- Lead
- 5,835
- Total
- 14,574
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Turnout
- 74.0%
Union County, OR
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.0% of 19,942 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,044
- Total
- 14,944
- vs nation
- R+44.9
- Turnout
- 74.7%
- Lead
- 5,182
- Total
- 12,968
- vs nation
- R+42.0
- Turnout
- 68.2%
- Lead
- 3,663
- Total
- 12,070
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,968
- Total
- 12,594
- vs nation
- R+30.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,451
- Total
- 13,519
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,259
- Total
- 12,076
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,035
- Total
- 11,345
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 26,1442024 5-year
- Population density
- 13 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,037 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,6612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rio Blanco County, CO · twin score 83.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 74.0%14,762 participants ÷ 19,942 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 62.2%–64.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14,762 | 19,942 ± 216 | 74.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 12,658 | 20,137 ± 156 | 62.9% | Audited | C/A |
| 15,103 | 20,212 ± 155 | 74.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 12,141 | 19,702 ± 171 | 61.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,305 | 19,515 ± 141 | 68.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,070 | 19,389 | 62.3% | Derived | — | |
| 12,594 | 18,702 | 67.3% | Derived | — | |
| 13,519 | 18,015 extrapolated | 75.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 19 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 14,574 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -11 | 1,056 | 1,064 | 82 | 2,202 | 48.0% | 48.3% | R+0.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -33 | 596 | 1,333 | 76 | 2,005 | 29.7% | 66.5% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -22 | 691 | 1,201 | 83 | 1,975 | 35.0% | 60.8% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -1616 | 312 | 931 | 36 | 1,279 | 24.4% | 72.8% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -55 | 287 | 897 | 35 | 1,219 | 23.5% | 73.6% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -88 | 129 | 766 | 35 | 930 | 13.9% | 82.4% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -1111 | 152 | 536 | 37 | 725 | 21.0% | 73.9% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -1818 | 180 | 514 | 24 | 718 | 25.1% | 71.6% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -99 | 100 | 588 | 11 | 699 | 14.3% | 84.1% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -77 | 182 | 472 | 23 | 677 | 26.9% | 69.7% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -66 | 93 | 339 | 12 | 444 | 20.9% | 76.4% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -44 | 112 | 280 | 21 | 413 | 27.1% | 67.8% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -1919 | 49 | 253 | 12 | 314 | 15.6% | 80.6% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -1515 | 58 | 217 | 7 | 282 | 20.6% | 77.0% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -1414 | 43 | 204 | 15 | 262 | 16.4% | 77.9% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -1010 | 39 | 148 | 6 | 193 | 20.2% | 76.7% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -1313 | 13 | 90 | 3 | 106 | 12.3% | 84.9% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -1212 | 8 | 61 | 2 | 71 | 11.3% | 85.9% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -1717 | 7 | 48 | 5 | 60 | 11.7% | 80.0% | R+68.3 |
presidential history
Party record book
Union County, OR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
70.1%
4,450 votes · D+43.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 69.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2020
68.9%
10,298 votes · R+40.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 68.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
4,929votes
65.8% of the vote · D+31.7
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 4,682 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
10,298votes
68.9% of the vote · R+40.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 9,942 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+30.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.4 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +25.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+44.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.4 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +42.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Union County, OR. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Republican than the rolls.
19,655 registered voters · 2024 · up from 19,241 in 2022
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+40 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +749 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,584 in average income, against $70,823 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+10.9 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Union County, OR itself (R+40.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Umatilla County, OR50R+37.5
- Baker County, OR45R+48.7
- Multnomah County, OR38D+61.6
- Wallowa County, OR30R+35.1
- Ada County, ID27R+10.3
- Washington County, OR22D+33.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Umatilla County, OR56
- Ada County, ID37
- Baker County, OR33
- Multnomah County, OR21
- Wallowa County, OR21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +91 |
| 2012 | −169 |
| 2013 | −340 |
| 2014 | +45 |
| 2015 | +38 |
| 2016 | +304 |
| 2017 | +264 |
| 2018 | +284 |
| 2019 | +126 |
| 2021 | +150 |
| 2022 | −6 |
| 2023 | −169 |
| 2024 | +91 |
| 2025 | +40 |
Union County's R+40 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a broader eastern Oregon pattern where ranching and timber economies correlate with some of the state's widest partisan gaps, even as the county seat of La Grande anchors a small university-town counterweight.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 40.4 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 40.0 points.
A population of 26,144, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,661 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rio Blanco County and Sheridan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Union County, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/41061/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.