† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
49 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNashvilleUnited States
English13.6%9.5%
American12.0%5.3%
German9.6%12.5%
Irish9.1%9.4%
Italian2.4%4.8%
Scottish2.2%1.3%
Scotch-Irish1.5%—
French1.4%1.6%
African American†10.2%9.9%
African0.8%0.5%
Mexican4.7%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.8%1.8%
Guatemalan0.6%0.5%
Honduran0.6%0.3%
Salvadoran0.4%0.7%
Cuban0.3%0.7%
Venezuelan0.2%—
Asian Indian0.6%1.4%
Chinese0.3%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%0.6%
Laotian0.2%—
Korean0.2%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Nashville
United States
Median age
37.5
39.1
Age 18–24
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Nashville
United States
Median household income
$79,496
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
34.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Nashville
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.9%
22.3%
Spanish
6.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Nashville
United States
Catholic
5.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
32.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
49.3%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Nashville, Tennessee
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+24.7%
1896
+20.0%
1900
+21.0%
1904
+21.2%
1908
+19.6%
1912
+30.9%
1916
+24.3%
1920
+10.8%
1924
+23.5%
1928
−0.8%
1932
+44.4%
1936
+44.5%
1940
+41.1%
1944
+34.1%
1948
+34.1%
1952
+22.0%
1956
+24.9%
1960
+11.8%
1964
+33.8%
1968
−0.9%
1972
−26.9%
1976
+29.4%
1980
+14.7%
1984
−10.7%
1988
−11.8%
1992
+12.1%
1996
+6.8%
2000
+0.6%
2004
−14.0%
2008
−14.6%
2012
−20.7%
2016
−25.6%
2020
−21.6%
2024
−28.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
35.3%Harris485,893
63.3%Trump871,644
1.4%
R+28.0
R+6.4
R+26.5
1,376,983
R
38.1%Biden514,605
59.8%Trump806,588
2.1%
R+21.6
D+4.0
R+26.1
1,349,721
R
34.7%Clinton372,377
60.3%Trump647,586
5.0%
R+25.6
R+4.9
R+27.7
1,073,610
R
38.8%Obama395,642
59.6%Romney606,987
1.6%
R+20.7
R+6.1
R+24.6
1,019,190
R
42.0%Obama448,989
56.6%McCain605,372
1.4%
R+14.6
R+0.6
R+21.9
1,069,077
R
42.7%Kerry419,420
56.7%Bush557,288
0.7%
R+14.0
R+14.6
R+11.6
983,177
D
49.5%Gore404,558
48.9%Bush399,719
1.6%
D+0.6
R+6.3
D+0.1
817,611
D
49.9%Clinton362,391
43.1%Dole312,691
7.1%
D+6.8
R+5.3
R+1.7
726,314
D
50.2%Clinton366,799
38.0%Bush278,232
11.8%
D+12.1
D+23.9
D+6.6
731,239
R
43.8%Dukakis259,005
55.6%Bush328,587
0.5%
R+11.8
R+1.0
R+4.1
590,772
R
44.3%Mondale267,137
55.0%Reagan331,938
0.7%
R+10.7
R+25.5
D+7.5
603,355
D
56.0%Carter318,384
41.2%Reagan234,623
2.8%
D+14.7
R+14.6
D+24.5
568,791
D
64.1%Carter325,914
34.8%Ford176,729
1.1%
D+29.4
D+56.2
D+27.3
508,123
R
35.2%McGovern139,159
62.1%Nixon245,280
2.7%
R+26.9
R+25.9
R+3.7
395,209
O
29.7%Humphrey128,655
30.6%Nixon132,661
39.7%
Wallace +9.0
R+34.7
R+0.2
433,137
D
66.9%Johnson262,078
33.1%Goldwater129,684
0.0%
D+33.8
D+22.0
D+11.2
391,906
D
55.5%Kennedy201,168
43.7%Nixon158,359
0.8%
D+11.8
R+13.1
D+11.7
362,379
D
62.0%Stevenson206,237
37.2%Eisenhower123,526
0.8%
D+24.9
D+2.9
D+40.3
332,506
D
60.9%Stevenson195,052
38.8%Eisenhower124,486
0.3%
D+22.0
R+12.1
D+32.8
320,466
D
60.8%Truman127,634
26.7%Dewey56,011
12.4%
D+34.1
D+0.1
D+29.7
209,758
D
66.9%Roosevelt136,217
32.8%Dewey66,827
0.3%
D+34.1
R+7.1
D+26.6
203,608
D
70.4%Roosevelt146,879
29.3%Willkie61,076
0.3%
D+41.1
R+3.4
D+31.2
208,514
D
72.1%Roosevelt130,993
27.5%Landon50,060
0.4%
D+44.5
D+0.1
D+20.3
181,752
D
71.8%Roosevelt129,524
27.4%Hoover49,442
0.7%
D+44.4
D+45.2
D+26.6
180,301
R
49.6%Smith83,144
50.3%Hoover84,408
0.1%
R+0.8
R+24.2
D+16.7
167,766
D
60.6%Davis89,698
37.1%Coolidge54,960
2.3%
D+23.5
D+12.7
D+48.6
148,090
D
55.2%Cox114,847
44.4%Harding92,383
0.5%
D+10.8
R+13.5
D+37.0
208,204
D
61.6%Wilson86,939
37.4%Hughes52,713
1.0%
D+24.3
R+6.7
D+21.1
141,065
D
59.8%Wilson80,037
28.9%Taft38,693
11.2%
D+30.9
D+11.3
D+11.4
133,732
D
59.2%Bryan80,164
39.6%Taft53,632
1.2%
D+19.6
R+1.6
D+29.1
135,446
D
59.5%Parker74,704
38.2%Roosevelt48,046
2.3%
D+21.2
D+0.3
D+40.9
125,657
D
59.5%Bryan83,869
38.5%McKinley54,330
1.9%
D+21.0
D+1.0
D+28.5
140,947
D
59.1%Bryan95,132
39.1%McKinley62,930
1.8%
D+20.0
R+4.7
D+26.1
160,974
D
55.8%Cleveland73,653
31.1%Harrison41,101
13.1%
D+24.7
—
D+23.0
131,982
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Nashville
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
1,598,991
2018 (partial)
1,633,882
2020 (partial)
1,821,309
2022 (partial)
1,894,227
2024
2,179,876
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+25,381 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +332,052 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Nashville in Nashville: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+9,455
2012
+19,520
2013
+11,443
2014
+21,665
2015
+22,339
2016
+24,859
2017
+28,343
2018
+26,328
2019
+22,055
2021
+23,352
2022
+41,842
2023
+29,292
2024
+26,178
2025
+25,381
The Nashville DMA spans a swath of Middle Tennessee counties that have trended toward tighter margins as in-migration from coastal metros accelerates, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide suburban sentiment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 28.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.0 points.
A population of 3,150,508, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,496 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Huntsville-Decatur (Florence) and Lexington.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/659/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Nashville, Tennessee voted Republican by 28.0 points (R+28.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,376,983 votes cast, 485,893 went Democratic and 871,644 went Republican.
When did Nashville, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville, Tennessee?
Nashville, Tennessee has a population of 3,150,508 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville, Tennessee is $79,496 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nashville, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.
