Fredericksburg city, Virginia: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted D+32%. Democratic peak: D+64 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+32MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 28,8732024 5-year
- Median household income
- $86,0712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Richmond County, GA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Fredericksburg cityPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Fredericksburg city, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +35.3% |
| 1896 | +15.5% |
| 1900 | +24.8% |
| 1904 | +47.5% |
| 1908 | +6.1% |
| 1912 | +64.1% |
| 1916 | +37.4% |
| 1920 | +31.6% |
| 1924 | +41.4% |
| 1928 | −8.0% |
| 1932 | +37.4% |
| 1936 | +39.3% |
| 1940 | +32.9% |
| 1944 | +22.0% |
| 1948 | +0.3% |
| 1952 | −22.5% |
| 1956 | −26.6% |
| 1960 | −8.2% |
| 1964 | +23.2% |
| 1968 | −2.1% |
| 1972 | −21.7% |
| 1976 | +0.4% |
| 1980 | −6.6% |
| 1984 | −17.8% |
| 1988 | −11.7% |
| 1992 | +6.5% |
| 1996 | +10.3% |
| 2000 | +6.4% |
| 2004 | +9.2% |
| 2008 | +28.3% |
| 2012 | +26.9% |
| 2016 | +26.3% |
| 2020 | +34.8% |
| 2024 | +31.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 8,760 | 4,480 | 13,578 | ||
| D | 8,517 | 4,037 | 12,862 | ||
| D | 6,707 | 3,744 | 11,257 | ||
| D | 7,131 | 4,060 | 11,437 | ||
| D | 6,155 | 3,413 | 9,677 | ||
| D | 4,085 | 3,390 | 7,542 | ||
| D | 3,360 | 2,935 | 6,681 | ||
| D | 3,215 | 2,579 | 6,164 | ||
| D | 3,266 | 2,819 | 6,879 | ||
| R | 2,683 | 3,401 | 6,154 | ||
| R | 2,439 | 3,500 | 5,973 | ||
| R | 2,174 | 2,502 | 4,968 | ||
| D | 2,550 | 2,527 | 5,150 | ||
| R | 1,895 | 2,967 | 4,943 | ||
| R | 2,036 | 2,142 | 5,068 | ||
| D | 1,257 | 783 | 2,041 | ||
| R | 1,326 | 1,566 | 2,915 | ||
| R | 934 | 1,672 | 2,775 | ||
| R | 970 | 1,536 | 2,510 | ||
| D | 816 | 810 | 1,931 | ||
| D | 1,092 | 698 | 1,793 | ||
| D | 1,037 | 522 | 1,565 | ||
| D | 944 | 411 | 1,357 | ||
| D | 812 | 366 | 1,191 | ||
| R | 594 | 697 | 1,291 | ||
| D | 558 | 223 | 809 | ||
| D | 581 | 299 | 893 | ||
| D | 380 | 173 | 554 | ||
| D | 414 | 51 | 566 | ||
| D | 285 | 252 | 539 | ||
| D | 352 | 124 | 480 | ||
| D | 587 | 353 | 944 | ||
| D | 533 | 388 | 937 | ||
| D | 655 | 311 | 975 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.1%
English
11.7%
Irish
9.8%
Italian
4.5%
Scottish
3.2%
American
2.7%
Polish
1.6%
African American
15.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 32.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$86,071
Fredericksburg city ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Fredericksburg city$86,071
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Fredericksburg city ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.8%
Working age (18–64)11.2%
Seniors (65+)11.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.1%
speak English only
Spanish9.2%
Other Indo-European6.0%
Other languages2.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 0.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Home to the University of Mary Washington, Fredericksburg votes at the bluest end of Virginia's independent cities, with the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 30 points — a gap rooted in its dense concentration of students, educators, and young renters.
The Democratic margin here reached sixty-four points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-two points.
A population of 28,873, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,071 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Richmond County and Bernalillo County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fredericksburg city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51630/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
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Frequently asked questions
How did Fredericksburg city, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fredericksburg city, Virginia voted Democratic by 31.5 points (D+32), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 13,578 votes cast, 8,760 went Democratic and 4,480 went Republican.
What is Fredericksburg city, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Fredericksburg city, Virginia in the "Diversifying Metro" typology — Mid-size metropolitan counties growing more diverse and trending Democratic. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Fredericksburg city, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Fredericksburg city, Virginia voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Fredericksburg city, Virginia?
Fredericksburg city, Virginia has a population of 28,873 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fredericksburg city, Virginia?
Median household income in Fredericksburg city, Virginia is $86,071 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Fredericksburg city, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fredericksburg city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The county's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.