Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWinkler CountyTexasUnited States
Mexican56.7%32.1%11.3%
Cuban1.7%0.5%0.7%
Spaniard1.0%0.3%—
German7.4%8.3%12.5%
English6.7%7.9%9.5%
American5.3%4.6%5.3%
Irish4.3%6.0%9.4%
Dutch1.1%——
Welsh0.5%——
French0.3%1.5%1.6%
Scottish0.3%1.3%1.3%
African American†3.0%10.3%9.9%
Jamaican0.9%—0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Winkler County
Texas
United States
Median age
35.1
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
8.1%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.5%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Winkler County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$86,900
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.2%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
10.6%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Winkler County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
48.0%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
47.4%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Winkler County
Texas
United States
Catholic
12.8%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
35.6%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
48.3%
45.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Winkler County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 1,933 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Winkler County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101
78
435
3
516
15.1%
84.3%
R+69.2
Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301
65
432
0
497
13.1%
86.9%
R+73.8
Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202
33
404
0
437
7.6%
92.4%
R+84.9
Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401
81
206
0
287
28.2%
71.8%
R+43.6
Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201
26
169
1
196
13.3%
86.2%
R+73.0
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1908
+66.7%
1912
+100.0%
1916
+100.0%
1920
+78.9%
1924
+87.5%
1928
+31.4%
1932
+77.5%
1936
+86.2%
1940
+77.2%
1944
+74.1%
1948
+65.2%
1952
−1.4%
1956
−6.6%
1960
+2.5%
1964
+12.0%
1968
−12.7%
1972
−60.3%
1976
−14.1%
1980
−35.2%
1984
−49.1%
1988
−27.2%
1992
−8.5%
1996
−6.5%
2000
−44.6%
2004
−60.6%
2008
−51.8%
2012
−52.9%
2016
−52.4%
2020
−65.6%
2024
−70.5%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
14.6%Harris283
85.2%Trump1,646
0.2%Oliver3 +1
R+70.5
R+4.9
R+69.0
1,933
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican85.2%1,646
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic14.6%283
Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%3
OtherAll other candidates0.1%1
R
16.8%Biden358
82.5%Trump1,753
0.7%Jorgensen14
R+65.6
R+13.2
R+70.1
2,126
R
22.4%Clinton420
74.8%Trump1,403
2.6%Johnson49
R+52.4
D+0.5
R+54.5
1,876
R
23.1%Obama398
76.0%Romney1,311
0.8%Gray14
R+52.9
R+1.2
R+56.8
1,725
R
23.5%Obama477
75.2%McCain1,529
1.3%
R+51.8
D+8.8
R+59.0
2,032
R
19.5%Kerry391
80.1%Bush1,604
0.3%
R+60.6
R+15.9
R+58.1
2,002
R
27.2%Gore556
71.9%Bush1,468
0.2%Nader5
R+44.6
R+38.1
R+45.2
2,043
R
41.5%Clinton872
48.0%Dole1,009
10.4%Perot218
R+6.5
D+2.0
R+15.0
2,103
R
34.9%Clinton942
43.4%Bush1,173
21.5%Perot582
R+8.5
D+18.6
R+14.1
2,702
R
36.3%Dukakis947
63.4%Bush1,656
0.3%
R+27.2
D+22.0
R+19.4
2,611
R
25.3%Mondale752
74.4%Reagan2,213
0.3%
R+49.1
R+13.9
R+30.9
2,974
R
31.6%Carter1,021
66.8%Reagan2,160
1.6%
R+35.2
R+21.2
R+25.5
3,232
R
42.3%Carter1,382
56.4%Ford1,842
1.3%
R+14.1
D+46.2
R+16.1
3,266
R
19.5%McGovern602
79.7%Nixon2,467
0.8%
R+60.3
R+47.6
R+37.1
3,095
R
26.2%Humphrey938
38.9%Nixon1,391
34.9%
R+12.7
R+24.7
R+12.0
3,579
D
56.0%Johnson2,059
44.0%Goldwater1,617
0.1%
D+12.0
D+9.6
R+10.6
3,679
D
50.5%Kennedy1,642
48.0%Nixon1,562
1.5%
D+2.5
D+9.1
D+2.3
3,253
R
46.3%Stevenson1,287
53.0%Eisenhower1,471
0.7%
R+6.6
R+5.3
D+8.8
2,777
R
49.2%Stevenson1,508
50.6%Eisenhower1,550
0.2%
R+1.4
R+66.5
D+9.4
3,064
D
80.1%Truman1,588
14.9%Dewey296
5.0%
D+65.2
R+8.9
D+60.7
1,983
D
84.2%Roosevelt1,004
10.1%Dewey120
5.8%
D+74.1
R+3.1
D+66.6
1,193
D
88.6%Roosevelt1,340
11.4%Willkie172
0.0%
D+77.2
R+8.9
D+67.3
1,512
D
92.6%Roosevelt903
6.5%Landon63
0.9%
D+86.2
D+8.7
D+61.9
975
D
88.2%Roosevelt642
10.7%Hoover78
1.1%
D+77.5
D+46.1
D+59.7
728
D
65.7%Smith310
34.3%Hoover162
0.0%
D+31.4
R+56.1
D+48.8
472
D
93.8%Davis15
6.3%Coolidge1
0.0%
D+87.5
D+8.6
D+112.7
16
D
89.5%Cox17
10.5%Harding2
0.0%
D+78.9
R+21.1
D+105.1
19
D
100.0%Wilson21
0.0%Hughes0
0.0%
D+100.0
±0.0
D+96.9
21
D
100.0%Wilson26
0.0%Taft0
0.0%
D+100.0
D+33.3
D+80.5
26
D
80.0%Bryan12
13.3%Taft2
6.7%
D+66.7
—
D+76.2
15
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
16.0%303
82.5%1,560
1,891
2020
R
16.1%338
81.9%1,714
2,094
2018
R
22.1%321
77.2%1,123
1,455
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Winkler County, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
3,817
2020
4,013
2022
3,984
2024
4,086
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−84 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −506 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,073 in average income, against $89,552 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+52.9 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Winkler County, TX itself (R+70.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Ector County, TX22R+52.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Ector County, TX37
Midland County, TX29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Winkler County, TX in Winkler County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+19
2012
+159
2013
+195
2014
+107
2015
+110
2016
−209
2017
−380
2018
+85
2019
+131
2021
−377
2022
−138
2023
+54
2024
−178
2025
−84
Winkler County sits atop the Permian Basin's western edge, where the extractive economy and sparse, majority-Hispanic rural population have nonetheless produced some of Texas's most lopsided Republican presidential margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 70.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.5 points.
A population of 7,454, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,900 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Parmer County and Crane County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Winkler County, Texas voted Republican by 70.5 points (R+70.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,933 votes cast, 283 went Democratic and 1,646 went Republican.
When did Winkler County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winkler County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Winkler County, Texas?
Winkler County, Texas has a population of 7,454 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winkler County, Texas?
Median household income in Winkler County, Texas is $86,900 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Winkler County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Winkler County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
