Manassas city, Virginia: New American county. In 2024, voted D+15%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,9762024 5-year
- Median household income
- $113,5902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 43.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Loudoun County, VA · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Manassas cityPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Manassas city, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | No data |
| 1920 | No data |
| 1924 | No data |
| 1928 | No data |
| 1932 | No data |
| 1936 | No data |
| 1940 | No data |
| 1944 | No data |
| 1948 | No data |
| 1952 | No data |
| 1956 | No data |
| 1960 | No data |
| 1964 | No data |
| 1968 | No data |
| 1972 | −31.4% |
| 1976 | −9.3% |
| 1980 | −29.2% |
| 1984 | −43.1% |
| 1988 | −38.1% |
| 1992 | −16.2% |
| 1996 | −13.0% |
| 2000 | −12.0% |
| 2004 | −13.1% |
| 2008 | +11.3% |
| 2012 | +13.3% |
| 2016 | +16.0% |
| 2020 | +24.2% |
| 2024 | +14.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 9,048 | 6,670 | 16,100 | ||
| D | 10,356 | 6,256 | 16,968 | ||
| D | 8,423 | 5,953 | 15,411 | ||
| D | 8,478 | 6,463 | 15,200 | ||
| D | 7,518 | 5,975 | 13,627 | ||
| R | 5,562 | 7,257 | 12,903 | ||
| R | 5,262 | 6,752 | 12,410 | ||
| R | 4,378 | 5,799 | 10,960 | ||
| R | 3,647 | 5,453 | 11,154 | ||
| R | 2,658 | 5,980 | 8,719 | ||
| R | 1,824 | 4,613 | 6,466 | ||
| R | 1,565 | 3,009 | 4,952 | ||
| R | 1,646 | 1,992 | 3,737 | ||
| R | 695 | 1,345 | 2,070 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.2%
Irish
7.3%
English
7.1%
American
2.7%
Italian
2.6%
Scottish
1.6%
French
1.4%
African American
9.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$113,590
Manassas city ranks in the top 0.5% of US counties.
Manassas city$113,590
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Manassas city ranks in the top 0.5% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.9%
Working age (18–64)6.4%
Seniors (65+)11.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
50.0%
speak English only
Spanish39.2%
Other Indo-European4.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.2%
Other languages1.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 13.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Manassas City, once a competitive Northern Virginia locality, has shifted toward double-digit Democratic margins as its Latino and immigrant populations grew substantially over the past two decades, making it a case study in suburban demographic transition.
Manassas city has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of twenty-four points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved nine points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $113,590, and a population of 42,976. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Loudoun County and Hopewell city.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Manassas city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51683/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
More new american counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Manassas city, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Manassas city, Virginia voted Democratic by 14.8 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 16,100 votes cast, 9,048 went Democratic and 6,670 went Republican.
What is Manassas city, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Manassas city, Virginia in the "New American" typology — Communities where a large share of households speak a language other than English — multilingual, Democratic-leaning overall, yet the hardest-swinging bloc toward the Republican Party in 2024. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Manassas city, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Manassas city, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Manassas city, Virginia?
Manassas city, Virginia has a population of 42,976 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Manassas city, Virginia?
Median household income in Manassas city, Virginia is $113,590 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Manassas city, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Manassas city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The county's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.