Atascosa County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 18,468 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 590 | 2,146 | 18 | 2,754 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 344 | 1,329 | 15 | 1,688 | 20.4% | 78.7% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 494 | 899 | 18 | 1,411 | 35.0% | 63.7% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 424 | 923 | 16 | 1,363 | 31.1% | 67.7% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 398 | 806 | 22 | 1,226 | 32.5% | 65.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 258 | 825 | 11 | 1,094 | 23.6% | 75.4% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 307 | 754 | 9 | 1,070 | 28.7% | 70.5% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 430 | 576 | 11 | 1,017 | 42.3% | 56.6% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 328 | 629 | 7 | 964 | 34.0% | 65.2% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 249 | 609 | 7 | 865 | 28.8% | 70.4% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 322 | 490 | 8 | 820 | 39.3% | 59.8% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 124 | 615 | 9 | 748 | 16.6% | 82.2% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 225 | 393 | 5 | 623 | 36.1% | 63.1% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 135 | 475 | 3 | 613 | 22.0% | 77.5% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 99 | 437 | 2 | 538 | 18.4% | 81.2% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 148 | 338 | 3 | 489 | 30.3% | 69.1% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 97 | 309 | 3 | 409 | 23.7% | 75.6% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 102 | 226 | 1 | 329 | 31.0% | 68.7% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 61 | 236 | 5 | 302 | 20.2% | 78.1% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 18 | 127 | 0 | 145 | 12.4% | 87.6% | R+75.2 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +70.1% |
| 1908 | +60.7% |
| 1912 | +72.1% |
| 1916 | +63.7% |
| 1920 | +45.1% |
| 1924 | +40.7% |
| 1928 | −13.1% |
| 1932 | +82.7% |
| 1936 | +74.7% |
| 1940 | +64.2% |
| 1944 | +40.5% |
| 1948 | +43.6% |
| 1952 | −0.5% |
| 1956 | −9.4% |
| 1960 | +16.8% |
| 1964 | +43.0% |
| 1968 | +14.1% |
| 1972 | −30.6% |
| 1976 | +30.4% |
| 1980 | −4.5% |
| 1984 | −19.6% |
| 1988 | −1.3% |
| 1992 | −0.4% |
| 1996 | +1.7% |
| 2000 | −17.8% |
| 2004 | −26.5% |
| 2008 | −10.5% |
| 2012 | −18.3% |
| 2016 | −29.0% |
| 2020 | −34.0% |
| 2024 | −43.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,478 |
| 2018 | 26,434 |
| 2020 | 29,409 |
| 2022 | 29,927 |
| 2024 | 32,142 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+522 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +7,286 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,431 in average income, against $66,999 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.1 on average — 46 points more Democratic-leaning than Atascosa County, TX itself (R+43.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX914D+9.7
- Medina County, TX77R+42.7
- Wilson County, TX31R+53.7
- Nueces County, TX26R+11.5
- Harris County, TX23D+5.5
- Guadalupe County, TX22R+29.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX693
- Medina County, TX93
- Wilson County, TX28
- Guadalupe County, TX24
- Travis County, TX21
- Comal County, TX20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +270 |
| 2012 | +704 |
| 2013 | +298 |
| 2014 | +434 |
| 2015 | +291 |
| 2016 | +42 |
| 2017 | +71 |
| 2018 | +946 |
| 2019 | +551 |
| 2021 | +715 |
| 2022 | +906 |
| 2023 | +950 |
| 2024 | +586 |
| 2025 | +522 |
Atascosa County, anchored by Jourdanton along the state's brush-country belt, has shifted decisively rightward over the past decade despite a majority-Hispanic population — a pattern mirroring several neighboring South Texas counties in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 43.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.3 points.
A population of 51,008, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,770 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Uvalde County and San Patricio County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Atascosa County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.