- Lead
- 3,818
- Total
- 5,521
- vs nation
- R+67.7
- Turnout
- 59.3%
McKenzie County, ND
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.3% of 9,377 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,668
- Total
- 5,419
- vs nation
- R+72.1
- Turnout
- 58.2%
- Lead
- 2,972
- Total
- 4,672
- vs nation
- R+65.7
- Turnout
- 62.6%
- Lead
- 1,531
- Total
- 3,451
- vs nation
- R+48.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 807
- Total
- 2,715
- vs nation
- R+37.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,050
- Total
- 2,762
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 981
- Total
- 2,364
- vs nation
- R+42.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 410
- Total
- 2,703
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,3212024 5-year
- Population density
- 5.2 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,760 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $93,4042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+59.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Williams County, ND · twin score 91.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 59.3%5,556 participants ÷ 9,377 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 35.9%–40.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,556 | 9,377 ± 308 | 59.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,266 | 9,368 ± 187 | 34.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,451 | 9,360 ± 245 | 58.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,246 | 8,708 ± 227 | 48.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,724 | 7,546 ± 133 | 62.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 3,451 | 4,891 | 70.6% | Derived | — | |
| 2,715 | 4,161 | 65.2% | Derived | — | |
| 2,762 | 3,431 extrapolated | 80.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover McKenzie County only. The complete district At-Large result is shown below for comparison.
McKenzie County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District At-Large result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 24 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 5,521 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1111 | 250 | 1,776 | 27 | 2,053 | 12.2% | 86.5% | R+74.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0909 | 107 | 1,434 | 34 | 1,575 | 6.8% | 91.0% | R+84.3 |
| Precinct -0505 | 50 | 460 | 7 | 517 | 9.7% | 89.0% | R+79.3 |
| Precinct -0606 | 39 | 272 | 3 | 314 | 12.4% | 86.6% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -1212 | 26 | 216 | 6 | 248 | 10.5% | 87.1% | R+76.6 |
| Precinct -0202 | 158 | 48 | 4 | 210 | 75.2% | 22.9% | D+52.4 |
| Precinct -0101 | 150 | 56 | 2 | 208 | 72.1% | 26.9% | D+45.2 |
| Precinct -0808 | 13 | 172 | 0 | 185 | 7.0% | 93.0% | R+85.9 |
| Precinct -0404 | 13 | 115 | 1 | 129 | 10.1% | 89.1% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -0707 | 3 | 78 | 1 | 82 | 3.7% | 95.1% | R+91.5 |
| McKenzie 04-01 Voting District01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 04-02 Voting District02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-03 Voting District03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-04 Voting District04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-05 Voting District05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-06 Voting District06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-07 Voting District07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-08 Voting District08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-09 Voting District09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-10 Voting District10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-11 Voting District11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-12 Voting District12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-13 Voting District13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McKenzie 39-14 Voting District14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
McKenzie County, ND · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
74.9%
2,655 votes · D+54.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 74.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
83.8%
4,627 votes · R+69.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 82.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
2,885votes
74.2% of the vote · D+59.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 2,655 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,627votes
83.8% of the vote · R+69.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,482 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+37.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+54.8 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +35.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+72.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +67.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing McKenzie County, ND. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+217 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +6,892 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,710 in average income, against $173,420 for residents who stayed — 62% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+67.6 on average — 1.5 points more Democratic-leaning than McKenzie County, ND itself (R+69.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Williams County, ND46R+67.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Williams County, ND64
- Burleigh County, ND27
- Mountrail County, ND21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +565 |
| 2012 | +895 |
| 2013 | +1,176 |
| 2014 | +1,519 |
| 2015 | +1,594 |
| 2016 | −378 |
| 2017 | −56 |
| 2018 | +706 |
| 2019 | +1,232 |
| 2021 | −999 |
| 2022 | −120 |
| 2023 | +210 |
| 2024 | +331 |
| 2025 | +217 |
McKenzie County sits atop the Bakken Formation, making it one of North Dakota's top oil-producing counties. Its sparse population and extractive-industry base have accompanied some of the widest presidential margins in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 69.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.2 points.
A population of 14,321, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,404 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Williams County and Hamlin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
McKenzie County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.