Van Buren County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
7 precincts · 3,265 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Fall Creek Falls Comm. CenterFall Creek Falls Comm. Center | 82 | 534 | 4 | 620 | 13.2% | 86.1% | R+72.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Spencer 1Spencer 1 | 86 | 514 | 2 | 602 | 14.3% | 85.4% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -Piney Fire HallPiney Fire Hall | 105 | 473 | 5 | 583 | 18.0% | 81.1% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -Spencer 5Spencer 5 | 64 | 426 | 1 | 491 | 13.0% | 86.8% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -Cedar Grove Community Cntr.Cedar Grove Community Cntr. | 82 | 315 | 5 | 402 | 20.4% | 78.4% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -Cummingsville Community Cntr.Cummingsville Community Cntr. | 57 | 320 | 3 | 380 | 15.0% | 84.2% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -White Hill Community Cntr.White Hill Community Cntr. | 48 | 136 | 3 | 187 | 25.7% | 72.7% | R+47.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +55.1% |
| 1896 | +48.7% |
| 1900 | +47.0% |
| 1904 | +37.5% |
| 1908 | +30.1% |
| 1912 | +30.9% |
| 1916 | +44.7% |
| 1920 | +22.0% |
| 1924 | +48.4% |
| 1928 | +0.6% |
| 1932 | +50.1% |
| 1936 | +46.7% |
| 1940 | +39.3% |
| 1944 | +28.7% |
| 1948 | +34.6% |
| 1952 | +25.8% |
| 1956 | +22.3% |
| 1960 | +17.7% |
| 1964 | +49.4% |
| 1968 | −4.0% |
| 1972 | −26.0% |
| 1976 | +51.2% |
| 1980 | +27.6% |
| 1984 | +6.0% |
| 1988 | +1.0% |
| 1992 | +37.2% |
| 1996 | +30.4% |
| 2000 | +19.2% |
| 2004 | +3.8% |
| 2008 | −20.4% |
| 2012 | −22.2% |
| 2016 | −53.0% |
| 2020 | −61.6% |
| 2024 | −67.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 4,506 |
| 2018 | 4,637 |
| 2020 | 4,746 |
| 2022 | 4,667 |
| 2024 | 4,816 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+220 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,236 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $75,425 in average income, against $58,994 for residents who stayed — 28% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+59.4 on average — 7.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Van Buren County, TN itself (R+67.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- White County, TN33R+66.6
- Putnam County, TN20R+47.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- White County, TN34
- Warren County, TN21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −13 |
| 2012 | +104 |
| 2013 | −79 |
| 2014 | +138 |
| 2015 | +12 |
| 2016 | +41 |
| 2017 | +35 |
| 2018 | +24 |
| 2019 | +95 |
| 2021 | +185 |
| 2022 | +207 |
| 2023 | +136 |
| 2024 | +131 |
| 2025 | +220 |
Van Buren County's 2024 presidential margin of R+67.2 reflects a pattern common across the Cumberland Plateau's sparse, rural communities, where low population density and limited economic diversification have shaped a consistently lopsided electorate for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.1 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 67.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.2 points.
A population of 6,437, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,931 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grundy County and Overton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Van Buren County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47175/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.