Lunenburg County, Virginia: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+23%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 12,0162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,8422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Huron County, OH · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +35.5% |
| 1896 | +37.3% |
| 1900 | +29.8% |
| 1904 | +62.3% |
| 1908 | +59.3% |
| 1912 | +70.4% |
| 1916 | +75.1% |
| 1920 | +58.9% |
| 1924 | +53.7% |
| 1928 | +58.5% |
| 1932 | +84.1% |
| 1936 | +88.6% |
| 1940 | +78.7% |
| 1944 | +73.3% |
| 1948 | +50.9% |
| 1952 | +29.1% |
| 1956 | +22.7% |
| 1960 | +25.8% |
| 1964 | +11.7% |
| 1968 | −0.0% |
| 1972 | −40.4% |
| 1976 | −2.1% |
| 1980 | −2.1% |
| 1984 | −21.2% |
| 1988 | −14.7% |
| 1992 | −3.0% |
| 1996 | −1.5% |
| 2000 | −10.5% |
| 2004 | −9.5% |
| 2008 | −3.5% |
| 2012 | −5.0% |
| 2016 | −17.5% |
| 2020 | −18.6% |
| 2024 | −22.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,253 | 3,594 | 5,885 | ||
| R | 2,418 | 3,537 | 6,000 | ||
| R | 2,227 | 3,204 | 5,586 | ||
| R | 2,684 | 2,969 | 5,734 | ||
| R | 2,703 | 2,900 | 5,650 | ||
| R | 2,362 | 2,858 | 5,245 | ||
| R | 2,026 | 2,510 | 4,591 | ||
| R | 1,995 | 2,063 | 4,460 | ||
| R | 2,082 | 2,227 | 4,912 | ||
| R | 1,870 | 2,530 | 4,496 | ||
| R | 1,754 | 2,713 | 4,526 | ||
| R | 1,958 | 2,045 | 4,136 | ||
| R | 1,739 | 1,816 | 3,652 | ||
| R | 3,941 | 9,417 | 13,557 | ||
| O | 1,180 | 1,181 | 4,012 | ||
| D | 1,731 | 1,369 | 3,103 | ||
| D | 1,451 | 838 | 2,379 | ||
| D | 1,111 | 580 | 2,339 | ||
| D | 1,528 | 837 | 2,373 | ||
| D | 1,126 | 251 | 1,718 | ||
| D | 1,205 | 184 | 1,393 | ||
| D | 1,213 | 144 | 1,359 | ||
| D | 1,291 | 77 | 1,370 | ||
| D | 1,141 | 92 | 1,247 | ||
| D | 1,199 | 314 | 1,513 | ||
| D | 686 | 130 | 1,036 | ||
| D | 818 | 208 | 1,036 | ||
| D | 814 | 110 | 937 | ||
| D | 508 | 66 | 628 | ||
| D | 414 | 105 | 521 | ||
| D | 433 | 96 | 541 | ||
| D | 634 | 343 | 978 | ||
| D | 1,045 | 475 | 1,530 | ||
| D | 819 | 363 | 1,285 | ||
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Demographics
Lunenburg sits in Virginia's Southside tobacco belt, where a shrinking but stable population has shifted steadily toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, reaching a 22.8-point margin in 2024.
The Democratic margin here reached eighty-nine points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-three points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $54,842 and a 16% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Huron County and Newaygo County.
Compare two places, side by side
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Lunenburg County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51111/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
