Grayson County, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 8,119 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -203 - INDEPENDENCE203 - INDEPENDENCE | 277 | 1,064 | 12 | 1,353 | 20.5% | 78.6% | R+58.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -302 - FAIRVIEW302 - FAIRVIEW | 193 | 986 | 12 | 1,191 | 16.2% | 82.8% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -402 - PROVIDENCE402 - PROVIDENCE | 152 | 850 | 4 | 1,006 | 15.1% | 84.5% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct -301 - BAYWOOD301 - BAYWOOD | 153 | 732 | 13 | 898 | 17.0% | 81.5% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -202 - ELK CREEK202 - ELK CREEK | 92 | 508 | 5 | 605 | 15.2% | 84.0% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -101 - BRIDLE CREEK101 - BRIDLE CREEK | 126 | 410 | 2 | 538 | 23.4% | 76.2% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -401 - FRIES401 - FRIES | 119 | 376 | 1 | 496 | 24.0% | 75.8% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -403 - OLDTOWN403 - OLDTOWN | 78 | 349 | 4 | 431 | 18.1% | 81.0% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -103 - GRANT103 - GRANT | 87 | 264 | 5 | 356 | 24.4% | 74.2% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -106 - RUGBY106 - RUGBY | 43 | 203 | 0 | 246 | 17.5% | 82.5% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -105 - MOUNT ROGERS105 - MOUNT ROGERS | 34 | 206 | 1 | 241 | 14.1% | 85.5% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -104 - MOUTH OF WILSON104 - MOUTH OF WILSON | 50 | 165 | 6 | 221 | 22.6% | 74.7% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -102 - FLATRIDGE102 - FLATRIDGE | 36 | 167 | 1 | 204 | 17.6% | 81.9% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -108 - COMERS ROCK108 - COMERS ROCK | 40 | 148 | 3 | 191 | 20.9% | 77.5% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -107 - TROUTDALE107 - TROUTDALE | 23 | 116 | 3 | 142 | 16.2% | 81.7% | R+65.5 |
| Baywood51077000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Bridle Creek51077000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Comers Rock51077000108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Elk Creek51077000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Fairview51077000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Flatridge51077000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Fries51077000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Grant51077000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Independence51077000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Mount Rogers51077000105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Mouth Of Wilson51077000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Oldtown51077000403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Providence51077000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Rugby51077000106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Troutdale51077000107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +20.7% |
| 1896 | −5.1% |
| 1900 | −11.7% |
| 1904 | −9.7% |
| 1908 | −19.3% |
| 1912 | +0.5% |
| 1916 | −12.5% |
| 1920 | −9.5% |
| 1924 | +5.5% |
| 1928 | −22.9% |
| 1932 | +17.2% |
| 1936 | −5.3% |
| 1940 | −1.9% |
| 1944 | −11.7% |
| 1948 | −14.1% |
| 1952 | −23.8% |
| 1956 | −24.8% |
| 1960 | −17.4% |
| 1964 | +2.1% |
| 1968 | −24.9% |
| 1972 | −37.1% |
| 1976 | +2.0% |
| 1980 | −9.5% |
| 1984 | −31.8% |
| 1988 | −23.7% |
| 1992 | −11.0% |
| 1996 | −5.4% |
| 2000 | −25.8% |
| 2004 | −31.2% |
| 2008 | −28.5% |
| 2012 | −38.4% |
| 2016 | −57.4% |
| 2020 | −61.4% |
| 2024 | −62.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,695 |
| 2018 | 10,312 |
| 2020 | 10,763 |
| 2022 | 10,921 |
| 2024 | 11,134 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+68 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,410 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,408 in average income, against $54,678 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+53.6 on average — 8.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Grayson County, VA itself (R+62.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Carroll County, VA59R+63.1
- Galax city, VA53R+43.8
- Alleghany County, NC27R+51.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Carroll County, VA59
- Galax city, VA55
- Wythe County, VA23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −43 |
| 2012 | −137 |
| 2013 | +53 |
| 2014 | +808 |
| 2015 | +91 |
| 2016 | −16 |
| 2017 | −111 |
| 2018 | +34 |
| 2019 | +2 |
| 2021 | +201 |
| 2022 | +146 |
| 2023 | +106 |
| 2024 | +208 |
| 2025 | +68 |
Tucked into the Blue Ridge highlands near the North Carolina line, Grayson recorded an R+62.2 presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the rural Appalachian realignment that has steadily widened Republican margins across southwest Virginia over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.7 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 62.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.1 points.
A population of 15,287, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,730 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Patrick County and Carroll County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grayson County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.