Carter County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 24,852 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Happy ValleyHappy Valley | 772 | 1,957 | 36 | 2,765 | 27.9% | 70.8% | R+42.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Roan MountainRoan Mountain | 181 | 1,595 | 12 | 1,788 | 10.1% | 89.2% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -WestsideWestside | 380 | 1,383 | 13 | 1,776 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -HunterHunter | 223 | 1,541 | 8 | 1,772 | 12.6% | 87.0% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -Gap CreekGap Creek | 317 | 1,296 | 10 | 1,623 | 19.5% | 79.9% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -Valley ForgeValley Forge | 239 | 1,245 | 14 | 1,498 | 16.0% | 83.1% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -High SchoolHigh School | 408 | 1,034 | 17 | 1,459 | 28.0% | 70.9% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -Tiger ValleyTiger Valley | 179 | 1,250 | 5 | 1,434 | 12.5% | 87.2% | R+74.7 |
| Precinct -Court HouseCourt House | 234 | 1,114 | 8 | 1,356 | 17.3% | 82.2% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -CentralCentral | 261 | 1,026 | 19 | 1,306 | 20.0% | 78.6% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -HamptonHampton | 132 | 947 | 5 | 1,084 | 12.2% | 87.4% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -KeenburgKeenburg | 157 | 894 | 12 | 1,063 | 14.8% | 84.1% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -EastsideEastside | 174 | 872 | 12 | 1,058 | 16.4% | 82.4% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -Harold McCormickHarold McCormick | 275 | 699 | 18 | 992 | 27.7% | 70.5% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -UnakaUnaka | 123 | 856 | 12 | 991 | 12.4% | 86.4% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -MidwayMidway | 47 | 592 | 10 | 649 | 7.2% | 91.2% | R+84.0 |
| Precinct -SiamSiam | 100 | 532 | 5 | 637 | 15.7% | 83.5% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -RangeRange | 63 | 406 | 4 | 473 | 13.3% | 85.8% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -Little MilliganLittle Milligan | 62 | 273 | 2 | 337 | 18.4% | 81.0% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -National Guard ArmoryNational Guard Armory | 50 | 261 | 4 | 315 | 15.9% | 82.9% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -WataugaWatauga | 47 | 222 | 4 | 273 | 17.2% | 81.3% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -Elk MillsElk Mills | 30 | 172 | 1 | 203 | 14.8% | 84.7% | R+70.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −57.2% |
| 1896 | −70.3% |
| 1900 | −73.4% |
| 1904 | −73.9% |
| 1908 | −74.5% |
| 1912 | −21.0% |
| 1916 | −71.2% |
| 1920 | −80.0% |
| 1924 | −73.3% |
| 1928 | −81.0% |
| 1932 | −52.5% |
| 1936 | −44.9% |
| 1940 | −31.9% |
| 1944 | −49.0% |
| 1948 | −45.0% |
| 1952 | −53.3% |
| 1956 | −58.2% |
| 1960 | −55.7% |
| 1964 | −22.8% |
| 1968 | −49.9% |
| 1972 | −65.9% |
| 1976 | −9.0% |
| 1980 | −31.2% |
| 1984 | −47.5% |
| 1988 | −44.1% |
| 1992 | −21.9% |
| 1996 | −23.6% |
| 2000 | −28.2% |
| 2004 | −42.0% |
| 2008 | −47.2% |
| 2012 | −52.0% |
| 2016 | −63.8% |
| 2020 | −61.5% |
| 2024 | −63.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 33,589 |
| 2018 | 34,026 |
| 2020 | 36,452 |
| 2022 | 34,898 |
| 2024 | 37,189 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+352 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,549 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,852 in average income, against $58,677 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.7 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Carter County, TN itself (R+63.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washington County, TN550R+39.5
- Sullivan County, TN203R+55.0
- Unicoi County, TN53R+62.0
- Greene County, TN36R+65.7
- Johnson County, TN33R+69.3
- Avery County, NC29R+52.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washington County, TN547
- Sullivan County, TN189
- Unicoi County, TN70
- Greene County, TN30
- Johnson County, TN29
- Hawkins County, TN24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +24 |
| 2012 | +98 |
| 2013 | −162 |
| 2014 | −520 |
| 2015 | +215 |
| 2016 | +306 |
| 2017 | +294 |
| 2018 | +171 |
| 2019 | +256 |
| 2021 | +155 |
| 2022 | +872 |
| 2023 | +874 |
| 2024 | +614 |
| 2025 | +352 |
Anchored by Elizabethton in the upper Watauga River valley, Carter County has delivered lopsided Republican presidential margins for decades, with 2024's R+63.2 result reflecting the broader rural Appalachian realignment that accelerated through the 2010s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 81.0 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.2 points.
A population of 56,712, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,135 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greene County and Clay County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carter County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.