Warren County, Tennessee: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+56%. Democratic peak: D+69 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,1662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,4872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cannon County, TN · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Warren CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Warren County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +35.8% |
| 1896 | +41.9% |
| 1900 | +48.3% |
| 1904 | +42.6% |
| 1908 | +36.2% |
| 1912 | +59.8% |
| 1916 | +49.3% |
| 1920 | +32.4% |
| 1924 | +46.2% |
| 1928 | +9.2% |
| 1932 | +69.3% |
| 1936 | +61.0% |
| 1940 | +61.6% |
| 1944 | +49.9% |
| 1948 | +48.4% |
| 1952 | +30.0% |
| 1956 | +34.3% |
| 1960 | +7.5% |
| 1964 | +48.3% |
| 1968 | +2.4% |
| 1972 | −24.6% |
| 1976 | +47.2% |
| 1980 | +23.6% |
| 1984 | +0.0% |
| 1988 | +1.3% |
| 1992 | +28.2% |
| 1996 | +18.6% |
| 2000 | +13.9% |
| 2004 | −4.8% |
| 2008 | −21.2% |
| 2012 | −25.0% |
| 2016 | −44.1% |
| 2020 | −49.5% |
| 2024 | −56.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,647 | 13,192 | 17,050 | ||
| R | 3,924 | 11,850 | 16,009 | ||
| R | 3,535 | 9,540 | 13,612 | ||
| R | 4,752 | 8,010 | 13,015 | ||
| R | 5,515 | 8,562 | 14,400 | ||
| R | 6,808 | 7,503 | 14,400 | ||
| D | 7,378 | 5,552 | 13,131 | ||
| D | 6,389 | 4,226 | 11,633 | ||
| D | 7,189 | 3,704 | 12,355 | ||
| D | 4,646 | 4,529 | 9,218 | ||
| D | 4,813 | 4,811 | 9,691 | ||
| D | 6,021 | 3,680 | 9,904 | ||
| D | 6,666 | 2,364 | 9,115 | ||
| R | 2,118 | 3,565 | 5,894 | ||
| O | 2,046 | 1,858 | 7,718 | ||
| D | 5,027 | 1,754 | 6,781 | ||
| D | 3,119 | 2,682 | 5,841 | ||
| D | 4,014 | 1,954 | 5,998 | ||
| D | 3,568 | 1,912 | 5,513 | ||
| D | 2,969 | 807 | 4,464 | ||
| D | 2,560 | 848 | 3,429 | ||
| D | 2,323 | 546 | 2,887 | ||
| D | 2,304 | 553 | 2,870 | ||
| D | 2,325 | 410 | 2,765 | ||
| D | 1,111 | 923 | 2,043 | ||
| D | 1,356 | 490 | 1,874 | ||
| D | 1,986 | 1,010 | 3,012 | ||
| D | 1,855 | 624 | 2,498 | ||
| D | 1,745 | 339 | 2,350 | ||
| D | 1,573 | 729 | 2,330 | ||
| D | 1,815 | 707 | 2,599 | ||
| D | 1,926 | 672 | 2,598 | ||
| D | 2,101 | 842 | 3,003 | ||
| D | 1,568 | 633 | 2,614 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
18.0%
English
15.3%
Irish
8.5%
German
5.9%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
1.4%
French
1.0%
African American
2.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$55,487
Warren County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Warren County$55,487
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Warren County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.4%
Working age (18–64)14.4%
Seniors (65+)12.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.7%
speak English only
Spanish6.0%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Warren County sits on Tennessee's Cumberland Plateau and has shifted steadily toward lopsided Republican margins in federal races, with Donald Trump carrying it by 56 points in 2024 — among the wider gaps in a state already dominated by one party at the top of the ticket.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at sixty-nine points in 1932 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2004 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by five points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-six points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $55,487 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 16% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cannon County and Giles County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warren County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47177/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Tennessee
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Frequently asked questions
How did Warren County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warren County, Tennessee voted Republican by 56.0 points (R+56), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,050 votes cast, 3,647 went Democratic and 13,192 went Republican.
What is Warren County, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Warren County, Tennessee in the "Appalachian Realigners" typology — Lower-income counties of Greater Appalachia — a long, deep arc from Democratic to Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did Warren County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warren County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Warren County, Tennessee?
Warren County, Tennessee has a population of 42,166 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warren County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Warren County, Tennessee is $55,487 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Warren County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warren County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The county's typology — "Appalachian Realigners" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.