Van Buren County, Tennessee: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+67%. Republican peak: R+67 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 6,4372024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,9312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hickman County, TN · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +55.1% |
| 1896 | +48.7% |
| 1900 | +47.0% |
| 1904 | +37.5% |
| 1908 | +30.1% |
| 1912 | +30.9% |
| 1916 | +44.7% |
| 1920 | +22.0% |
| 1924 | +48.4% |
| 1928 | +0.6% |
| 1932 | +50.1% |
| 1936 | +46.7% |
| 1940 | +39.3% |
| 1944 | +28.7% |
| 1948 | +34.6% |
| 1952 | +25.8% |
| 1956 | +22.3% |
| 1960 | +17.7% |
| 1964 | +49.4% |
| 1968 | −4.0% |
| 1972 | −26.0% |
| 1976 | +51.2% |
| 1980 | +27.6% |
| 1984 | +6.0% |
| 1988 | +1.0% |
| 1992 | +37.2% |
| 1996 | +30.4% |
| 2000 | +19.2% |
| 2004 | +3.8% |
| 2008 | −20.4% |
| 2012 | −22.2% |
| 2016 | −53.0% |
| 2020 | −61.6% |
| 2024 | −67.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 524 | 2,718 | 3,265 | ||
| R | 544 | 2,342 | 2,921 | ||
| R | 539 | 1,820 | 2,419 | ||
| R | 875 | 1,386 | 2,300 | ||
| R | 849 | 1,294 | 2,180 | ||
| D | 1,209 | 1,120 | 2,347 | ||
| D | 1,255 | 845 | 2,131 | ||
| D | 1,010 | 504 | 1,663 | ||
| D | 1,329 | 555 | 2,080 | ||
| D | 796 | 780 | 1,580 | ||
| D | 810 | 718 | 1,535 | ||
| D | 886 | 499 | 1,404 | ||
| D | 1,085 | 346 | 1,442 | ||
| R | 364 | 629 | 1,021 | ||
| O | 282 | 327 | 1,116 | ||
| D | 865 | 293 | 1,158 | ||
| D | 577 | 401 | 995 | ||
| D | 602 | 381 | 991 | ||
| D | 674 | 393 | 1,088 | ||
| D | 636 | 298 | 978 | ||
| D | 526 | 291 | 820 | ||
| D | 732 | 318 | 1,053 | ||
| D | 690 | 251 | 941 | ||
| D | 613 | 196 | 833 | ||
| D | 260 | 257 | 517 | ||
| D | 357 | 123 | 483 | ||
| D | 351 | 223 | 582 | ||
| D | 405 | 151 | 568 | ||
| D | 225 | 106 | 385 | ||
| D | 329 | 176 | 509 | ||
| D | 352 | 160 | 512 | ||
| D | 425 | 153 | 579 | ||
| D | 419 | 140 | 573 | ||
| D | 360 | 89 | 492 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Van Buren County's 2024 presidential margin of R+67.2 reflects a pattern common across the Cumberland Plateau's sparse, rural communities, where low population density and limited economic diversification have shaped a consistently lopsided electorate for decades.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at fifty-five points in 1892 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2008 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by twenty points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-seven points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $54,931 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 16% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hickman County and Pemiscot County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Van Buren County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47175/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
