Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupStephens CountyTexasUnited States
Irish12.6%6.0%9.4%
American10.9%4.6%5.3%
German10.7%8.3%12.5%
English7.4%7.9%9.5%
Scottish3.2%1.3%1.3%
Polish1.3%0.8%2.2%
French1.1%1.5%1.6%
Danish1.0%——
Mexican23.3%32.1%11.3%
African American†3.0%10.3%9.9%
Vietnamese0.5%1.0%0.6%
Asian Indian0.2%1.8%1.4%
Chinese0.1%0.8%1.3%
Pakistani0.1%0.3%—
Cambodian0.1%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Stephens County
Texas
United States
Median age
42
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
10.5%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.4%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Stephens County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$58,008
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.6%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
17.2%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Stephens County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
16.9%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
16.1%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Stephens County
Texas
United States
Catholic
10.7%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
65.0%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
17.6%
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.5%
4.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Stephens County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 3,766 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Stephens County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
101
946
8
1,055
9.6%
89.7%
R+80.1
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4
104
923
3
1,030
10.1%
89.6%
R+79.5
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3
86
631
1
718
12.0%
87.9%
R+75.9
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
73
637
1
711
10.3%
89.6%
R+79.3
Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5
20
231
1
252
7.9%
91.7%
R+83.7
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+81.7%
1908
+80.0%
1912
+79.0%
1916
+81.5%
1920
+59.4%
1924
+68.1%
1928
−21.2%
1932
+81.8%
1936
+55.2%
1940
+70.7%
1944
+67.3%
1948
+54.0%
1952
−21.4%
1956
−23.8%
1960
−10.1%
1964
+22.1%
1968
−1.6%
1972
−53.7%
1976
+5.1%
1980
−21.9%
1984
−46.8%
1988
−21.2%
1992
−12.2%
1996
−15.1%
2000
−49.0%
2004
−59.7%
2008
−63.6%
2012
−70.8%
2016
−77.4%
2020
−78.5%
2024
−79.3%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
10.2%Harris384
89.6%Trump3,368
0.1%Oliver5 +1
R+79.3
R+0.8
R+77.9
3,761
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican89.6%3,368
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic10.2%384
Chase OliverLibertarian0.1%5
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%4
R
10.4%Biden397
89.0%Trump3,385
0.4%Jorgensen16
R+78.5
R+1.1
R+83.0
3,805
R
10.0%Clinton348
87.4%Trump3,034
1.9%Johnson65
R+77.4
R+6.6
R+79.5
3,470
R
13.9%Obama475
84.8%Romney2,892
0.9%Gray32
R+70.8
R+7.2
R+74.7
3,412
R
17.8%Obama626
81.4%McCain2,869
0.9%
R+63.6
R+3.9
R+70.9
3,526
R
20.0%Kerry703
79.7%Bush2,803
0.4%
R+59.7
R+10.6
R+57.2
3,519
R
24.6%Gore811
73.7%Bush2,425
1.0%Nader32
R+49.0
R+33.9
R+49.6
3,291
R
37.1%Clinton1,218
52.3%Dole1,714
10.2%Perot336
R+15.1
R+2.9
R+23.6
3,279
R
29.7%Clinton1,115
41.9%Bush1,573
28.3%Perot1,062
R+12.2
D+9.1
R+17.8
3,756
R
39.2%Dukakis1,519
60.5%Bush2,342
0.3%
R+21.2
D+25.6
R+13.5
3,874
R
26.4%Mondale1,046
73.3%Reagan2,898
0.3%
R+46.8
R+25.0
R+28.6
3,955
R
38.0%Carter1,372
59.9%Reagan2,161
2.1%
R+21.9
R+27.0
R+12.1
3,608
D
52.4%Carter1,796
47.3%Ford1,621
0.3%
D+5.1
D+58.8
D+3.0
3,429
R
23.0%McGovern678
76.7%Nixon2,259
0.2%
R+53.7
R+52.1
R+30.5
2,944
R
40.6%Humphrey1,239
42.2%Nixon1,287
17.2%
R+1.6
R+23.6
R+0.9
3,051
D
61.0%Johnson1,753
38.9%Goldwater1,119
0.1%
D+22.1
D+32.2
R+0.5
2,874
R
44.8%Kennedy1,357
54.9%Nixon1,664
0.3%
R+10.1
D+13.6
R+10.3
3,029
R
37.9%Stevenson1,126
61.7%Eisenhower1,832
0.4%
R+23.8
R+2.4
R+8.4
2,971
R
39.3%Stevenson1,471
60.6%Eisenhower2,272
0.1%
R+21.4
R+75.4
R+10.6
3,747
D
73.8%Truman2,132
19.8%Dewey572
6.4%
D+54.0
R+13.3
D+49.5
2,890
D
75.0%Roosevelt2,104
7.7%Dewey217
17.2%
D+67.3
R+3.4
D+59.8
2,804
D
85.3%Roosevelt2,750
14.6%Willkie471
0.1%
D+70.7
D+15.5
D+60.8
3,223
D
77.3%Roosevelt2,380
22.1%Landon681
0.6%
D+55.2
R+26.6
D+30.9
3,080
D
90.4%Roosevelt2,684
8.6%Hoover256
1.0%
D+81.8
D+103.0
D+64.0
2,969
R
39.4%Smith1,163
60.6%Hoover1,789
0.0%
R+21.2
R+89.3
R+3.7
2,952
D
82.1%Davis2,184
14.0%Coolidge372
3.9%La Follette105
D+68.1
D+8.7
D+93.3
2,661
D
76.1%Cox643
16.7%Harding141
7.2%
D+59.4
R+22.1
D+85.6
845
D
83.3%Wilson572
1.7%Hughes12
15.0%
D+81.5
D+2.5
D+78.4
687
D
80.9%Wilson462
1.9%Taft11
17.2%
D+79.0
R+1.0
D+59.4
571
D
84.1%Bryan692
4.1%Taft34
11.8%
D+80.0
R+1.7
D+89.5
823
D
85.1%Parker376
3.4%Roosevelt15
11.5%
D+81.7
—
D+101.3
442
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
12.1%450
86.3%3,216
3,727
2020
R
10.0%374
88.7%3,312
3,735
2018
R
10.9%324
88.6%2,627
2,964
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Stephens County, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
5,409
2018
5,528
2020
5,672
2022
5,712
2024
5,881
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−8 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +358 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $67,102 in average income, against $69,505 for residents who stayed — 3% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Taylor County, TX20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Stephens County, TX in Stephens County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−45
2012
+73
2013
−217
2014
−33
2015
+60
2016
+18
2017
−82
2018
+127
2019
−44
2021
+439
2022
+3
2023
+20
2024
+47
2025
−8
Stephens County, anchored by the small city of Breckenridge, delivered a 79-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 — a spread typical of sparsely populated oil-patch counties in north-central Texas where the electorate skews heavily toward rural white voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 79.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 79.3 points.
A population of 9,351, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,008 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gray County and Young County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Stephens County, Texas voted Republican by 79.3 points (R+79.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,761 votes cast, 384 went Democratic and 3,368 went Republican.
When did Stephens County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Stephens County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Stephens County, Texas?
Stephens County, Texas has a population of 9,351 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Stephens County, Texas?
Median household income in Stephens County, Texas is $58,008 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Stephens County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stephens County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.
