HarrisDemocratic26.3%2,119TrumpRepublican71.9%5,800OliverLibertarian0.7%58
R+45.6- Lead
- 3,681
- Total
- 8,065
- vs nation
- R+44.2
- Turnout
- 84.6%
Akashiccounty
Poquoson city, VA
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President13 · 1976–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1976–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 84.6% of 9,568 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.1%2,054TrumpRepublican71.3%5,605JorgensenLibertarian2.0%160
R+45.2- Lead
- 3,551
- Total
- 7,857
- vs nation
- R+49.7
- Turnout
- 84.4%
ClintonDemocratic22.3%1,601TrumpRepublican70.9%5,092JohnsonLibertarian4.3%307
R+48.6- Lead
- 3,491
- Total
- 7,177
- vs nation
- R+50.7
- Turnout
- 77.9%
ObamaDemocratic23.6%1,679RomneyRepublican74.8%5,312OtherAll other candidates1.6%115
R+51.1- Lead
- 3,633
- Total
- 7,106
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic24.7%1,748McCainRepublican74.0%5,229OtherAll other candidates1.2%88
R+49.3- Lead
- 3,481
- Total
- 7,065
- vs nation
- R+56.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic22.0%1,424BushRepublican77.2%5,004OtherAll other candidates0.8%52
R+55.2- Lead
- 3,580
- Total
- 6,480
- vs nation
- R+52.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic24.7%1,448BushRepublican72.9%4,271NaderGreen1.6%93
R+48.2- Lead
- 2,823
- Total
- 5,861
- vs nation
- R+48.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic26.7%1,409DoleRepublican64.9%3,422PerotReform7.6%400
R+38.2- Lead
- 2,013
- Total
- 5,276
- vs nation
- R+46.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 12,6392024 5-year
- Population density
- 821 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $120,9722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.8 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Elbert County, CO · twin score 89.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 84.6%8,091 participants ÷ 9,568 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 59.1%–65.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8,091 | 9,568 ± 212 | 84.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 5,598 | 9,504 ± 214 | 58.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,888 | 9,351 ± 184 | 84.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 6,054 | 9,231 ± 174 | 65.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,200 | 9,248 ± 118 | 77.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 7,106 | 9,107 | 78.0% | Derived | — | |
| 7,065 | 8,581 | 82.3% | Derived | — | |
| 6,480 | 8,055 extrapolated | 80.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Poquoson city only. The complete district District 1 result is shown below for comparison.
Poquoson city result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs0—
Ericka W. Kopp0—
Jason S. Knapp0—
Mel E. Tull, III0—
Salaam Bhatti0—
Shannon L. Taylor0—
Show all 7 candidates
Tim S. Cywinski0—
District District 1 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 6 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 8,065 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -003 - WESTERN003 - WESTERN | 774 | 1,919 | 63 | 2,756 | 28.1% | 69.6% | R+41.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -002 - EASTERN002 - EASTERN | 636 | 1,974 | 50 | 2,660 | 23.9% | 74.2% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -001 - CENTRAL001 - CENTRAL | 709 | 1,907 | 33 | 2,649 | 26.8% | 72.0% | R+45.2 |
| Central51735000001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eastern51735000002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Western51735000003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Poquoson city, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1976–2024 · 13 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
43.2%
1,140 votes · R+12.2
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 26.7%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
84.7%
3,667 votes · R+69.8
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 80.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,119votes
26.3% of the vote · R+45.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,054 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,800votes
71.9% of the vote · R+45.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,605 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−14.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+12.2 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −33.2 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+56.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.3 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +55.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDanny DiggsState Senate · 24
DVirgil ThorntonState House · 86
Seats representing Poquoson city, VA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,991 |
| 2018 | 9,040 |
| 2020 | 9,477 |
| 2022 | 9,597 |
| 2024 | 10,067 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+438 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,086 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $81,393 in average income, against $117,780 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+20.2 on average — 66 points more Democratic-leaning than Poquoson city, VA itself (R+45.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Newport News city, VA79D+28.7
- York County, VA64R+6.1
- Hampton city, VA52D+39.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Newport News city, VA71
- York County, VA55
- Hampton city, VA41
- Gloucester County, VA20
- James City County, VA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −96 |
| 2012 | +69 |
| 2013 | −14 |
| 2014 | −71 |
| 2015 | +10 |
| 2016 | −59 |
| 2017 | +117 |
| 2018 | +149 |
| 2019 | +111 |
| 2021 | +168 |
| 2022 | +1 |
| 2023 | +7 |
| 2024 | +256 |
| 2025 | +438 |
Poquoson's roughly 11,500 residents—many tied to nearby Langley Air Force Base and the defense sector—have delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, making it a consistent outlier even within a competitive state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 69.8 points in 1984. The 2024 margin was 45.6 points.
A population of 12,639, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $120,972 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Elbert County and Powhatan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Elbert County
Colorado
89.7twin score
median income2000–2012 trajectory
Powhatan County
Virginia
88.9twin score
median income12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Bryan County
Georgia
88.3twin score
12-yr trend2004–2008 trajectorymedian income≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Poquoson city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51735/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Poquoson city, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Poquoson city, Virginia voted Republican by 45.6 points (R+45.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,065 votes cast, 2,119 went Democratic and 5,800 went Republican.
How many people live in Poquoson city, Virginia?
Poquoson city, Virginia has a population of 12,639 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Poquoson city, Virginia?
Median household income in Poquoson city, Virginia is $120,972 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Poquoson city, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Poquoson city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.