Montgomery County, Tennessee: Sunbelt Conservative county. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+62 in 1944.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
- Population
- 234,1532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,6132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62 in 1944MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+18 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lancaster County, SC · similarity 0.97
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +8.8% |
| 1896 | −2.1% |
| 1900 | +9.9% |
| 1904 | +31.8% |
| 1908 | +21.5% |
| 1912 | +46.2% |
| 1916 | +32.6% |
| 1920 | +17.9% |
| 1924 | +34.2% |
| 1928 | +3.4% |
| 1932 | +54.9% |
| 1936 | +59.2% |
| 1940 | +58.6% |
| 1944 | +61.6% |
| 1948 | +59.1% |
| 1952 | +38.1% |
| 1956 | +48.1% |
| 1960 | +49.5% |
| 1964 | +56.7% |
| 1968 | +15.9% |
| 1972 | −15.5% |
| 1976 | +34.6% |
| 1980 | +14.8% |
| 1984 | −14.1% |
| 1988 | −15.8% |
| 1992 | +4.8% |
| 1996 | +4.1% |
| 2000 | −2.1% |
| 2004 | −17.5% |
| 2008 | −7.9% |
| 2012 | −10.3% |
| 2016 | −18.5% |
| 2020 | −12.7% |
| 2024 | −18.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 32,736 | 47,795 | 81,983 | ||
| R | 32,472 | 42,187 | 76,758 | ||
| R | 21,699 | 32,341 | 57,620 | ||
| R | 24,499 | 30,245 | 55,720 | ||
| R | 25,716 | 30,175 | 56,518 | ||
| R | 20,070 | 28,627 | 48,998 | ||
| R | 18,818 | 19,644 | 39,044 | ||
| D | 16,498 | 15,133 | 33,625 | ||
| D | 14,507 | 13,011 | 31,341 | ||
| R | 9,145 | 12,599 | 21,856 | ||
| R | 9,939 | 13,228 | 23,365 | ||
| D | 11,573 | 8,503 | 20,698 | ||
| D | 12,310 | 5,923 | 18,448 | ||
| R | 5,691 | 7,839 | 13,899 | ||
| O | 5,538 | 3,248 | 14,424 | ||
| D | 10,178 | 2,814 | 12,992 | ||
| D | 7,635 | 2,550 | 10,270 | ||
| D | 8,034 | 2,778 | 10,934 | ||
| D | 5,759 | 2,573 | 8,359 | ||
| D | 3,310 | 646 | 4,505 | ||
| D | 2,971 | 702 | 3,686 | ||
| D | 3,158 | 819 | 3,990 | ||
| D | 3,314 | 838 | 4,180 | ||
| D | 2,747 | 799 | 3,546 | ||
| D | 1,866 | 1,743 | 3,609 | ||
| D | 1,946 | 941 | 2,941 | ||
| D | 2,564 | 1,780 | 4,384 | ||
| D | 1,976 | 991 | 3,019 | ||
| D | 1,638 | 514 | 2,433 | ||
| D | 2,961 | 1,903 | 4,921 | ||
| D | 1,697 | 843 | 2,684 | ||
| D | 2,248 | 1,815 | 4,382 | ||
| R | 2,804 | 2,934 | 6,091 | ||
| D | 2,405 | 1,927 | 5,435 | ||
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Demographics
Montgomery County's large active-duty and veteran population tied to Fort Campbell gives it an unusually transient demographic mix, yet it has delivered Republican presidential margins consistently above 15 points across recent cycles.
The Republican margin here reached eighteen points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eighteen points.
A median household income of $75,613, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 234,153 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lancaster County and Screven County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montgomery County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47125/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
