Nottoway County, Virginia: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+22%. Democratic peak: D+73 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 15,5972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,2612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 36.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lunenburg County, VA · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +22.2% |
| 1896 | +32.0% |
| 1900 | +37.2% |
| 1904 | +68.7% |
| 1908 | +59.5% |
| 1912 | +73.1% |
| 1916 | +73.0% |
| 1920 | +68.4% |
| 1924 | +56.8% |
| 1928 | +19.3% |
| 1932 | +64.1% |
| 1936 | +66.1% |
| 1940 | +54.8% |
| 1944 | +50.8% |
| 1948 | +26.4% |
| 1952 | −2.6% |
| 1956 | +3.5% |
| 1960 | +17.1% |
| 1964 | −2.3% |
| 1968 | −1.8% |
| 1972 | −34.4% |
| 1976 | +1.4% |
| 1980 | −3.9% |
| 1984 | −19.4% |
| 1988 | −17.1% |
| 1992 | −3.5% |
| 1996 | −1.7% |
| 2000 | −7.5% |
| 2004 | −11.1% |
| 2008 | −1.2% |
| 2012 | −0.9% |
| 2016 | −13.1% |
| 2020 | −14.9% |
| 2024 | −22.3% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,636 | 4,168 | 6,869 | ||
| R | 2,971 | 4,027 | 7,078 | ||
| R | 2,829 | 3,712 | 6,744 | ||
| R | 3,344 | 3,409 | 6,846 | ||
| R | 3,413 | 3,499 | 6,988 | ||
| R | 2,635 | 3,303 | 6,030 | ||
| R | 2,460 | 2,870 | 5,492 | ||
| R | 2,327 | 2,416 | 5,214 | ||
| R | 2,411 | 2,610 | 5,743 | ||
| R | 2,217 | 3,161 | 5,509 | ||
| R | 2,296 | 3,418 | 5,793 | ||
| R | 2,593 | 2,813 | 5,611 | ||
| D | 2,558 | 2,486 | 5,222 | ||
| R | 1,246 | 2,587 | 3,893 | ||
| O | 1,529 | 1,614 | 4,830 | ||
| R | 1,516 | 1,586 | 3,103 | ||
| D | 1,882 | 1,319 | 3,286 | ||
| D | 1,242 | 1,124 | 3,329 | ||
| R | 1,381 | 1,454 | 2,850 | ||
| D | 1,004 | 486 | 1,963 | ||
| D | 1,453 | 472 | 1,930 | ||
| D | 1,290 | 373 | 1,674 | ||
| D | 1,297 | 260 | 1,568 | ||
| D | 1,348 | 277 | 1,671 | ||
| D | 986 | 667 | 1,653 | ||
| D | 840 | 181 | 1,161 | ||
| D | 821 | 154 | 975 | ||
| D | 608 | 91 | 708 | ||
| D | 683 | 72 | 836 | ||
| D | 481 | 118 | 610 | ||
| D | 470 | 86 | 559 | ||
| D | 1,076 | 489 | 1,579 | ||
| D | 936 | 478 | 1,432 | ||
| D | 931 | 587 | 1,551 | ||
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Demographics
Nottoway sits in Virginia's Southside tobacco belt, where a majority-minority population and a long Democratic heritage have gradually given way to Republican-leaning presidential results over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin here reached seventy-three points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-two points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $63,261 and a 19% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lunenburg County and Hendry County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Nottoway County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
