Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupColeman CountyTexasUnited States
English14.1%7.9%9.5%
German12.5%8.3%12.5%
Irish9.5%6.0%9.4%
Scottish5.2%1.3%1.3%
Scotch-Irish4.6%——
French4.1%1.5%1.6%
American3.5%4.6%5.3%
Italian3.0%1.9%4.8%
Mexican14.3%32.1%11.3%
Salvadoran1.2%1.2%0.7%
Spanish0.8%——
African American†3.6%10.3%9.9%
African0.6%0.6%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Coleman County
Texas
United States
Median age
48.7
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
6.8%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
26.1%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Coleman County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$49,159
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.6%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
16.8%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Coleman County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
15.6%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
12.9%
28.2%
13.6%
Other languages
2.2%
0.7%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Coleman County
Texas
United States
Catholic
8.6%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
47.4%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
37.0%
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.3%
4.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Coleman County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 4,164 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Coleman County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4
98
966
7
1,071
9.2%
90.2%
R+81.0
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
100
957
3
1,060
9.4%
90.3%
R+80.8
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3
90
794
9
893
10.1%
88.9%
R+78.8
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
108
706
4
818
13.2%
86.3%
R+73.1
Precinct -Precinct 2EPrecinct 2E
32
289
1
322
9.9%
89.8%
R+79.8
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+80.5%
1908
+73.7%
1912
+76.1%
1916
+81.0%
1920
+49.2%
1924
+67.7%
1928
−6.0%
1932
+84.6%
1936
+82.8%
1940
+75.3%
1944
+64.5%
1948
+62.7%
1952
−16.7%
1956
−17.4%
1960
−7.3%
1964
+30.1%
1968
−1.4%
1972
−53.5%
1976
+15.0%
1980
−12.7%
1984
−32.5%
1988
−8.4%
1992
+2.8%
1996
−8.4%
2000
−51.3%
2004
−59.0%
2008
−64.0%
2012
−73.6%
2016
−76.6%
2020
−77.3%
2024
−79.0%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
10.3%Harris428
89.3%Trump3,712
0.3%Oliver11 +2
R+79.0
R+1.8
R+77.5
4,156
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican89.3%3,712
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic10.3%428
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%11
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%4
OtherAll other candidates0.0%1
R
10.9%Biden451
88.2%Trump3,641
0.6%Jorgensen23
R+77.3
R+0.7
R+81.7
4,129
R
10.7%Clinton388
87.2%Trump3,177
1.5%Johnson53
R+76.6
R+3.0
R+78.6
3,643
R
12.7%Obama442
86.3%Romney3,012
0.6%Gray22
R+73.6
R+9.6
R+77.5
3,492
R
17.4%Obama643
81.3%McCain3,011
1.3%
R+64.0
R+5.0
R+71.2
3,702
R
20.3%Kerry778
79.3%Bush3,035
0.3%
R+59.0
R+7.7
R+56.5
3,826
R
23.8%Gore853
75.1%Bush2,687
0.8%Nader27
R+51.3
R+42.9
R+51.8
3,578
R
40.8%Clinton1,488
49.2%Dole1,793
9.6%Perot349
R+8.4
R+11.2
R+16.9
3,645
D
38.2%Clinton1,579
35.3%Bush1,462
26.5%Perot1,095
D+2.8
D+11.2
R+2.7
4,138
R
45.8%Dukakis1,978
54.2%Bush2,340
0.1%
R+8.4
D+24.1
R+0.7
4,321
R
33.7%Mondale1,420
66.2%Reagan2,790
0.2%
R+32.5
R+19.7
R+14.3
4,217
R
43.0%Carter1,719
55.8%Reagan2,228
1.2%
R+12.7
R+27.8
R+3.0
3,994
D
57.2%Carter2,264
42.2%Ford1,669
0.6%
D+15.0
D+68.5
D+13.0
3,955
R
23.2%McGovern721
76.7%Nixon2,386
0.2%
R+53.5
R+52.1
R+30.3
3,112
R
35.3%Humphrey1,449
36.7%Nixon1,507
28.1%
R+1.4
R+31.5
R+0.7
4,109
D
65.0%Johnson2,670
34.9%Goldwater1,434
0.0%
D+30.1
D+37.5
D+7.5
4,105
R
46.1%Kennedy1,835
53.5%Nixon2,127
0.4%
R+7.3
D+10.1
R+7.5
3,977
R
41.1%Stevenson1,577
58.5%Eisenhower2,247
0.4%
R+17.4
R+0.8
R+2.0
3,841
R
41.6%Stevenson1,824
58.2%Eisenhower2,555
0.2%
R+16.7
R+79.4
R+5.9
4,387
D
78.6%Truman2,695
15.9%Dewey545
5.5%
D+62.7
R+1.8
D+58.2
3,429
D
77.9%Roosevelt2,887
13.4%Dewey498
8.6%
D+64.5
R+10.8
D+57.0
3,704
D
87.5%Roosevelt3,257
12.2%Willkie454
0.3%
D+75.3
R+7.5
D+65.3
3,723
D
91.3%Roosevelt2,900
8.5%Landon269
0.3%
D+82.8
R+1.8
D+58.6
3,177
D
92.1%Roosevelt2,881
7.5%Hoover235
0.4%
D+84.6
D+90.6
D+66.8
3,128
R
47.0%Smith1,459
53.0%Hoover1,645
0.0%
R+6.0
R+73.7
D+11.5
3,104
D
82.7%Davis2,763
15.0%Coolidge502
2.3%La Follette76
D+67.7
D+18.4
D+92.9
3,341
D
65.3%Cox1,445
16.0%Harding355
18.7%
D+49.2
R+31.8
D+75.4
2,214
D
85.9%Wilson1,700
4.8%Hughes96
9.3%
D+81.0
D+4.9
D+77.9
1,980
D
79.4%Wilson1,280
3.2%Taft52
17.4%
D+76.1
D+2.5
D+56.6
1,613
D
83.3%Bryan1,170
9.6%Taft135
7.1%
D+73.7
R+6.8
D+83.2
1,405
D
87.6%Parker771
7.2%Roosevelt63
5.2%
D+80.5
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D+100.1
880
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
11.4%470
87.0%3,585
4,122
2020
R
10.5%426
88.2%3,586
4,065
2018
R
11.2%351
88.3%2,759
3,126
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Coleman County, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
5,945
2018
5,663
2020
5,960
2022
5,986
2024
6,139
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+30 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +363 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,046 in average income, against $77,466 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+63.6 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Coleman County, TX itself (R+79.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Brown County, TX31R+73.9
Taylor County, TX23R+49.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Brown County, TX37
Taylor County, TX30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Coleman County, TX in Coleman County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−116
2012
−36
2013
−139
2014
−46
2015
−36
2016
+129
2017
+51
2018
+11
2019
−160
2021
+167
2022
+219
2023
+115
2024
+174
2025
+30
Coleman County's 2024 presidential result placed it among the most one-sided counties in Texas, reflecting a rural, sparsely populated ranching community where Republican alignment has deepened steadily over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 79.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 79.0 points.
A population of 7,833, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,159 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wood County and Leon County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Coleman County, Texas voted Republican by 79.0 points (R+79.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,156 votes cast, 428 went Democratic and 3,712 went Republican.
When did Coleman County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Coleman County, Texas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Coleman County, Texas?
Coleman County, Texas has a population of 7,833 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Coleman County, Texas?
Median household income in Coleman County, Texas is $49,159 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Coleman County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Coleman County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
