HarrisDemocratic20.4%4,707TrumpRepublican78.8%18,235OliverLibertarian0.6%131
R+58.5- Lead
- 13,528
- Total
- 23,129
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- 67.4%
Akashiccounty
Jefferson County, PA
Contests in this Place (90 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.4% of 34,380 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic19.8%4,527TrumpRepublican78.7%17,960JorgensenLibertarian1.5%337
R+58.9- Lead
- 13,433
- Total
- 22,824
- vs nation
- R+63.3
- Turnout
- 67.2%
ClintonDemocratic18.6%3,650TrumpRepublican77.5%15,192JohnsonLibertarian2.2%432
R+58.9- Lead
- 11,542
- Total
- 19,595
- vs nation
- R+61.0
- Turnout
- 56.0%
ObamaDemocratic26.3%4,787RomneyRepublican71.8%13,048JohnsonLibertarian1.0%173
R+45.4- Lead
- 8,261
- Total
- 18,178
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic34.3%6,447McCainRepublican64.1%12,057OtherAll other candidates1.6%298
R+29.8- Lead
- 5,610
- Total
- 18,802
- vs nation
- R+37.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic31.0%6,073BushRepublican68.4%13,371OtherAll other candidates0.6%116
R+37.3- Lead
- 7,298
- Total
- 19,560
- vs nation
- R+34.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic31.7%5,566BushRepublican65.2%11,473NaderGreen1.9%339
R+33.6- Lead
- 5,907
- Total
- 17,586
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic35.5%5,846DoleRepublican49.6%8,156PerotReform14.1%2,322
R+14.0- Lead
- 2,310
- Total
- 16,457
- vs nation
- R+22.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,8642024 5-year
- Population density
- 67 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 652 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,6862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Somerset County, PA · twin score 92.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 67.4%23,189 participants ÷ 34,380 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 51.6%–54.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23,189 | 34,380 ± 100 | 67.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 17,869 | 34,815 ± 103 | 51.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 22,976 | 34,213 ± 104 | 67.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 15,649 | 34,643 ± 115 | 45.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 19,618 | 35,052 ± 95 | 56.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 18,178 | 35,255 | 51.6% | Derived | — | |
| 18,802 | 35,169 | 53.5% | Derived | — | |
| 19,560 | 35,083 extrapolated | 55.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Jefferson County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Jefferson County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
JOSH SHAPIRO0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 89 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
89 precincts · 23,129 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0655420650655 | 221 | 1,190 | 13 | 1,424 | 15.5% | 83.6% | R+68.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0540420650540 | 324 | 982 | 11 | 1,317 | 24.6% | 74.6% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 0475420650475 | 286 | 872 | 13 | 1,171 | 24.4% | 74.5% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 0035420650035 | 209 | 954 | 6 | 1,169 | 17.9% | 81.6% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct 0355420650355 | 322 | 772 | 6 | 1,100 | 29.3% | 70.2% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct 0620420650620 | 202 | 880 | 6 | 1,088 | 18.6% | 80.9% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct 0700420650700 | 251 | 830 | 5 | 1,086 | 23.1% | 76.4% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct 0060420650060 | 328 | 706 | 11 | 1,045 | 31.4% | 67.6% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct 0085420650085 | 327 | 690 | 10 | 1,027 | 31.8% | 67.2% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct 0095420650095 | 247 | 724 | 9 | 980 | 25.2% | 73.9% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct 0145420650145 | 141 | 704 | 6 | 851 | 16.6% | 82.7% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct 0375420650375 | 235 | 587 | 7 | 829 | 28.3% | 70.8% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct 0605420650605 | 85 | 660 | 7 | 752 | 11.3% | 87.8% | R+76.5 |
| Precinct 0395420650395 | 162 | 544 | 9 | 715 | 22.7% | 76.1% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct 0275420650275 | 97 | 591 | 8 | 696 | 13.9% | 84.9% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct 0240420650240 | 66 | 599 | 3 | 668 | 9.9% | 89.7% | R+79.8 |
| Precinct 0525420650525 | 112 | 529 | 4 | 645 | 17.4% | 82.0% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct 0205420650205 | 67 | 542 | 2 | 611 | 11.0% | 88.7% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct 0190420650190 | 93 | 497 | 5 | 595 | 15.6% | 83.5% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct 0315420650315 | 101 | 474 | 6 | 581 | 17.4% | 81.6% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct 0565420650565 | 112 | 404 | 5 | 521 | 21.5% | 77.5% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct 0160420650160 | 121 | 392 | 2 | 515 | 23.5% | 76.1% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct 0590420650590 | 82 | 418 | 6 | 506 | 16.2% | 82.6% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct 0225420650225 | 83 | 385 | 1 | 469 | 17.7% | 82.1% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct 0170420650170 | 49 | 342 | 3 | 394 | 12.4% | 86.8% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct 0510420650510 | 48 | 330 | 2 | 380 | 12.6% | 86.8% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct 0050420650050 | 56 | 222 | 2 | 280 | 20.0% | 79.3% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct 0120420650120 | 34 | 240 | 0 | 274 | 12.4% | 87.6% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct 0020420650020 | 24 | 246 | 1 | 271 | 8.9% | 90.8% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct 0550420650550 | 45 | 207 | 5 | 257 | 17.5% | 80.5% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct 0130420650130 | 42 | 149 | 3 | 194 | 21.6% | 76.8% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct 0010420650010 | 54 | 129 | 2 | 185 | 29.2% | 69.7% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct 0330420650330 | 26 | 136 | 4 | 166 | 15.7% | 81.9% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct 0340420650340 | 14 | 142 | 1 | 157 | 8.9% | 90.4% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct 0180420650180 | 29 | 70 | 0 | 99 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct 0580420650580 | 6 | 49 | 3 | 58 | 10.3% | 84.5% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct 0690420650690 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 53 | 11.3% | 88.7% | R+77.4 |
| BARNETT TWP Voting District42_4206510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEAVER TWP Voting District42_4206520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BELL TWP Voting District42_4206535 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BIG RUN Voting District42_4206550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROCKWAY VTD 0142_4206560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROCKWAY VTD 0242_4206570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKVILLE VTD 0142_4206585 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKVILLE VTD 0242_4206595 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKVILLE VTD 0342_42065105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLOVER TWP Voting District42_42065120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CORSICA Voting District42_42065130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDRED TWP Voting District42_42065145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FALLS CREEK Voting District42_42065160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GASKILL TWP Voting District42_42065170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HEATH TWP Voting District42_42065180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HENDERSON TWP Voting District42_42065190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX TWP Voting District42_42065205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MC CALMONT TWP Voting District42_42065225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLIVER TWP VTD 0142_42065240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLIVER TWP VTD 0242_42065250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLIVER TWP VTD 0342_42065260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP VTD 0142_42065275 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP VTD 0242_42065295 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINECREEK TWP Voting District42_42065315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POLK TWP Voting District42_42065330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTER TWP Voting District42_42065340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PUNXSUTAWNEY WD 0142_42065355 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PUNXSUTAWNEY WD 0242_42065375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PUNXSUTAWNEY WD 0342_42065395 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PUNXSUTAWNEY WD 0442_42065415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PUNXSUTAWNEY WD 0542_42065435 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PUNXSUTAWNEY WD 0642_42065455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REYNOLDSVILLE VTD 0142_42065475 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REYNOLDSVILLE VTD 0242_42065495 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RINGGOLD TWP Voting District42_42065510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROSE TWP Voting District42_42065525 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SNYDER TWP Voting District42_42065540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUMMERVILLE Voting District42_42065550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SYKESVILLE Voting District42_42065565 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TIMBLIN Voting District42_42065580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP Voting District42_42065590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARSAW TWP Voting District42_42065605 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP VTD EAST42_42065620 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP VTD NORTH42_42065630 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP VTD WEST42_42065640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINSLOW TWP VTD 0142_42065655 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINSLOW TWP VTD 0242_42065665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINSLOW TWP VTD 0342_42065675 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WORTHVILLE Voting District42_42065690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YOUNG TWP VTD NORTH ED 0142_42065700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YOUNG TWP VTD NORTH ED 0242_42065710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YOUNG TWP VTD SOUTH42_42065720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Jefferson County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56.3%
10,851 votes · D+12.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 47.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.8%
18,235 votes · R+58.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
11,080votes
47.5% of the vote · R+3.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 10,851 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
18,235votes
78.8% of the vote · R+58.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 17,960 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
−9.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+10.5 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · −9.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+63.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+58.9 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +61.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RCris DushState Senate · 25
RJoe PittmanState Senate · 41
RBrian SmithState House · 66
Seats representing Jefferson County, PA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+49.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+58.5
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.6 points more Republican than the rolls.
28,056 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+80 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,544 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,107 in average income, against $63,378 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.6 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Jefferson County, PA itself (R+58.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clearfield County, PA199R+51.5
- Indiana County, PA76R+39.1
- Clarion County, PA75R+53.1
- Elk County, PA40R+47.0
- Armstrong County, PA30R+53.2
- Allegheny County, PA23D+20.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clearfield County, PA181
- Indiana County, PA87
- Clarion County, PA85
- Allegheny County, PA50
- Elk County, PA41
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −197 |
| 2012 | −74 |
| 2013 | +106 |
| 2014 | −285 |
| 2015 | −161 |
| 2016 | −237 |
| 2017 | −122 |
| 2018 | −118 |
| 2019 | −128 |
| 2021 | −167 |
| 2022 | −153 |
| 2023 | +50 |
| 2024 | −138 |
| 2025 | +80 |
A rural, heavily forested county in the Allegheny Plateau, Jefferson delivered a 58.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the widest gaps in a state defined by its competitive, closely divided major metros.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 58.9 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 58.5 points.
A population of 43,864, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,686 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Somerset County and Clarion County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Somerset County
Pennsylvania
92.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Clarion County
Pennsylvania
89.8twin score
% White2020–2024 trajectory% Latino≠ Italian ancestry
Huntingdon County
Pennsylvania
87.9twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jefferson County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Jefferson County
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Jefferson County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jefferson County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 58.5 points (R+58.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,129 votes cast, 4,707 went Democratic and 18,235 went Republican.
When did Jefferson County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jefferson County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Jefferson County, Pennsylvania?
Jefferson County, Pennsylvania has a population of 43,864 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Jefferson County, Pennsylvania is $58,686 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Jefferson County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jefferson County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.