Clay County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 7,517 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -B104B104 | 68 | 562 | 11 | 641 | 10.6% | 87.7% | R+77.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -E103E103 | 43 | 501 | 6 | 550 | 7.8% | 91.1% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -A106A106 | 42 | 501 | 5 | 548 | 7.7% | 91.4% | R+83.8 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 107 | 414 | 7 | 528 | 20.3% | 78.4% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 50 | 471 | 5 | 526 | 9.5% | 89.5% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -F102F102 | 34 | 468 | 6 | 508 | 6.7% | 92.1% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 43 | 430 | 5 | 478 | 9.0% | 90.0% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -F104F104 | 30 | 428 | 4 | 462 | 6.5% | 92.6% | R+86.1 |
| Precinct -F101F101 | 30 | 414 | 5 | 449 | 6.7% | 92.2% | R+85.5 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 23 | 412 | 11 | 446 | 5.2% | 92.4% | R+87.2 |
| Precinct -D104D104 | 27 | 365 | 4 | 396 | 6.8% | 92.2% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 31 | 242 | 8 | 281 | 11.0% | 86.1% | R+75.1 |
| Precinct -E102E102 | 30 | 240 | 2 | 272 | 11.0% | 88.2% | R+77.2 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 19 | 248 | 3 | 270 | 7.0% | 91.9% | R+84.8 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 17 | 246 | 4 | 267 | 6.4% | 92.1% | R+85.8 |
| Precinct -E101E101 | 28 | 201 | 1 | 230 | 12.2% | 87.4% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 12 | 178 | 3 | 193 | 6.2% | 92.2% | R+86.0 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 20 | 157 | 4 | 181 | 11.0% | 86.7% | R+75.7 |
| Precinct -A107A107 | 25 | 141 | 0 | 166 | 15.1% | 84.9% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -E104E104 | 13 | 110 | 2 | 125 | 10.4% | 88.0% | R+77.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −34.3% |
| 1896 | −41.3% |
| 1900 | −47.8% |
| 1904 | −51.4% |
| 1908 | −47.8% |
| 1912 | −18.2% |
| 1916 | −46.8% |
| 1920 | −61.0% |
| 1924 | −50.6% |
| 1928 | −74.2% |
| 1932 | −23.9% |
| 1936 | −44.4% |
| 1940 | −45.8% |
| 1944 | −56.8% |
| 1948 | −35.8% |
| 1952 | −50.4% |
| 1956 | −65.2% |
| 1960 | −56.2% |
| 1964 | −2.0% |
| 1968 | −55.6% |
| 1972 | −40.4% |
| 1976 | −37.1% |
| 1980 | −36.5% |
| 1984 | −48.8% |
| 1988 | −41.6% |
| 1992 | −36.8% |
| 1996 | −24.7% |
| 2000 | −47.7% |
| 2004 | −49.8% |
| 2008 | −56.5% |
| 2012 | −68.6% |
| 2016 | −75.5% |
| 2020 | −77.0% |
| 2024 | −80.3% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 13.9%687 | 86.1%4,238 | 4,925 |
| 2020 | R | 13.4%1,016 | 82.5%6,242 | 7,568 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.3 points more Democratic.
14,155 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+7 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,198 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $31,995 in average income, against $48,165 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+69.8 on average — 10 points more Democratic-leaning than Clay County, KY itself (R+80.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Laurel County, KY84R+69.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Laurel County, KY118
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −73 |
| 2012 | −103 |
| 2013 | −373 |
| 2014 | −168 |
| 2015 | −162 |
| 2016 | −314 |
| 2017 | −357 |
| 2018 | −173 |
| 2019 | −178 |
| 2021 | −28 |
| 2022 | −128 |
| 2023 | −142 |
| 2024 | −6 |
| 2025 | +7 |
A rural Appalachian county in southeastern Kentucky, Clay recorded an R+80.3 margin in 2024, placing it among the most lopsided presidential results in the state and reflecting a decades-long partisan realignment across the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 80.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 80.3 points.
A population of 19,921, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $40,900 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carter County and Russell County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clay County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.