Carroll County, Virginia: Evangelical Deep South county. In 2024, voted R+63%. Republican peak: R+63 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+63MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
- Population
- 29,1572024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,4842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, IN · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carroll CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carroll County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +17.6% |
| 1896 | −4.5% |
| 1900 | −10.1% |
| 1904 | −18.2% |
| 1908 | −27.8% |
| 1912 | −5.5% |
| 1916 | −24.8% |
| 1920 | −33.1% |
| 1924 | −16.1% |
| 1928 | −37.5% |
| 1932 | +2.5% |
| 1936 | −20.9% |
| 1940 | −8.5% |
| 1944 | −26.2% |
| 1948 | −33.7% |
| 1952 | −37.5% |
| 1956 | −39.8% |
| 1960 | −32.8% |
| 1964 | −17.9% |
| 1968 | −41.0% |
| 1972 | −52.4% |
| 1976 | −9.0% |
| 1980 | −25.6% |
| 1984 | −41.2% |
| 1988 | −33.1% |
| 1992 | −17.2% |
| 1996 | −14.8% |
| 2000 | −31.9% |
| 2004 | −35.3% |
| 2008 | −32.4% |
| 2012 | −39.1% |
| 2016 | −59.3% |
| 2020 | −62.7% |
| 2024 | −63.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,925 | 13,152 | 16,200 | ||
| R | 2,842 | 12,659 | 15,651 | ||
| R | 2,559 | 10,663 | 13,655 | ||
| R | 3,685 | 8,736 | 12,918 | ||
| R | 4,109 | 8,187 | 12,579 | ||
| R | 3,888 | 8,173 | 12,128 | ||
| R | 3,638 | 7,142 | 11,001 | ||
| R | 3,611 | 5,088 | 9,969 | ||
| R | 3,790 | 5,664 | 10,915 | ||
| R | 3,190 | 6,377 | 9,637 | ||
| R | 2,914 | 7,056 | 10,042 | ||
| R | 3,437 | 5,905 | 9,634 | ||
| R | 4,010 | 4,820 | 8,968 | ||
| R | 1,583 | 5,247 | 6,989 | ||
| R | 1,773 | 4,909 | 7,651 | ||
| R | 2,517 | 3,617 | 6,146 | ||
| R | 1,873 | 3,705 | 5,589 | ||
| R | 1,739 | 4,060 | 5,828 | ||
| R | 1,711 | 3,774 | 5,495 | ||
| R | 1,196 | 2,456 | 3,737 | ||
| R | 1,375 | 2,352 | 3,729 | ||
| R | 1,546 | 1,835 | 3,386 | ||
| R | 2,122 | 3,245 | 5,368 | ||
| D | 1,537 | 1,461 | 3,026 | ||
| R | 1,117 | 2,459 | 3,576 | ||
| R | 1,257 | 1,743 | 3,016 | ||
| R | 1,265 | 2,520 | 3,791 | ||
| R | 858 | 1,424 | 2,282 | ||
| R | 765 | 874 | 1,988 | ||
| R | 859 | 1,521 | 2,380 | ||
| R | 874 | 1,265 | 2,143 | ||
| R | 1,434 | 1,759 | 3,203 | ||
| R | 1,528 | 1,673 | 3,207 | ||
| D | 1,450 | 1,008 | 2,508 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
30.2%
English
20.7%
Irish
11.2%
German
7.7%
Scottish
2.1%
Italian
1.9%
French
0.6%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 49.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$54,484
Carroll County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Carroll County$54,484
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Carroll County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1822.9%
Working age (18–64)14.0%
Seniors (65+)12.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.0%
speak English only
Spanish3.2%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Other languages0.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carroll County, nestled in Virginia's southwestern corner along the Blue Ridge foothills, recorded an R+63.3 margin in 2024—among the steepest presidential tilts in the state—reflecting a rural, working-class electorate that has shifted sharply over the past two decades.
The Republican margin here reached its widest at sixty-three points in 2024. The 2024 margin was sixty-three points.
A median household income of $54,484, a 15% poverty rate, and a 94% non-Hispanic-white share describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Wythe County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carroll County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
More evangelical deep south counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Carroll County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carroll County, Virginia voted Republican by 63.1 points (R+63), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,200 votes cast, 2,925 went Democratic and 13,152 went Republican.
What is Carroll County, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Carroll County, Virginia in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology — Deeply Republican, heavily Baptist counties of the Deep South. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 32 times, and other 0 times.
When did Carroll County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Carroll County, Virginia?
Carroll County, Virginia has a population of 29,157 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carroll County, Virginia?
Median household income in Carroll County, Virginia is $54,484 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Carroll County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The county's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.