Patrick County, VA38R+60.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Forsyth County, NC144
- Stokes County, NC144
- Wilkes County, NC106
- Yadkin County, NC97
- Carroll County, VA58
- Patrick County, VA36
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −205 |
| 2012 | −191 |
| 2013 | −514 |
| 2014 | −80 |
| 2015 | −399 |
| 2016 | +117 |
| 2017 | +285 |
| 2018 | −51 |
| 2019 | −72 |
| 2021 | +238 |
| 2022 | +621 |
| 2023 | +256 |
| 2024 | +340 |
| 2025 | +228 |
Surry County, anchored by Mount Airy in the Blue Ridge Foothills, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 50 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural, working-class electorate with deep roots in furniture and textile manufacturing.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.0 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 53.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.2 points.
A population of 71,425, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,656 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Caldwell County and Yadkin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Surry County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37171/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.