Fredericksburg city, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 13,578 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -301 - PRECINCT 1 - DISTRICT THREE301 - PRECINCT 1 - DISTRICT THREE | 2,261 | 1,339 | 105 | 3,705 | 61.0% | 36.1% | D+24.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -201 - PRECINCT 1 - DISTRICT TWO201 - PRECINCT 1 - DISTRICT TWO | 2,248 | 954 | 77 | 3,279 | 68.6% | 29.1% | D+39.5 |
| Precinct -101 - PRECINCT 1 - DISTRICT ONE101 - PRECINCT 1 - DISTRICT ONE | 1,841 | 1,227 | 75 | 3,143 | 58.6% | 39.0% | D+19.5 |
| Precinct -401 - PRECINCT 1 - DISTRICT FOUR401 - PRECINCT 1 - DISTRICT FOUR | 1,337 | 471 | 45 | 1,853 | 72.2% | 25.4% | D+46.7 |
| Precinct -402 - PRECINCT 2 - DISTRICT FOUR402 - PRECINCT 2 - DISTRICT FOUR | 1,073 | 489 | 36 | 1,598 | 67.1% | 30.6% | D+36.5 |
| District 151630000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| District 251630000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| District 351630000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| District 4 - Precinct 151630000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| District 4 - Precinct 251630000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +35.3% |
| 1896 | +15.5% |
| 1900 | +24.8% |
| 1904 | +47.5% |
| 1908 | +6.1% |
| 1912 | +64.1% |
| 1916 | +37.4% |
| 1920 | +31.6% |
| 1924 | +41.4% |
| 1928 | −8.0% |
| 1932 | +37.4% |
| 1936 | +39.3% |
| 1940 | +32.9% |
| 1944 | +22.0% |
| 1948 | +0.3% |
| 1952 | −22.5% |
| 1956 | −26.6% |
| 1960 | −8.2% |
| 1964 | +23.2% |
| 1968 | −2.1% |
| 1972 | −21.7% |
| 1976 | +0.4% |
| 1980 | −6.6% |
| 1984 | −17.8% |
| 1988 | −11.7% |
| 1992 | +6.5% |
| 1996 | +10.3% |
| 2000 | +6.4% |
| 2004 | +9.2% |
| 2008 | +28.3% |
| 2012 | +26.9% |
| 2016 | +26.3% |
| 2020 | +34.8% |
| 2024 | +31.5% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,352 |
| 2018 | 18,036 |
| 2020 | 18,548 |
| 2022 | 19,323 |
| 2024 | 20,838 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−53 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,967 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,165 in average income, against $107,185 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.4 on average — 28 points more Republican-leaning than Fredericksburg city, VA itself (D+31.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Spotsylvania County, VA564R+8.5
- Stafford County, VA384D+0.8
- Prince William County, VA147D+17.9
- Fairfax County, VA95D+34.7
- King George County, VA65R+24.9
- Caroline County, VA47R+8.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Spotsylvania County, VA635
- Stafford County, VA303
- Prince William County, VA91
- Caroline County, VA65
- Fairfax County, VA65
- Richmond city, VA58
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,058 |
| 2012 | +1,015 |
| 2013 | +347 |
| 2014 | +56 |
| 2015 | −559 |
| 2016 | +8 |
| 2017 | −157 |
| 2018 | +348 |
| 2019 | −399 |
| 2021 | +226 |
| 2022 | −90 |
| 2023 | +7 |
| 2024 | +160 |
| 2025 | −53 |
Home to the University of Mary Washington, Fredericksburg votes at the bluest end of Virginia's independent cities, with the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 30 points — a gap rooted in its dense concentration of students, educators, and young renters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 26.6 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.5 points.
A population of 28,873, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,071 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Charlottesville city and Winchester city.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fredericksburg city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51630/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.