- Lead
- 10,837
- Total
- 16,778
- vs nation
- R+63.1
- Turnout
- 63.9%
Hopkins County, TX
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.9% of 26,316 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,673
- Total
- 15,941
- vs nation
- R+65.1
- Turnout
- 61.4%
- Lead
- 8,197
- Total
- 13,538
- vs nation
- R+62.6
- Turnout
- 54.3%
- Lead
- 7,059
- Total
- 12,753
- vs nation
- R+59.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,769
- Total
- 12,919
- vs nation
- R+51.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,139
- Total
- 12,062
- vs nation
- R+40.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,384
- Total
- 10,910
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 181
- Total
- 9,929
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,7842024 5-year
- Population density
- 49 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 767 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,8882024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Palo Pinto County, TX · twin score 96.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 63.9%16,811 participants ÷ 26,316 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 50.3%–53.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16,811 | 26,316 ± 341 | 63.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 12,440 | 25,995 ± 317 | 47.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 16,045 | 26,127 ± 260 | 61.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 11,969 | 25,447 ± 262 | 47.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,538 | 24,942 ± 278 | 54.3% | Audited | C/A | |
| 12,753 | 24,223 | 52.6% | Derived | — | |
| 12,919 | 23,409 | 55.2% | Derived | — | |
| 12,062 | 22,595 extrapolated | 53.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Hopkins County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Hopkins County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 9 candidates
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 21 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 16,778 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 324 | 1,275 | 10 | 1,609 | 20.1% | 79.2% | R+59.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 307 | 1,232 | 5 | 1,544 | 19.9% | 79.8% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A | 274 | 982 | 8 | 1,264 | 21.7% | 77.7% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 257 | 958 | 14 | 1,229 | 20.9% | 77.9% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3APrecinct 3A | 236 | 942 | 11 | 1,189 | 19.8% | 79.2% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 188 | 973 | 5 | 1,166 | 16.1% | 83.4% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 88 | 907 | 7 | 1,002 | 8.8% | 90.5% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 137 | 848 | 10 | 995 | 13.8% | 85.2% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36 | 86 | 690 | 5 | 781 | 11.0% | 88.3% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A | 280 | 488 | 1 | 769 | 36.4% | 63.5% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 89 | 675 | 3 | 767 | 11.6% | 88.0% | R+76.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 115 | 592 | 6 | 713 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 105 | 486 | 3 | 594 | 17.7% | 81.8% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 69 | 520 | 2 | 591 | 11.7% | 88.0% | R+76.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A | 131 | 454 | 5 | 590 | 22.2% | 76.9% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 57 | 446 | 2 | 505 | 11.3% | 88.3% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 41 | 389 | 4 | 434 | 9.4% | 89.6% | R+80.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 37 | 274 | 3 | 314 | 11.8% | 87.3% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 30 | 216 | 0 | 246 | 12.2% | 87.8% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 27 | 217 | 2 | 246 | 11.0% | 88.2% | R+77.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 39 | 190 | 1 | 230 | 17.0% | 82.6% | R+65.7 |
presidential history
Party record book
Hopkins County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
94.8%
4,891 votes · D+89.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 91.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
82.0%
13,754 votes · R+64.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
4,992votes
65.8% of the vote · D+32.1
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 4,984 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,754votes
82.0% of the vote · R+64.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,719 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+99.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+74.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +89.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+65.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +63.1 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Hopkins County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2020 | 23,954 |
| 2022 | 24,724 |
| 2024 | 25,383 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+202 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,303 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,996 in average income, against $77,053 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.8 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Hopkins County, TX itself (R+64.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hunt County, TX102R+55.5
- Dallas County, TX93D+22.2
- Wood County, TX78R+69.7
- Collin County, TX48R+11.1
- Rains County, TX34R+72.9
- Denton County, TX32R+13.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hunt County, TX99
- Wood County, TX87
- Dallas County, TX61
- Collin County, TX44
- Franklin County, TX39
- Tarrant County, TX34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −77 |
| 2012 | −30 |
| 2013 | −30 |
| 2014 | +283 |
| 2015 | +235 |
| 2016 | +137 |
| 2017 | +219 |
| 2018 | +280 |
| 2019 | +296 |
| 2021 | +497 |
| 2022 | +563 |
| 2023 | +328 |
| 2024 | +400 |
| 2025 | +202 |
Hopkins County, anchored by Sulphur Springs in the Piney Woods transitional zone, has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, posting a 64-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 against a modest population base of roughly 32,000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.6 points.
A population of 37,784, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,888 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Palo Pinto County and Gordon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hopkins County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48223/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.