Gaines County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
7 precincts · 6,416 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 118 | 1,988 | 9 | 2,115 | 5.6% | 94.0% | R+88.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 97 | 1,208 | 9 | 1,314 | 7.4% | 91.9% | R+84.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 97 | 1,120 | 9 | 1,226 | 7.9% | 91.4% | R+83.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 123 | 763 | 3 | 889 | 13.8% | 85.8% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 72 | 476 | 1 | 549 | 13.1% | 86.7% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 21 | 145 | 5 | 171 | 12.3% | 84.8% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 10 | 140 | 2 | 152 | 6.6% | 92.1% | R+85.5 |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +82.7% |
| 1912 | +91.9% |
| 1916 | +95.2% |
| 1920 | +87.4% |
| 1924 | +69.2% |
| 1928 | −38.1% |
| 1932 | +82.9% |
| 1936 | +87.9% |
| 1940 | +76.8% |
| 1944 | +68.0% |
| 1948 | +70.1% |
| 1952 | +6.5% |
| 1956 | +10.2% |
| 1960 | −0.7% |
| 1964 | +27.9% |
| 1968 | −8.9% |
| 1972 | −47.8% |
| 1976 | +6.7% |
| 1980 | −33.0% |
| 1984 | −54.3% |
| 1988 | −26.5% |
| 1992 | −26.5% |
| 1996 | −25.0% |
| 2000 | −56.9% |
| 2004 | −70.4% |
| 2008 | −67.2% |
| 2012 | −72.5% |
| 2016 | −71.6% |
| 2020 | −79.7% |
| 2024 | −82.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,617 |
| 2018 | 8,926 |
| 2020 | 9,701 |
| 2022 | 9,897 |
| 2024 | 10,467 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+113 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +370 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,551 in average income, against $79,464 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+59.4 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Gaines County, TX itself (R+82.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Yoakum County, TX55R+70.9
- Lea County, NM44R+61.6
- Lubbock County, TX43R+39.5
- Terry County, TX22R+65.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lubbock County, TX70
- Lea County, NM46
- Yoakum County, TX40
- Terry County, TX25
- Midland County, TX24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +66 |
| 2012 | +111 |
| 2013 | +163 |
| 2014 | +144 |
| 2015 | +441 |
| 2016 | −218 |
| 2017 | −317 |
| 2018 | −167 |
| 2019 | +295 |
| 2021 | −136 |
| 2022 | −86 |
| 2023 | +6 |
| 2024 | −45 |
| 2025 | +113 |
Gaines County, anchored by the small city of Seminole in the South Plains, recorded an R+82.6 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps of any Texas county — reflecting the oil-patch and agricultural economy that shapes its overwhelmingly Republican electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.2 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 82.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 82.6 points.
A population of 22,232, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,132 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dallam County and Scurry County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Gaines County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48165/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.