Duval County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 4,447 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 385 | 884 | 3 | 1,272 | 30.3% | 69.5% | R+39.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 543 | 581 | 6 | 1,130 | 48.1% | 51.4% | R+3.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 397 | 257 | 3 | 657 | 60.4% | 39.1% | D+21.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 302 | 294 | 3 | 599 | 50.4% | 49.1% | D+1.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 117 | 159 | 1 | 277 | 42.2% | 57.4% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 153 | 96 | 2 | 251 | 61.0% | 38.2% | D+22.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 22 | 86 | 0 | 108 | 20.4% | 79.6% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 47 | 33 | 1 | 81 | 58.0% | 40.7% | D+17.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 27 | 45 | 0 | 72 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +6.7% |
| 1912 | +99.0% |
| 1916 | +87.9% |
| 1920 | +84.8% |
| 1924 | +85.8% |
| 1928 | +48.3% |
| 1932 | +96.2% |
| 1936 | +89.2% |
| 1940 | +91.0% |
| 1944 | +91.4% |
| 1948 | +93.3% |
| 1952 | +66.3% |
| 1956 | +36.1% |
| 1960 | +64.9% |
| 1964 | +85.2% |
| 1968 | +80.2% |
| 1972 | +71.4% |
| 1976 | +73.0% |
| 1980 | +56.6% |
| 1984 | +51.4% |
| 1988 | +64.2% |
| 1992 | +65.7% |
| 1996 | +73.3% |
| 2000 | +59.2% |
| 2004 | +42.9% |
| 2008 | +50.4% |
| 2012 | +54.1% |
| 2016 | +35.2% |
| 2020 | +2.6% |
| 2024 | −9.8% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,139 |
| 2018 | 1,971 |
| 2020 | 8,346 |
| 2022 | 8,129 |
| 2024 | 8,031 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−202 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,196 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $34,538 in average income, against $47,981 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.6 on average — 4.8 points more Republican-leaning than Duval County, TX itself (R+9.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jim Wells County, TX84R+15.5
- Nueces County, TX25R+11.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jim Wells County, TX80
- Nueces County, TX40
- Bexar County, TX28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +13 |
| 2012 | −290 |
| 2013 | −27 |
| 2014 | −119 |
| 2015 | −231 |
| 2016 | +64 |
| 2017 | −185 |
| 2018 | −149 |
| 2019 | −8 |
| 2021 | +264 |
| 2022 | −312 |
| 2023 | −61 |
| 2024 | +47 |
| 2025 | −202 |
Duval County, long anchored by South Texas Hispanic voters who delivered lopsided Democratic margins for decades, swung sharply rightward across the 2020s — a shift that mirrors broader realignment patterns along the Rio Grande corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 9.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 12.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.8 points.
A population of 9,742, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,038 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Starr County and Zavala County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Duval County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.