Hardin County, Ohio: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+55%. Republican peak: R+55 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 30,4752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,4842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Highland County, OH · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Hardin CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Hardin County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −0.4% |
| 1896 | −0.3% |
| 1900 | −2.3% |
| 1904 | −19.9% |
| 1908 | −3.2% |
| 1912 | +13.6% |
| 1916 | +2.2% |
| 1920 | −16.1% |
| 1924 | −12.0% |
| 1928 | −20.9% |
| 1932 | +9.3% |
| 1936 | +5.0% |
| 1940 | −16.8% |
| 1944 | −25.1% |
| 1948 | −15.2% |
| 1952 | −29.2% |
| 1956 | −33.0% |
| 1960 | −28.8% |
| 1964 | +12.7% |
| 1968 | −21.5% |
| 1972 | −41.1% |
| 1976 | −12.9% |
| 1980 | −29.6% |
| 1984 | −38.9% |
| 1988 | −27.1% |
| 1992 | −11.3% |
| 1996 | −4.9% |
| 2000 | −21.3% |
| 2004 | −26.5% |
| 2008 | −20.8% |
| 2012 | −22.8% |
| 2016 | −46.3% |
| 2020 | −52.0% |
| 2024 | −54.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,863 | 9,911 | 12,908 | ||
| R | 3,062 | 9,949 | 13,247 | ||
| R | 2,920 | 8,717 | 12,516 | ||
| R | 4,619 | 7,489 | 12,561 | ||
| R | 5,013 | 7,749 | 13,149 | ||
| R | 4,891 | 8,441 | 13,392 | ||
| R | 4,557 | 7,124 | 12,068 | ||
| R | 4,930 | 5,506 | 11,876 | ||
| R | 4,364 | 5,851 | 13,215 | ||
| R | 4,145 | 7,291 | 11,606 | ||
| R | 3,813 | 8,722 | 12,620 | ||
| R | 3,863 | 7,457 | 12,123 | ||
| R | 4,650 | 6,076 | 11,075 | ||
| R | 3,535 | 8,713 | 12,602 | ||
| R | 4,180 | 6,963 | 12,937 | ||
| D | 7,324 | 5,679 | 13,003 | ||
| R | 4,996 | 9,042 | 14,038 | ||
| R | 4,556 | 9,049 | 13,605 | ||
| R | 5,064 | 9,235 | 14,299 | ||
| R | 5,474 | 7,441 | 12,967 | ||
| R | 5,128 | 8,566 | 13,694 | ||
| R | 6,547 | 9,192 | 15,739 | ||
| D | 8,441 | 7,631 | 16,283 | ||
| D | 8,717 | 7,215 | 16,084 | ||
| R | 5,306 | 8,137 | 13,517 | ||
| R | 5,523 | 7,112 | 13,254 | ||
| R | 5,817 | 8,071 | 14,003 | ||
| D | 4,304 | 4,119 | 8,567 | ||
| D | 3,912 | 2,775 | 8,354 | ||
| R | 4,164 | 4,444 | 8,827 | ||
| R | 3,096 | 4,736 | 8,256 | ||
| R | 4,190 | 4,389 | 8,766 | ||
| R | 4,247 | 4,276 | 8,639 | ||
| R | 3,483 | 3,515 | 7,367 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
27.0%
English
14.1%
Irish
10.5%
American
7.9%
Italian
2.6%
Scottish
2.6%
French
1.1%
African American
1.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,484
Hardin County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Hardin County$62,484
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Hardin County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.3%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1827.9%
Working age (18–64)14.4%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.8%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.7%
Spanish1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 69.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Hardin County, anchored by the small city of Kenton, has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past decade, posting a 54-point gap in 2024 — well above even Ohio's statewide Republican lean.
The Democratic margin here peaked at fourteen points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-five points.
A population of 30,475, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,484 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Highland County and Richland County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hardin County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Hardin County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hardin County, Ohio voted Republican by 54.6 points (R+55), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,908 votes cast, 2,863 went Democratic and 9,911 went Republican.
What is Hardin County, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Hardin County, Ohio in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 29 times, and other 0 times.
When did Hardin County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hardin County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Hardin County, Ohio?
Hardin County, Ohio has a population of 30,475 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hardin County, Ohio?
Median household income in Hardin County, Ohio is $62,484 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Hardin County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hardin County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.