Shelby County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 9,948 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 125 | 1,387 | 8 | 1,520 | 8.2% | 91.3% | R+83.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1SPrecinct 1S | 192 | 918 | 8 | 1,118 | 17.2% | 82.1% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1SWPrecinct 1SW | 119 | 804 | 4 | 927 | 12.8% | 86.7% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1NPrecinct 1N | 139 | 723 | 3 | 865 | 16.1% | 83.6% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1SEPrecinct 1SE | 394 | 368 | 6 | 768 | 51.3% | 47.9% | D+3.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9NPrecinct 9N | 132 | 608 | 2 | 742 | 17.8% | 81.9% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 203 | 516 | 1 | 720 | 28.2% | 71.7% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9SPrecinct 9S | 93 | 586 | 4 | 683 | 13.6% | 85.8% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 54 | 532 | 2 | 588 | 9.2% | 90.5% | R+81.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 81 | 496 | 2 | 579 | 14.0% | 85.7% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 126 | 431 | 0 | 557 | 22.6% | 77.4% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 45 | 346 | 0 | 391 | 11.5% | 88.5% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1WPrecinct 1W | 29 | 268 | 3 | 300 | 9.7% | 89.3% | R+79.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 9 | 181 | 0 | 190 | 4.7% | 95.3% | R+90.5 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +75.1% |
| 1908 | +76.5% |
| 1912 | +75.6% |
| 1916 | +78.7% |
| 1920 | +66.4% |
| 1924 | +87.8% |
| 1928 | +48.5% |
| 1932 | +93.0% |
| 1936 | +91.5% |
| 1940 | +86.2% |
| 1944 | +70.1% |
| 1948 | +68.0% |
| 1952 | +40.6% |
| 1956 | +26.0% |
| 1960 | +31.8% |
| 1964 | +22.2% |
| 1968 | +20.0% |
| 1972 | −41.0% |
| 1976 | +26.9% |
| 1980 | +9.2% |
| 1984 | −14.7% |
| 1988 | +3.2% |
| 1992 | +8.8% |
| 1996 | +3.0% |
| 2000 | −27.4% |
| 2004 | −36.0% |
| 2008 | −44.3% |
| 2012 | −49.0% |
| 2016 | −59.7% |
| 2020 | −58.6% |
| 2024 | −64.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,513 |
| 2018 | 15,153 |
| 2020 | 15,570 |
| 2022 | 15,922 |
| 2024 | 16,355 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−47 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −749 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,262 in average income, against $62,139 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.8 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Shelby County, TX itself (R+64.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Nacogdoches County, TX48R+38.8
- Harris County, TX37D+5.5
- Panola County, TX36R+66.4
- De Soto Parish, LA26R+35.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Nacogdoches County, TX93
- Panola County, TX34
- Harris County, TX31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +187 |
| 2012 | +223 |
| 2013 | −243 |
| 2014 | −450 |
| 2015 | −278 |
| 2016 | +75 |
| 2017 | −415 |
| 2018 | +35 |
| 2019 | −62 |
| 2021 | +68 |
| 2022 | +110 |
| 2023 | +94 |
| 2024 | −46 |
| 2025 | −47 |
Shelby County, tucked into East Texas's Piney Woods along the Louisiana border, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural, predominantly white electorate with deep Southern political roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.6 points.
A population of 24,155, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,776 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lamar County and Caldwell Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Shelby County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48419/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.