HarrisDemocratic35.3%11,826TrumpRepublican63.5%21,289OliverLibertarian0.4%134
R+28.2- Lead
- 9,463
- Total
- 33,533
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- 65.6%
Akashiccounty
Kershaw County, SC
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.6% of 51,444 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic37.8%12,699TrumpRepublican60.9%20,471JorgensenLibertarian1.0%344
R+23.1- Lead
- 7,772
- Total
- 33,629
- vs nation
- R+27.6
- Turnout
- 67.7%
ClintonDemocratic35.6%10,330TrumpRepublican60.5%17,542JohnsonLibertarian1.9%560
R+24.9- Lead
- 7,212
- Total
- 28,995
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Turnout
- 60.9%
ObamaDemocratic40.3%11,259RomneyRepublican58.4%16,324OtherAll other candidates1.3%363
R+18.1- Lead
- 5,065
- Total
- 27,946
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic40.1%11,226McCainRepublican58.8%16,466OtherAll other candidates1.0%293
R+18.7- Lead
- 5,240
- Total
- 27,985
- vs nation
- R+26.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.2%8,515BushRepublican61.8%14,160OtherAll other candidates1.0%240
R+24.6- Lead
- 5,645
- Total
- 22,915
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic37.7%7,428BushRepublican60.5%11,911NaderGreen1.1%211
R+22.8- Lead
- 4,483
- Total
- 19,677
- vs nation
- R+23.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.4%6,764DoleRepublican52.1%8,513PerotReform6.1%996
R+10.7- Lead
- 1,749
- Total
- 16,354
- vs nation
- R+19.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 68,3142024 5-year
- Population density
- 94 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 727 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,2312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ouachita Parish, LA · twin score 88.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 65.6%33,762 participants ÷ 51,444 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 43.5%–48.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33,762 | 51,444 ± 460 | 65.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 22,600 | 49,556 ± 428 | 45.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 33,821 | 49,969 ± 493 | 67.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 23,814 | 48,838 ± 419 | 48.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 29,067 | 47,704 ± 301 | 60.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 27,946 | 45,387 | 61.6% | Derived | — | |
| 27,985 | 42,832 | 65.3% | Derived | — | |
| 22,915 | 40,277 extrapolated | 56.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Kershaw County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Kershaw County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Billy Webster0—
Jermaine Johnson0—
Mullins McLeod0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 32 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 33,533 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Elgin No. 1Elgin No. 1 | 798 | 1,140 | 22 | 1,960 | 40.7% | 58.2% | R+17.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SpringdaleSpringdale | 758 | 899 | 25 | 1,682 | 45.1% | 53.4% | R+8.4 |
| Precinct -Rabon's CrossroadsRabon's Crossroads | 355 | 1,252 | 18 | 1,625 | 21.8% | 77.0% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -Doby's MillDoby's Mill | 502 | 989 | 21 | 1,512 | 33.2% | 65.4% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -Elgin No. 4Elgin No. 4 | 516 | 894 | 25 | 1,435 | 36.0% | 62.3% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -Lugoff No. 2Lugoff No. 2 | 438 | 920 | 19 | 1,377 | 31.8% | 66.8% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -Hobkirk's HillHobkirk's Hill | 525 | 766 | 24 | 1,315 | 39.9% | 58.3% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct -Elgin No. 2Elgin No. 2 | 478 | 803 | 13 | 1,294 | 36.9% | 62.1% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -WestvilleWestville | 272 | 945 | 4 | 1,221 | 22.3% | 77.4% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -Camden No. 1Camden No. 1 | 642 | 549 | 22 | 1,213 | 52.9% | 45.3% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct -Lugoff No. 3Lugoff No. 3 | 343 | 849 | 16 | 1,208 | 28.4% | 70.3% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -White's GardensWhite's Gardens | 384 | 809 | 14 | 1,207 | 31.8% | 67.0% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -Lugoff No. 4Lugoff No. 4 | 344 | 829 | 20 | 1,193 | 28.8% | 69.5% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -Charlotte ThompsonCharlotte Thompson | 484 | 680 | 16 | 1,180 | 41.0% | 57.6% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -Elgin No. 5Elgin No. 5 | 461 | 691 | 16 | 1,168 | 39.5% | 59.2% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -BuffaloBuffalo | 158 | 916 | 5 | 1,079 | 14.6% | 84.9% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -CassattCassatt | 252 | 816 | 11 | 1,079 | 23.4% | 75.6% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -Elgin No. 3Elgin No. 3 | 437 | 606 | 10 | 1,053 | 41.5% | 57.5% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -Salt PondSalt Pond | 273 | 765 | 13 | 1,051 | 26.0% | 72.8% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -Elgin No. 6Elgin No. 6 | 464 | 499 | 6 | 969 | 47.9% | 51.5% | R+3.6 |
| Precinct -Lugoff No. 1Lugoff No. 1 | 315 | 610 | 12 | 937 | 33.6% | 65.1% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -Malvern HillMalvern Hill | 364 | 563 | 9 | 936 | 38.9% | 60.1% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct -BethuneBethune | 279 | 520 | 17 | 816 | 34.2% | 63.7% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -AirportAirport | 273 | 532 | 7 | 812 | 33.6% | 65.5% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -Shaylor's HillShaylor's Hill | 273 | 447 | 6 | 726 | 37.6% | 61.6% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -Camden No. 5Camden No. 5 | 262 | 423 | 13 | 698 | 37.5% | 60.6% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -Camden No. 6Camden No. 6 | 249 | 371 | 9 | 629 | 39.6% | 59.0% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -AntiochAntioch | 181 | 432 | 7 | 620 | 29.2% | 69.7% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -Liberty HillLiberty Hill | 101 | 371 | 1 | 473 | 21.4% | 78.4% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -RiverdaleRiverdale | 329 | 103 | 11 | 443 | 74.3% | 23.3% | D+51.0 |
| Precinct -Camden No. 5-ACamden No. 5-A | 205 | 151 | 2 | 358 | 57.3% | 42.2% | D+15.1 |
| Precinct -Camden No. 2Camden No. 2 | 111 | 149 | 4 | 264 | 42.0% | 56.4% | R+14.4 |
presidential history
Party record book
Kershaw County, SC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
99.9%
733 votes · D+99.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 99.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
74.8%
8,035 votes · R+51.2
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 66.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
12,699votes
37.8% of the vote · R+23.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 11,826 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
21,289votes
63.5% of the vote · R+28.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 20,471 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+124.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+99.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +119.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+50.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +28.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RAllen BlackmonState Senate · 27
DJeffrey GrahamState Senate · 35
RBrandon NewtonState House · 45
DKeishan ScottState House · 50
DJermaine JohnsonState House · 52
RCody MitchellState House · 65
DRobert ReeseState House · 70
Seats representing Kershaw County, SC. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 5 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 41,765 |
| 2018 | 46,126 |
| 2020 | 49,281 |
| 2022 | 46,722 |
| 2024 | 47,741 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,294 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +11,475 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,160 in average income, against $67,009 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+15.1 on average — 43 points more Democratic-leaning than Kershaw County, SC itself (R+28.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Richland County, SC715D+34.6
- Lexington County, SC126R+33.5
- Lancaster County, SC97R+24.8
- Sumter County, SC73D+4.9
- Lee County, SC52D+17.7
- York County, SC40R+19.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Richland County, SC440
- Lexington County, SC111
- Sumter County, SC70
- Lancaster County, SC58
- Lee County, SC36
- Fairfield County, SC34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +230 |
| 2012 | +41 |
| 2013 | +273 |
| 2014 | +441 |
| 2015 | +393 |
| 2016 | +545 |
| 2017 | +732 |
| 2018 | +497 |
| 2019 | +793 |
| 2021 | +854 |
| 2022 | +1,772 |
| 2023 | +2,140 |
| 2024 | +1,470 |
| 2025 | +1,294 |
Kershaw County sits along the I-20 corridor northeast of Columbia, blending small-city Camden with rural townships. Its Republican presidential margins have widened steadily since 2012, now exceeding 28 points despite modest population growth.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.7 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 51.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.2 points.
A population of 68,314, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,231 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ouachita Parish and Troup County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Ouachita Parish
Louisiana
88.2twin score
% Black% Catholic2000–2020 trajectory
Troup County
Georgia
86.0twin score
% Black% Catholicpopulation scale
Thomas County
Georgia
85.8twin score
% Black% Catholic2020 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kershaw County, South Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/45055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Kershaw County, South Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kershaw County, South Carolina voted Republican by 28.2 points (R+28.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 33,533 votes cast, 11,826 went Democratic and 21,289 went Republican.
When did Kershaw County, South Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kershaw County, South Carolina voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Kershaw County, South Carolina?
Kershaw County, South Carolina has a population of 68,314 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kershaw County, South Carolina?
Median household income in Kershaw County, South Carolina is $68,231 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Carolina state median is $69,324.
What is the political history of Kershaw County, South Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kershaw County, South Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.