Paulding County, Ohio: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+56%. Republican peak: R+56 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 18,7912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,7312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Stark County, IL · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Paulding CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Paulding County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +1.6% |
| 1896 | +1.0% |
| 1900 | −4.5% |
| 1904 | −16.1% |
| 1908 | −4.8% |
| 1912 | +14.3% |
| 1916 | −6.6% |
| 1920 | −24.6% |
| 1924 | −22.3% |
| 1928 | −24.5% |
| 1932 | +12.9% |
| 1936 | +4.0% |
| 1940 | −22.1% |
| 1944 | −31.4% |
| 1948 | −17.5% |
| 1952 | −33.9% |
| 1956 | −38.5% |
| 1960 | −27.4% |
| 1964 | +15.7% |
| 1968 | −17.8% |
| 1972 | −32.3% |
| 1976 | −5.2% |
| 1980 | −25.8% |
| 1984 | −32.4% |
| 1988 | −26.4% |
| 1992 | −3.8% |
| 1996 | −3.6% |
| 2000 | −20.4% |
| 2004 | −26.3% |
| 2008 | −11.8% |
| 2012 | −19.6% |
| 2016 | −47.8% |
| 2020 | −51.5% |
| 2024 | −55.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,987 | 7,203 | 9,328 | ||
| R | 2,213 | 7,086 | 9,467 | ||
| R | 2,093 | 6,500 | 9,220 | ||
| R | 3,538 | 5,354 | 9,256 | ||
| R | 4,165 | 5,317 | 9,785 | ||
| R | 3,610 | 6,206 | 9,879 | ||
| R | 3,384 | 5,210 | 8,946 | ||
| R | 3,449 | 3,760 | 8,596 | ||
| R | 3,293 | 3,652 | 9,510 | ||
| R | 3,114 | 5,381 | 8,571 | ||
| R | 2,811 | 5,545 | 8,439 | ||
| R | 2,778 | 4,971 | 8,494 | ||
| R | 3,229 | 3,593 | 6,987 | ||
| R | 2,283 | 4,553 | 7,025 | ||
| R | 2,703 | 4,074 | 7,685 | ||
| D | 4,465 | 3,254 | 7,719 | ||
| R | 2,825 | 4,961 | 7,786 | ||
| R | 2,170 | 4,885 | 7,055 | ||
| R | 2,386 | 4,837 | 7,223 | ||
| R | 2,512 | 3,579 | 6,110 | ||
| R | 2,355 | 4,515 | 6,870 | ||
| R | 3,155 | 4,949 | 8,104 | ||
| D | 4,179 | 3,853 | 8,251 | ||
| D | 4,165 | 3,201 | 7,485 | ||
| R | 2,473 | 4,093 | 6,624 | ||
| R | 2,242 | 3,648 | 6,312 | ||
| R | 2,739 | 4,549 | 7,366 | ||
| R | 2,313 | 2,647 | 5,068 | ||
| D | 2,296 | 1,542 | 5,269 | ||
| R | 2,767 | 3,049 | 5,907 | ||
| R | 2,505 | 3,496 | 6,152 | ||
| R | 3,284 | 3,597 | 6,966 | ||
| D | 3,656 | 3,580 | 7,262 | ||
| D | 2,997 | 2,900 | 6,101 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
31.6%
English
8.8%
Irish
8.7%
American
7.0%
French
2.8%
Polish
1.8%
Italian
0.9%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,731
Paulding County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Paulding County$67,731
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Paulding County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.0%
Working age (18–64)8.0%
Seniors (65+)11.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.8%
speak English only
Spanish2.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other Indo-European0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Paulding County, tucked in Ohio's northwestern corner near the Indiana line, has trended toward supermajority Republican margins as its small farming communities have realigned over the past decade, with the 2024 presidential result reflecting a 56-point gap.
The Democratic margin here peaked at sixteen points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-six points.
A population of 18,791, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,731 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stark County and Jay County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Paulding County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39125/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Paulding County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Paulding County, Ohio voted Republican by 55.9 points (R+56), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,328 votes cast, 1,987 went Democratic and 7,203 went Republican.
What is Paulding County, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Paulding County, Ohio in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 28 times, and other 0 times.
When did Paulding County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Paulding County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Paulding County, Ohio?
Paulding County, Ohio has a population of 18,791 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paulding County, Ohio?
Median household income in Paulding County, Ohio is $67,731 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Paulding County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Paulding County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.