Northampton County, Pennsylvania: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted R+2%. Democratic peak: D+47 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 318,5802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,1842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Muskegon County, MI · similarity 0.93
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +19.5% |
| 1896 | +1.3% |
| 1900 | +7.2% |
| 1904 | −5.2% |
| 1908 | +2.2% |
| 1912 | +29.6% |
| 1916 | +6.4% |
| 1920 | −21.2% |
| 1924 | −25.7% |
| 1928 | −43.1% |
| 1932 | +7.0% |
| 1936 | +23.0% |
| 1940 | +13.4% |
| 1944 | +10.0% |
| 1948 | +10.0% |
| 1952 | −2.8% |
| 1956 | −12.4% |
| 1960 | +1.1% |
| 1964 | +46.9% |
| 1968 | +13.5% |
| 1972 | −12.8% |
| 1976 | +12.5% |
| 1980 | −5.1% |
| 1984 | −8.0% |
| 1988 | −4.2% |
| 1992 | +8.0% |
| 1996 | +9.0% |
| 2000 | +5.4% |
| 2004 | +1.1% |
| 2008 | +12.3% |
| 2012 | +4.7% |
| 2016 | −3.8% |
| 2020 | +0.7% |
| 2024 | −1.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 86,655 | 89,817 | 178,695 | ||
| D | 85,087 | 83,854 | 170,942 | ||
| R | 66,275 | 71,736 | 144,569 | ||
| D | 67,606 | 61,446 | 131,044 | ||
| D | 75,255 | 58,551 | 135,587 | ||
| D | 63,446 | 62,102 | 126,849 | ||
| D | 53,097 | 47,396 | 104,690 | ||
| D | 43,959 | 35,726 | 91,002 | ||
| D | 42,203 | 34,429 | 97,525 | ||
| R | 39,264 | 42,748 | 82,978 | ||
| R | 37,979 | 44,648 | 83,467 | ||
| R | 31,920 | 35,787 | 76,037 | ||
| D | 42,514 | 32,926 | 76,961 | ||
| R | 32,335 | 41,822 | 74,281 | ||
| D | 42,554 | 32,033 | 78,130 | ||
| D | 58,818 | 21,048 | 80,485 | ||
| D | 41,552 | 40,683 | 82,306 | ||
| R | 33,749 | 43,375 | 77,697 | ||
| R | 36,993 | 39,131 | 76,738 | ||
| D | 33,209 | 27,030 | 61,504 | ||
| D | 32,584 | 26,643 | 59,519 | ||
| D | 33,304 | 25,385 | 58,958 | ||
| D | 36,871 | 22,827 | 61,136 | ||
| D | 24,009 | 20,779 | 46,133 | ||
| R | 14,768 | 37,403 | 52,575 | ||
| R | 11,459 | 20,459 | 35,022 | ||
| R | 9,086 | 14,227 | 24,204 | ||
| D | 11,000 | 9,610 | 21,660 | ||
| D | 10,325 | 3,893 | 21,736 | ||
| D | 11,365 | 10,857 | 23,145 | ||
| R | 9,914 | 11,039 | 21,557 | ||
| D | 11,412 | 9,849 | 21,817 | ||
| D | 10,032 | 9,762 | 20,511 | ||
| D | 10,320 | 6,892 | 17,579 | ||
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Demographics
Northampton County has swung between parties in consecutive presidential cycles, making it one of Pennsylvania's closest-watched suburban-industrial bellwethers. Its mix of post-industrial Easton, growing exurbs, and rural townships keeps margins razor-thin.
The Democratic margin here reached forty-seven points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was two points.
A population of 318,580, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,184 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Muskegon County and Roosevelt County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Northampton County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
