HarrisDemocratic44.7%8,144TrumpRepublican54.3%9,900OliverLibertarian0.3%63
R+9.6- Lead
- 1,756
- Total
- 18,227
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Turnout
- 76.4%
Akashiccounty
Jasper County, SC
Contests in this Place (82 available)
President29 · 1912–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1912–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 76.4% of 24,057 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic49.9%7,185TrumpRepublican49.2%7,078JorgensenLibertarian0.6%92
D+0.7- Lead
- 107
- Total
- 14,394
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Turnout
- 67.1%
ClintonDemocratic52.1%5,956TrumpRepublican45.4%5,187JohnsonLibertarian1.2%139
D+6.7- Lead
- 769
- Total
- 11,427
- vs nation
- D+4.6
- Turnout
- 59.2%
ObamaDemocratic57.4%5,757RomneyRepublican41.6%4,169OtherAll other candidates0.9%95
D+15.8- Lead
- 1,588
- Total
- 10,021
- vs nation
- D+12.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic60.9%5,389McCainRepublican38.0%3,365OtherAll other candidates1.1%100
D+22.9- Lead
- 2,024
- Total
- 8,854
- vs nation
- D+15.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic56.1%3,840BushRepublican42.8%2,933OtherAll other candidates1.1%73
D+13.2- Lead
- 907
- Total
- 6,846
- vs nation
- D+15.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic56.4%3,646BushRepublican37.3%2,414NaderGreen2.1%134
D+19.0- Lead
- 1,232
- Total
- 6,469
- vs nation
- D+18.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic62.7%4,053DoleRepublican31.3%2,024PerotReform5.4%348
D+31.4- Lead
- 2,029
- Total
- 6,468
- vs nation
- D+22.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 32,1662024 5-year
- Population density
- 49 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 655 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,6132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 46.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+100.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Warren County, NC · twin score 93.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 76.4%18,382 participants ÷ 24,057 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 60.7%–62.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18,382 | 24,057 ± 568 | 76.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 11,278 | 21,956 ± 473 | 51.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 14,486 | 21,588 ± 439 | 67.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,529 | 20,119 ± 218 | 47.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,540 | 19,483 ± 243 | 59.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 10,021 | 16,838 | 59.5% | Derived | — | |
| 8,854 | 14,994 | 59.1% | Derived | — | |
| 6,846 | 13,150 extrapolated | 52.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Jasper County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Jasper County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Billy Webster0—
Jermaine Johnson0—
Mullins McLeod0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 18 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 18,227 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Sun CitySun City | 1,394 | 2,020 | 32 | 3,446 | 40.5% | 58.6% | R+18.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MargaritavilleMargaritaville | 1,214 | 1,825 | 31 | 3,070 | 39.5% | 59.4% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -Grahamville 2Grahamville 2 | 895 | 591 | 15 | 1,501 | 59.6% | 39.4% | D+20.3 |
| Precinct -LevyLevy | 710 | 519 | 16 | 1,245 | 57.0% | 41.7% | D+15.3 |
| Precinct -Okatie 2Okatie 2 | 469 | 732 | 9 | 1,210 | 38.8% | 60.5% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -Grahamville 1Grahamville 1 | 381 | 621 | 7 | 1,009 | 37.8% | 61.5% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -Hardeeville 3Hardeeville 3 | 243 | 463 | 4 | 710 | 34.2% | 65.2% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -Okatie 1Okatie 1 | 269 | 425 | 6 | 700 | 38.4% | 60.7% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -Ridgeland 1Ridgeland 1 | 206 | 475 | 10 | 691 | 29.8% | 68.7% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -Ridgeland 2Ridgeland 2 | 318 | 344 | 8 | 670 | 47.5% | 51.3% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -Ridgeland 3Ridgeland 3 | 222 | 390 | 2 | 614 | 36.2% | 63.5% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -Hardeeville 1Hardeeville 1 | 308 | 276 | 12 | 596 | 51.7% | 46.3% | D+5.4 |
| Precinct -GraysGrays | 130 | 437 | 1 | 568 | 22.9% | 76.9% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -Hardeeville 2Hardeeville 2 | 291 | 186 | 13 | 490 | 59.4% | 38.0% | D+21.4 |
| Precinct -TillmanTillman | 271 | 202 | 3 | 476 | 56.9% | 42.4% | D+14.5 |
| Precinct -GillisonvilleGillisonville | 214 | 240 | 6 | 460 | 46.5% | 52.2% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -PinelandPineland | 379 | 71 | 5 | 455 | 83.3% | 15.6% | D+67.7 |
| Precinct -CoosawhatchieCoosawhatchie | 230 | 83 | 3 | 316 | 72.8% | 26.3% | D+46.5 |
presidential history
Party record book
Jasper County, SC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
100.0%
219 votes · D+100.0
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 100.0%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
61.4%
1,593 votes · R+22.8
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 57.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
8,144votes
44.7% of the vote · R+9.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,185 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,900votes
54.3% of the vote · R+9.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,078 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+126.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+100.0 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +108.1 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+45.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+22.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +8.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DMargie Bright MatthewsState Senate · 45
RBill HagerState House · 122
RJeff BradleyState House · 123
Seats representing Jasper County, SC. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,954 |
| 2018 | 20,607 |
| 2020 | 23,694 |
| 2022 | 24,419 |
| 2024 | 26,925 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,056 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +11,512 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $91,278 in average income, against $68,094 for residents who stayed — 34% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.9 on average — about the same lean as Jasper County, SC (R+9.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Beaufort County, SC644R+14.5
- Chatham County, GA95D+18.0
- Hampton County, SC47D+6.4
- Suffolk County, NY25R+9.9
- Charleston County, SC25D+5.7
- Effingham County, GA21R+49.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Beaufort County, SC343
- Chatham County, GA80
- Effingham County, GA41
- Hampton County, SC37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +192 |
| 2012 | +267 |
| 2013 | +474 |
| 2014 | +212 |
| 2015 | +572 |
| 2016 | +456 |
| 2017 | +263 |
| 2018 | +483 |
| 2019 | +778 |
| 2021 | +1,352 |
| 2022 | +1,337 |
| 2023 | +1,383 |
| 2024 | +1,687 |
| 2025 | +2,056 |
Jasper County sits at South Carolina's southern tip bordering Georgia and Savannah's metro pull, with a population that is majority Black yet has trended toward Republican presidential candidates by double digits in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 22.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.6 points.
A population of 32,166, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,613 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Warren County and Hancock County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Warren County
North Carolina
93.6twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ African American ancestry
Hancock County
Georgia
93.4twin score
12-yr trend% White% unaffiliated≠ 2004 margin
Westmoreland County
Virginia
91.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jasper County, South Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/45053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Jasper County, South Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jasper County, South Carolina voted Republican by 9.6 points (R+9.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,227 votes cast, 8,144 went Democratic and 9,900 went Republican.
When did Jasper County, South Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jasper County, South Carolina voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Jasper County, South Carolina?
Jasper County, South Carolina has a population of 32,166 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jasper County, South Carolina?
Median household income in Jasper County, South Carolina is $65,613 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Carolina state median is $69,324.
What is the political history of Jasper County, South Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jasper County, South Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.