- Lead
- 11,351
- Total
- 20,779
- vs nation
- R+53.2
- Turnout
- 65.7%
Clinton County, OH
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.7% of 31,917 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 10,791
- Total
- 20,527
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Lead
- 9,772
- Total
- 18,966
- vs nation
- R+53.6
- Turnout
- 60.0%
- Lead
- 6,218
- Total
- 18,329
- vs nation
- R+37.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,851
- Total
- 19,342
- vs nation
- R+37.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,521
- Total
- 18,414
- vs nation
- R+38.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,033
- Total
- 15,070
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,201
- Total
- 14,521
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,0122024 5-year
- Population density
- 103 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 409 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,4072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+3.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Logan County, OH · twin score 91.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 65.7%20,980 participants ÷ 31,917 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 45.7%–49.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20,980 | 31,917 ± 204 | 65.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 14,325 | 32,002 ± 179 | 44.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 20,657 | 31,896 ± 183 | 64.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 15,358 | 31,751 ± 171 | 48.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 18,966 | 31,612 ± 181 | 60.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 18,329 | 31,612 | 58.0% | Derived | — | |
| 19,342 | 31,801 | 60.8% | Derived | — | |
| 18,414 | 31,990 extrapolated | 57.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 74 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
74 precincts · 20,779 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CLARKCLARK | 172 | 860 | 8 | 1,040 | 16.5% | 82.7% | R+66.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BLANCHESTER CBLANCHESTER C | 149 | 723 | 10 | 882 | 16.9% | 82.0% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -VERNON AVERNON A | 140 | 679 | 1 | 820 | 17.1% | 82.8% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct -VERNON BVERNON B | 128 | 686 | 3 | 817 | 15.7% | 84.0% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -CHESTER ACHESTER A | 178 | 604 | 11 | 793 | 22.4% | 76.2% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -GREENGREEN | 136 | 630 | 11 | 777 | 17.5% | 81.1% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -MARIONMARION | 108 | 662 | 4 | 774 | 14.0% | 85.5% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -ADAMS BADAMS B | 148 | 525 | 6 | 679 | 21.8% | 77.3% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 4-BWILMINGTON 4-B | 193 | 480 | 6 | 679 | 28.4% | 70.7% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSONJEFFERSON | 76 | 593 | 6 | 675 | 11.3% | 87.9% | R+76.6 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON BWASHINGTON B | 128 | 536 | 3 | 667 | 19.2% | 80.4% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -ADAMS AADAMS A | 122 | 499 | 7 | 628 | 19.4% | 79.5% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 1-BWILMINGTON 1-B | 202 | 416 | 4 | 622 | 32.5% | 66.9% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -BLANCHESTER ABLANCHESTER A | 126 | 491 | 1 | 618 | 20.4% | 79.4% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -SABINA ASABINA A | 137 | 442 | 7 | 586 | 23.4% | 75.4% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -LIBERTYLIBERTY | 103 | 475 | 5 | 583 | 17.7% | 81.5% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -UNION NORTH AUNION NORTH A | 150 | 413 | 6 | 569 | 26.4% | 72.6% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -CHESTER BCHESTER B | 124 | 430 | 4 | 558 | 22.2% | 77.1% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -UNION SOUTH BUNION SOUTH B | 122 | 397 | 2 | 521 | 23.4% | 76.2% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON AWASHINGTON A | 97 | 416 | 4 | 517 | 18.8% | 80.5% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 4-CWILMINGTON 4-C | 180 | 333 | 3 | 516 | 34.9% | 64.5% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct -RICHLANDRICHLAND | 80 | 422 | 4 | 506 | 15.8% | 83.4% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -UNION NORTH BUNION NORTH B | 126 | 364 | 4 | 494 | 25.5% | 73.7% | R+48.2 |
| Precinct -NEW VIENNANEW VIENNA | 90 | 400 | 2 | 492 | 18.3% | 81.3% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 1-AWILMINGTON 1-A | 180 | 305 | 4 | 489 | 36.8% | 62.4% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 4-AWILMINGTON 4-A | 189 | 297 | 3 | 489 | 38.7% | 60.7% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 3-BWILMINGTON 3-B | 145 | 339 | 4 | 488 | 29.7% | 69.5% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 3-AWILMINGTON 3-A | 173 | 296 | 3 | 472 | 36.7% | 62.7% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 2-BWILMINGTON 2-B | 150 | 301 | 6 | 457 | 32.8% | 65.9% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 3-CWILMINGTON 3-C | 130 | 320 | 5 | 455 | 28.6% | 70.3% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -SABINA BSABINA B | 92 | 292 | 7 | 391 | 23.5% | 74.7% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -BLANCHESTER BBLANCHESTER B | 83 | 298 | 2 | 383 | 21.7% | 77.8% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -WAYNEWAYNE | 44 | 336 | 3 | 383 | 11.5% | 87.7% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON 2-AWILMINGTON 2-A | 119 | 237 | 2 | 358 | 33.2% | 66.2% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -UNION SOUTH AUNION SOUTH A | 73 | 266 | 1 | 340 | 21.5% | 78.2% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -WILSONWILSON | 40 | 221 | 0 | 261 | 15.3% | 84.7% | R+69.3 |
| PRECINCT ADAMS A39_39027027AAQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT ADAMS B39_39027027ACD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BLANCHESTER A39_39027027ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BLANCHESTER B39_39027027ABI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BLANCHESTER C39_39027027ABJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CHESTER A39_39027027AAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CHESTER B39_39027027ACB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CLARK39_39027027AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CLARKSVILLE39_39027027ABS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GREEN39_39027027ABY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JEFFERSON39_39027027ABA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LIBERTY39_39027027ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MARION39_39027027ABE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MARTINSVILLE39_39027027AAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MIDLAND39_39027027ABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT NEW VIENNA39_39027027AAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PORT WILLIAM39_39027027ABD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT RICHLAND39_39027027ABK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SABINA A39_39027027ABM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SABINA B39_39027027ABN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT UNION NORTH A39_39027027ABQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT UNION NORTH B39_39027027ACE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT UNION SOUTH39_39027027ABR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VERNON A39_39027027ABT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VERNON B39_39027027ABZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WASHINGTON A39_39027027ABU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WASHINGTON B39_39027027ACC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WAYNE39_39027027ABW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 1-A39_39027027AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 1-B39_39027027AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 2-A39_39027027AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 2-B39_39027027AAF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 3-A39_39027027AAI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 3-B39_39027027AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 4-A39_39027027AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 4-B39_39027027AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILMINGTON 4-C39_39027027ACA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WILSON39_39027027ABX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Clinton County, OH · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
51.7%
6,514 votes · D+3.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 47.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76.9%
15,984 votes · R+54.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
6,558votes
33.9% of the vote · R+30.3
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 6,514 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,984votes
76.9% of the vote · R+54.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,488 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
−5.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+31.6 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · −13.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+57.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.6 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +53.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Clinton County, OH. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 22.0%4,395 | 78.0%15,548 | 19,943 |
| 2020 | R | 20.7%4,153 | 79.3%15,876 | 20,029 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,351 |
| 2018 | 27,252 |
| 2020 | 27,616 |
| 2022 | 27,368 |
| 2024 | 27,898 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+190 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −470 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,594 in average income, against $75,540 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+31.4 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Clinton County, OH itself (R+54.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Warren County, OH201R+31.5
- Highland County, OH158R+63.3
- Clermont County, OH117R+35.8
- Greene County, OH99R+19.8
- Montgomery County, OH74D+0.5
- Fayette County, OH64R+55.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Highland County, OH166
- Warren County, OH147
- Greene County, OH119
- Clermont County, OH111
- Montgomery County, OH82
- Fayette County, OH63
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −92 |
| 2012 | −156 |
| 2013 | −53 |
| 2014 | −141 |
| 2015 | −55 |
| 2016 | −54 |
| 2017 | +46 |
| 2018 | +66 |
| 2019 | −129 |
| 2021 | +96 |
| 2022 | −159 |
| 2023 | +31 |
| 2024 | −60 |
| 2025 | +190 |
Clinton County's R+54.6 margin in 2024 places it among Ohio's most skewed presidential results, reflecting a predominantly white, non-metropolitan electorate that has shifted sharply rightward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.6 points.
A population of 42,012, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,407 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Logan County and Bullitt County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clinton County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.