- Lead
- 3,138
- Total
- 5,421
- vs nation
- R+56.4
- Turnout
- 72.2%
McLean County, ND
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.2% of 7,578 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,968
- Total
- 5,536
- vs nation
- R+58.1
- Turnout
- 76.0%
- Lead
- 2,779
- Total
- 5,315
- vs nation
- R+54.4
- Turnout
- 72.3%
- Lead
- 1,471
- Total
- 4,938
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 900
- Total
- 4,736
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,350
- Total
- 4,750
- vs nation
- R+26.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,426
- Total
- 4,646
- vs nation
- R+31.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 229
- Total
- 4,380
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,8232024 5-year
- Population density
- 4.7 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,110 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,5832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- McHenry County, ND · twin score 93.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 72.2%5,470 participants ÷ 7,578 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 53.1%–60.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,470 | 7,578 ± 67 | 72.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,280 | 7,520 ± 85 | 56.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,596 | 7,368 ± 66 | 76.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,106 | 7,500 ± 51 | 68.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,424 | 7,501 ± 55 | 72.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 4,938 | 7,240 | 68.2% | Derived | — | |
| 4,736 | 6,675 | 71.0% | Derived | — | |
| 4,750 | 6,110 extrapolated | 77.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover McLean County only. The complete district At-Large result is shown below for comparison.
McLean County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District At-Large result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 17 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 5,421 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -283301283301 | 306 | 1,424 | 30 | 1,760 | 17.4% | 80.9% | R+63.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -280401280401 | 312 | 1,289 | 28 | 1,629 | 19.2% | 79.1% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -280601280601 | 169 | 958 | 25 | 1,152 | 14.7% | 83.2% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -280402280402 | 229 | 169 | 6 | 404 | 56.7% | 41.8% | D+14.9 |
| Precinct -280801280801 | 51 | 235 | 6 | 292 | 17.5% | 80.5% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -280602280602 | 26 | 156 | 2 | 184 | 14.1% | 84.8% | R+70.7 |
| McLean 04-08 Voting District08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 04-09 Voting District09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 04-10 Voting District10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 04-11 Voting District11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 08-01 Voting District01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 08-02 Voting District02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 08-03 Voting District03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 08-04 Voting District04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 08-05 Voting District05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 08-06 Voting District06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McLean 08-07 Voting District07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
McLean County, ND · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
76.1%
4,354 votes · D+52.2
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 60.2%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
88.4%
1,928 votes · R+78.4
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 83.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
4,354votes
76.1% of the vote · D+52.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 4,018 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
5,184votes
68.6% of the vote · R+38.2
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · 4,234 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+34.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+52.2 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +19.6 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+64.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.8 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +60.5 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing McLean County, ND. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 3 state senate and 4 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−30 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +423 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $73,297 in average income, against $97,186 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.0 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than McLean County, ND itself (R+57.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Ward County, ND33R+47.0
- Burleigh County, ND29R+42.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Burleigh County, ND57
- Ward County, ND25
- Morton County, ND22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +81 |
| 2012 | +279 |
| 2013 | +101 |
| 2014 | +63 |
| 2015 | +81 |
| 2016 | −41 |
| 2017 | −10 |
| 2018 | −125 |
| 2019 | −93 |
| 2021 | +71 |
| 2022 | +53 |
| 2023 | −15 |
| 2024 | +8 |
| 2025 | −30 |
McLean County's sparse, agriculture-driven population anchors one of the widest Republican presidential margins in a state already dominated by rural red-column voting, with the 2024 gap exceeding 57 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 78.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.9 points.
A population of 9,823, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,583 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McHenry County and Bottineau County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
McLean County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.