Stafford County, Virginia: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted D+1%. Republican peak: R+40 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 163,4662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $137,8072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Talbot County, MD · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Stafford CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Stafford County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +14.0% |
| 1896 | −26.5% |
| 1900 | −14.4% |
| 1904 | −12.0% |
| 1908 | −7.7% |
| 1912 | +30.6% |
| 1916 | +2.5% |
| 1920 | −13.2% |
| 1924 | +1.8% |
| 1928 | −28.8% |
| 1932 | +23.3% |
| 1936 | +4.4% |
| 1940 | +26.8% |
| 1944 | −1.1% |
| 1948 | −1.5% |
| 1952 | −13.3% |
| 1956 | −22.1% |
| 1960 | +1.6% |
| 1964 | +25.6% |
| 1968 | −13.5% |
| 1972 | −35.9% |
| 1976 | +4.7% |
| 1980 | −24.0% |
| 1984 | −39.7% |
| 1988 | −38.7% |
| 1992 | −19.3% |
| 1996 | −16.1% |
| 2000 | −23.8% |
| 2004 | −24.6% |
| 2008 | −6.3% |
| 2012 | −8.7% |
| 2016 | −9.0% |
| 2020 | +3.3% |
| 2024 | +0.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 41,252 | 40,590 | 83,539 | ||
| D | 40,245 | 37,636 | 79,625 | ||
| R | 27,908 | 33,868 | 65,934 | ||
| R | 27,182 | 32,480 | 60,583 | ||
| R | 25,716 | 29,221 | 55,455 | ||
| R | 17,208 | 28,500 | 45,986 | ||
| R | 12,596 | 20,731 | 34,246 | ||
| R | 9,902 | 14,098 | 26,089 | ||
| R | 7,718 | 12,528 | 24,871 | ||
| R | 5,380 | 12,234 | 17,712 | ||
| R | 4,429 | 10,293 | 14,782 | ||
| R | 4,211 | 7,106 | 12,075 | ||
| D | 4,900 | 4,451 | 9,502 | ||
| R | 1,498 | 3,225 | 4,807 | ||
| R | 1,698 | 2,572 | 6,482 | ||
| D | 2,566 | 1,520 | 4,090 | ||
| D | 1,494 | 1,447 | 2,965 | ||
| R | 978 | 1,563 | 2,652 | ||
| R | 1,077 | 1,411 | 2,504 | ||
| R | 708 | 732 | 1,579 | ||
| R | 698 | 714 | 1,418 | ||
| D | 803 | 463 | 1,269 | ||
| D | 651 | 596 | 1,250 | ||
| D | 731 | 454 | 1,191 | ||
| R | 441 | 797 | 1,238 | ||
| D | 450 | 433 | 929 | ||
| R | 459 | 599 | 1,060 | ||
| D | 444 | 422 | 868 | ||
| D | 347 | 141 | 673 | ||
| R | 406 | 474 | 884 | ||
| R | 301 | 384 | 691 | ||
| R | 648 | 867 | 1,516 | ||
| R | 629 | 1,084 | 1,719 | ||
| D | 742 | 558 | 1,316 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
10.7%
English
9.5%
Irish
8.8%
American
8.1%
Italian
4.2%
Polish
2.1%
Scottish
1.7%
African American
15.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$137,807
Stafford County ranks in the top 0.5% of US counties.
Stafford County$137,807
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Stafford County ranks in the top 0.5% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
4.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 185.3%
Working age (18–64)4.4%
Seniors (65+)4.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.1%
speak English only
Spanish11.2%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages2.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 69.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Stafford sits along the I-95 corridor south of Washington, drawing a fast-growing mix of federal workers and military families whose shifting composition has turned a once reliably red county into a genuine toss-up.
The Democratic margin here reached thirty-one points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point.
A population of 163,466, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $137,807 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Talbot County and James City County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Stafford County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51179/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
More diversifying metro counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Stafford County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Stafford County, Virginia voted Democratic by 0.8 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 83,539 votes cast, 41,252 went Democratic and 40,590 went Republican.
What is Stafford County, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Stafford County, Virginia in the "Diversifying Metro" typology — Mid-size metropolitan counties growing more diverse and trending Democratic. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Stafford County, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Stafford County, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Stafford County, Virginia?
Stafford County, Virginia has a population of 163,466 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Stafford County, Virginia?
Median household income in Stafford County, Virginia is $137,807 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Stafford County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stafford County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The county's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.