Transylvania County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 20,780 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -DRDR | 1,178 | 985 | 33 | 2,196 | 53.6% | 44.9% | D+8.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BDBD | 739 | 1,359 | 35 | 2,133 | 34.6% | 63.7% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -CCCC | 588 | 1,296 | 28 | 1,912 | 30.8% | 67.8% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -RERE | 365 | 1,262 | 18 | 1,645 | 22.2% | 76.7% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -B3B3 | 935 | 648 | 27 | 1,610 | 58.1% | 40.2% | D+17.8 |
| Precinct -B1B1 | 891 | 512 | 26 | 1,429 | 62.4% | 35.8% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -TC7TC7 | 413 | 992 | 13 | 1,418 | 29.1% | 70.0% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -LRLR | 477 | 868 | 34 | 1,379 | 34.6% | 62.9% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -WCWC | 689 | 676 | 13 | 1,378 | 50.0% | 49.1% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -B4B4 | 785 | 439 | 29 | 1,253 | 62.6% | 35.0% | D+27.6 |
| Precinct -B2B2 | 690 | 499 | 18 | 1,207 | 57.2% | 41.3% | D+15.8 |
| Precinct -PFPF | 357 | 557 | 13 | 927 | 38.5% | 60.1% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -EFEF | 387 | 475 | 7 | 869 | 44.5% | 54.7% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -CMCM | 365 | 353 | 6 | 724 | 50.4% | 48.8% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -TC1TC1 | 113 | 571 | 16 | 700 | 16.1% | 81.6% | R+65.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +1.1% |
| 1896 | −3.4% |
| 1900 | −8.1% |
| 1904 | +2.8% |
| 1908 | −3.5% |
| 1912 | +41.1% |
| 1916 | −1.2% |
| 1920 | −4.3% |
| 1924 | −1.1% |
| 1928 | −11.4% |
| 1932 | +20.2% |
| 1936 | +17.4% |
| 1940 | +24.3% |
| 1944 | +14.6% |
| 1948 | +1.8% |
| 1952 | −5.3% |
| 1956 | −6.4% |
| 1960 | −10.9% |
| 1964 | +11.7% |
| 1968 | −21.2% |
| 1972 | −42.1% |
| 1976 | +6.2% |
| 1980 | −8.9% |
| 1984 | −30.1% |
| 1988 | −24.1% |
| 1992 | −6.6% |
| 1996 | −14.7% |
| 2000 | −27.9% |
| 2004 | −21.1% |
| 2008 | −12.6% |
| 2012 | −16.8% |
| 2016 | −22.2% |
| 2020 | −15.6% |
| 2024 | −12.1% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 42.5%6,867 | 54.7%8,832 | 16,161 |
| 2020 | R | 40.4%8,158 | 55.5%11,209 | 20,205 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.8 points.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 23,460 | 8,133 | 8,718 | 6,601 | 8 |
| 2012 | 24,320 | 7,684 | 8,473 | 8,098 | 65 |
| 2016 | 25,563 | 7,061 | 8,283 | 10,103 | 116 |
| 2020 | 26,569 | 6,358 | 8,705 | 11,340 | 166 |
| 2022 | 26,608 | 5,988 | 8,540 | 11,925 | 155 |
| 2024 | 27,254 | 5,740 | 8,824 | 12,488 | 202 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+129 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +4,290 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $91,962 in average income, against $79,361 for residents who stayed — 16% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+1.0 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Transylvania County, NC itself (R+12.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Henderson County, NC132R+14.5
- Buncombe County, NC99D+24.7
- Greenville County, SC28R+22.2
- Jackson County, NC21R+9.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Henderson County, NC142
- Buncombe County, NC92
- Greenville County, SC30
- Spartanburg County, SC24
- Jackson County, NC22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −132 |
| 2012 | +153 |
| 2013 | +178 |
| 2014 | +218 |
| 2015 | +315 |
| 2016 | +379 |
| 2017 | +573 |
| 2018 | +529 |
| 2019 | +349 |
| 2021 | +498 |
| 2022 | +311 |
| 2023 | +432 |
| 2024 | +358 |
| 2025 | +129 |
Transylvania County sits in the southwestern Blue Ridge, where a small but growing influx of retirees and remote workers has gradually narrowed its Republican presidential margins over the past decade, even as the 2024 result landed at R+12.1.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 42.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.1 points.
A population of 33,691, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,184 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Polk County and Henderson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Transylvania County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37175/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.