Warren County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 17,015 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -07-1 - Friendship The Baptist Church07-1 - Friendship The Baptist Church | 307 | 1,223 | 16 | 1,546 | 19.9% | 79.1% | R+59.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -01-1 Christ Community Church01-1 Christ Community Church | 415 | 827 | 14 | 1,256 | 33.0% | 65.8% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -08-1 Shellsford Baptist Church08-1 Shellsford Baptist Church | 225 | 1,002 | 16 | 1,243 | 18.1% | 80.6% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -09-1 Morrison Ruritan Club09-1 Morrison Ruritan Club | 242 | 957 | 19 | 1,218 | 19.9% | 78.6% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -04-1 TSU Nursery Res. Center04-1 TSU Nursery Res. Center | 272 | 799 | 9 | 1,080 | 25.2% | 74.0% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -11-2 HWY 56 N Church of Christ11-2 HWY 56 N Church of Christ | 179 | 873 | 9 | 1,061 | 16.9% | 82.3% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -06-1 Redemption Center06-1 Redemption Center | 262 | 753 | 7 | 1,022 | 25.6% | 73.7% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -03-2 Smartt First Baptist Church03-2 Smartt First Baptist Church | 190 | 778 | 8 | 976 | 19.5% | 79.7% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -02-1 Courthouse02-1 Courthouse | 224 | 658 | 13 | 895 | 25.0% | 73.5% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -10-1 Centertown United Methodist Church10-1 Centertown United Methodist Church | 174 | 667 | 5 | 846 | 20.6% | 78.8% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -02-2 Warren County Airport02-2 Warren County Airport | 142 | 654 | 8 | 804 | 17.7% | 81.3% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -05-1 Three Star Mall05-1 Three Star Mall | 192 | 541 | 9 | 742 | 25.9% | 72.9% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -10-2 Centertown Community Center10-2 Centertown Community Center | 123 | 599 | 4 | 726 | 16.9% | 82.5% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -12-2 Lucky Community Center12-2 Lucky Community Center | 132 | 531 | 7 | 670 | 19.7% | 79.3% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -12-1 Highway Department12-1 Highway Department | 113 | 514 | 9 | 636 | 17.8% | 80.8% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -03-1 Westwood Church of Christ03-1 Westwood Church of Christ | 131 | 496 | 7 | 634 | 20.7% | 78.2% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -08-3 Bonner Church of Christ08-3 Bonner Church of Christ | 86 | 397 | 3 | 486 | 17.7% | 81.7% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -11-1 Midway Community Center11-1 Midway Community Center | 73 | 360 | 5 | 438 | 16.7% | 82.2% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -09-2 Viola Valley Community Center09-2 Viola Valley Community Center | 69 | 329 | 5 | 403 | 17.1% | 81.6% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -05-2 Chamber of Commerce05-2 Chamber of Commerce | 96 | 234 | 3 | 333 | 28.8% | 70.3% | R+41.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +35.8% |
| 1896 | +41.9% |
| 1900 | +48.3% |
| 1904 | +42.6% |
| 1908 | +36.2% |
| 1912 | +59.8% |
| 1916 | +49.3% |
| 1920 | +32.4% |
| 1924 | +46.2% |
| 1928 | +9.2% |
| 1932 | +69.3% |
| 1936 | +61.0% |
| 1940 | +61.6% |
| 1944 | +49.9% |
| 1948 | +48.4% |
| 1952 | +30.0% |
| 1956 | +34.3% |
| 1960 | +7.5% |
| 1964 | +48.3% |
| 1968 | +2.4% |
| 1972 | −24.6% |
| 1976 | +47.2% |
| 1980 | +23.6% |
| 1984 | +0.0% |
| 1988 | +1.3% |
| 1992 | +28.2% |
| 1996 | +18.6% |
| 2000 | +13.9% |
| 2004 | −4.8% |
| 2008 | −21.2% |
| 2012 | −25.0% |
| 2016 | −44.1% |
| 2020 | −49.5% |
| 2024 | −56.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,953 |
| 2018 | 21,773 |
| 2020 | 22,911 |
| 2022 | 23,915 |
| 2024 | 25,486 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+218 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,944 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,210 in average income, against $59,980 for residents who stayed — 4% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.3 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Warren County, TN itself (R+56.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Rutherford County, TN167R+21.8
- Coffee County, TN89R+55.1
- DeKalb County, TN57R+62.7
- Davidson County, TN50D+27.4
- Cannon County, TN47R+66.1
- White County, TN34R+66.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Rutherford County, TN107
- Coffee County, TN92
- DeKalb County, TN55
- Cannon County, TN49
- White County, TN47
- Putnam County, TN44
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +36 |
| 2012 | −167 |
| 2013 | +55 |
| 2014 | +59 |
| 2015 | +264 |
| 2016 | +174 |
| 2017 | +242 |
| 2018 | +124 |
| 2019 | +413 |
| 2021 | +558 |
| 2022 | +510 |
| 2023 | +566 |
| 2024 | +892 |
| 2025 | +218 |
Warren County sits on Tennessee's Cumberland Plateau and has shifted steadily toward lopsided Republican margins in federal races, with Donald Trump carrying it by 56 points in 2024 — among the wider gaps in a state already dominated by one party at the top of the ticket.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.1 points.
A population of 42,166, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,487 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clay County and Franklin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Warren County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47177/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.