Northumberland County, Pennsylvania: Farm Belt county. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+42 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 90,5602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,5832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pulaski County, VA · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +5.6% |
| 1896 | −7.7% |
| 1900 | −2.2% |
| 1904 | −29.4% |
| 1908 | −9.2% |
| 1912 | +23.1% |
| 1916 | +3.2% |
| 1920 | −25.1% |
| 1924 | −31.9% |
| 1928 | −23.2% |
| 1932 | +12.1% |
| 1936 | +18.6% |
| 1940 | +6.9% |
| 1944 | −3.9% |
| 1948 | −17.4% |
| 1952 | −23.7% |
| 1956 | −25.0% |
| 1960 | −10.7% |
| 1964 | +24.4% |
| 1968 | −12.8% |
| 1972 | −29.8% |
| 1976 | −0.9% |
| 1980 | −18.9% |
| 1984 | −23.1% |
| 1988 | −17.1% |
| 1992 | −6.3% |
| 1996 | −0.4% |
| 2000 | −13.4% |
| 2004 | −20.6% |
| 2008 | −13.8% |
| 2012 | −19.3% |
| 2016 | −42.4% |
| 2020 | −38.5% |
| 2024 | −39.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,863 | 30,240 | 43,635 | ||
| R | 12,677 | 28,952 | 42,283 | ||
| R | 9,788 | 25,427 | 36,907 | ||
| R | 13,072 | 19,518 | 33,356 | ||
| R | 14,329 | 19,018 | 33,939 | ||
| R | 14,602 | 22,262 | 37,134 | ||
| R | 13,670 | 18,142 | 33,254 | ||
| R | 13,418 | 13,551 | 32,400 | ||
| R | 12,814 | 15,057 | 35,792 | ||
| R | 14,255 | 20,207 | 34,800 | ||
| R | 13,748 | 22,109 | 36,165 | ||
| R | 13,750 | 20,608 | 36,290 | ||
| R | 18,939 | 19,283 | 38,876 | ||
| R | 13,885 | 25,912 | 40,385 | ||
| R | 17,013 | 22,366 | 41,899 | ||
| D | 28,082 | 17,046 | 45,244 | ||
| R | 22,233 | 27,568 | 49,841 | ||
| R | 17,141 | 28,583 | 45,765 | ||
| R | 17,789 | 28,861 | 46,769 | ||
| R | 16,478 | 23,535 | 40,485 | ||
| R | 20,333 | 21,995 | 42,450 | ||
| D | 26,315 | 22,914 | 49,368 | ||
| D | 31,849 | 21,758 | 54,318 | ||
| D | 23,114 | 17,982 | 42,564 | ||
| R | 19,249 | 30,949 | 50,490 | ||
| R | 7,571 | 17,516 | 31,177 | ||
| R | 9,854 | 17,288 | 29,581 | ||
| D | 9,333 | 8,722 | 19,384 | ||
| O | 6,802 | 2,371 | 19,144 | ||
| R | 8,590 | 10,439 | 20,087 | ||
| R | 5,936 | 11,219 | 17,977 | ||
| R | 7,989 | 8,366 | 16,951 | ||
| R | 7,367 | 8,659 | 16,756 | ||
| D | 6,942 | 6,170 | 13,727 | ||
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Demographics
Northumberland's Susquehanna River towns reflect the broader realignment of deindustrialized Appalachian Pennsylvania: a county that voted within single digits as recently as 2008 shifted to R+39.9 by 2024.
The Republican margin here reached forty-two points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty points.
A population of 90,560, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,583 describe an agricultural county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pulaski County and Washington County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Northumberland County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42097/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
