† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
36 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupRoanoke-LynchburgUnited States
American16.6%5.3%
English14.3%9.5%
German9.5%12.5%
Irish8.5%9.4%
Italian2.3%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.3%
Scotch-Irish1.5%—
Polish0.8%2.2%
African American†12.9%9.9%
African0.8%0.5%
Mexican1.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%1.8%
Honduran0.4%0.3%
Salvadoran0.2%0.7%
Cuban0.2%0.7%
Asian Indian0.4%1.4%
Chinese0.3%1.3%
Vietnamese0.2%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Roanoke-Lynchburg
United States
Median age
42.1
39.1
Age 18–24
11.3%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Roanoke-Lynchburg
United States
Median household income
$63,849
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Roanoke-Lynchburg
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Roanoke-Lynchburg
United States
Catholic
4.4%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
31.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
48.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
10.9%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+17.7%
1896
+4.3%
1900
+6.2%
1904
+17.4%
1908
+10.8%
1912
+38.7%
1916
+27.0%
1920
+16.4%
1924
+24.3%
1928
−11.0%
1932
+35.6%
1936
+30.6%
1940
+32.5%
1944
+21.5%
1948
+2.6%
1952
−16.4%
1956
−20.8%
1960
−10.9%
1964
−3.5%
1968
−19.8%
1972
−46.1%
1976
+1.2%
1980
−9.6%
1984
−28.9%
1988
−19.9%
1992
−6.8%
1996
−4.6%
2000
−17.0%
2004
−20.9%
2008
−12.4%
2012
−17.1%
2016
−25.7%
2020
−24.1%
2024
−27.6%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
35.5%Harris214,836
63.1%Trump382,057
0.4%Oliver2,415 +5
R+27.6
R+3.5
R+26.2
605,233
All 8 candidates in 2024 · 6 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican63.1%382,057
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic35.5%214,836
OtherAll other candidates0.4%2,439
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%2,415
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%1,847
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%833
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%753
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.0%53
R
37.1%Biden221,321
61.2%Trump365,309
1.8%
R+24.1
D+1.5
R+28.6
597,293
R
34.6%Clinton188,949
60.3%Trump328,884
5.1%
R+25.7
R+8.6
R+27.7
545,455
R
40.4%Obama215,201
57.5%Romney306,212
2.1%
R+17.1
R+4.7
R+20.9
532,783
R
43.2%Obama228,112
55.6%McCain293,728
1.3%
R+12.4
D+8.5
R+19.7
528,635
R
39.0%Kerry184,432
60.0%Bush283,347
1.0%
R+20.9
R+3.9
R+18.5
472,551
R
40.0%Gore168,461
57.0%Bush240,124
2.9%
R+17.0
R+12.5
R+17.5
420,978
R
42.7%Clinton167,077
47.3%Dole184,954
10.1%
R+4.6
D+2.3
R+13.1
391,369
R
39.6%Clinton163,235
46.4%Bush191,366
13.9%
R+6.8
D+13.1
R+12.4
412,006
R
39.4%Dukakis145,749
59.3%Bush219,571
1.3%
R+19.9
D+9.0
R+12.2
370,039
R
35.1%Mondale135,297
64.1%Reagan246,808
0.8%
R+28.9
R+19.4
R+10.7
385,238
R
42.9%Carter149,843
52.5%Reagan183,306
4.5%
R+9.6
R+10.8
D+0.1
348,961
D
49.2%Carter158,580
48.0%Ford154,779
2.7%
D+1.2
D+47.3
R+0.9
322,178
R
25.8%McGovern84,040
71.9%Nixon234,367
2.3%
R+46.1
R+26.3
R+23.0
325,845
R
25.9%Humphrey74,363
45.8%Nixon131,280
28.3%
R+19.8
R+16.3
R+19.2
286,785
R
48.1%Johnson128,945
51.7%Goldwater138,386
0.2%
R+3.5
D+7.4
R+26.1
267,893
R
44.2%Kennedy76,721
55.2%Nixon95,706
0.6%
R+10.9
D+9.9
R+11.1
173,424
R
37.4%Stevenson62,107
58.2%Eisenhower96,708
4.4%
R+20.8
R+4.5
R+5.4
166,041
R
41.7%Stevenson65,430
58.0%Eisenhower91,131
0.3%
R+16.4
R+19.0
R+5.6
157,011
D
44.3%Truman49,295
41.7%Dewey46,386
14.1%
D+2.6
R+18.9
R+1.9
111,330
D
60.7%Roosevelt64,819
39.1%Dewey41,817
0.2%
D+21.5
R+11.0
D+14.0
106,865
D
66.1%Roosevelt67,594
33.6%Willkie34,346
0.3%
D+32.5
D+1.9
D+22.6
102,297
D
65.1%Roosevelt68,537
34.5%Landon36,333
0.3%
D+30.6
R+4.9
D+6.3
105,212
D
67.1%Roosevelt60,022
31.6%Hoover28,242
1.3%
D+35.6
D+46.5
D+17.8
89,395
R
44.5%Smith40,561
55.5%Hoover50,573
0.0%
R+11.0
R+35.3
D+6.5
91,160
D
60.0%Davis42,650
35.7%Coolidge25,398
4.2%
D+24.3
D+7.9
D+49.5
71,066
D
57.8%Cox42,415
41.4%Harding30,390
0.7%
D+16.4
R+10.6
D+42.6
73,332
D
62.8%Wilson31,168
35.7%Hughes17,749
1.5%
D+27.0
R+11.7
D+23.9
49,652
D
58.6%Wilson25,565
19.8%Taft8,660
21.6%
D+38.7
D+27.9
D+19.2
43,639
D
54.9%Bryan24,244
44.0%Taft19,459
1.1%
D+10.8
R+6.5
D+20.4
44,177
D
57.7%Parker24,127
40.4%Roosevelt16,870
1.9%
D+17.4
D+11.1
D+37.0
41,807
D
52.5%Bryan39,451
46.3%McKinley34,765
1.2%
D+6.2
D+2.0
D+13.8
75,093
D
51.4%Bryan44,536
47.1%McKinley40,849
1.4%
D+4.3
R+13.5
D+10.3
86,638
D
55.3%Cleveland46,081
37.6%Harrison31,297
7.1%
D+17.7
—
D+16.1
83,306
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+20.2
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+27.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.5 points more Democratic.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Roanoke-Lynchburg
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2026 (partial)
5,498
1,320
2,429
1,646
103
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+4,473 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +18,841 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Roanoke-Lynchburg in Roanoke-Lynchburg: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−447
2012
−25
2013
+1,621
2014
−35
2015
−421
2016
−1,203
2017
−589
2018
+1,330
2019
−43
2021
+2,883
2022
+3,302
2023
+4,514
2024
+3,481
2025
+4,473
The Roanoke-Lynchburg market spans the Blue Ridge Mountains and Piedmont foothills, blending mid-size urban centers with deeply rural counties that have shifted reliably toward Republican margins at the federal level since the 1990s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.6 points.
A population of 1,142,874, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,849 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tri-Cities, TN-VA and Lexington.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/573/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia voted Republican by 27.6 points (R+27.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 605,233 votes cast, 214,836 went Democratic and 382,057 went Republican.
When did Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia has a population of 1,142,874 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia is $63,849 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.
