- Lead
- 10,441
- Total
- 20,422
- vs nation
- R+49.7
- Turnout
- 95.2%
Elbert County, CO
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 95.2% of 21,701 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,537
- Total
- 18,983
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Turnout
- 94.8%
- Lead
- 8,571
- Total
- 15,980
- vs nation
- R+55.7
- Turnout
- 89.4%
- Lead
- 6,663
- Total
- 14,178
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,289
- Total
- 13,206
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,555
- Total
- 11,364
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,825
- Total
- 8,965
- vs nation
- R+43.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,231
- Total
- 6,758
- vs nation
- R+41.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,8742024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,850 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $132,6852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.6 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Poquoson city, VA · twin score 89.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 95.2%20,658 participants ÷ 21,701 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -7.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 81.9%–82.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20,658 | 21,701 ± 293 | 95.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 16,787 | 20,574 ± 281 | 81.6% | Audited | C/A |
| 19,281 | 20,330 ± 240 | 94.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,891 | 19,403 ± 196 | 76.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 16,370 | 18,306 ± 227 | 89.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 14,178 | 16,884 | 84.0% | Derived | — | |
| 13,206 | 16,949 | 77.9% | Derived | — | |
| 11,364 | 17,014 extrapolated | 66.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Elbert County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Elbert County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 36 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 20,422 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -43556200044355620004 | 441 | 1,270 | 49 | 1,760 | 25.1% | 72.2% | R+47.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -43556200084355620008 | 366 | 1,174 | 22 | 1,562 | 23.4% | 75.2% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -43556200114355620011 | 245 | 1,015 | 23 | 1,283 | 19.1% | 79.1% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -43556200034355620003 | 344 | 847 | 41 | 1,232 | 27.9% | 68.8% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -43556200154355620015 | 275 | 938 | 19 | 1,232 | 22.3% | 76.1% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -43556200054355620005 | 309 | 870 | 24 | 1,203 | 25.7% | 72.3% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -43556200064355620006 | 311 | 849 | 22 | 1,182 | 26.3% | 71.8% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -43556200024355620002 | 307 | 802 | 29 | 1,138 | 27.0% | 70.5% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -43556200094355620009 | 272 | 756 | 26 | 1,054 | 25.8% | 71.7% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -43556200134355620013 | 237 | 797 | 12 | 1,046 | 22.7% | 76.2% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -43556200164355620016 | 243 | 764 | 23 | 1,030 | 23.6% | 74.2% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -43556200184355620018 | 163 | 832 | 27 | 1,022 | 15.9% | 81.4% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -43556200014355620001 | 292 | 666 | 20 | 978 | 29.9% | 68.1% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -43556200144355620014 | 270 | 674 | 27 | 971 | 27.8% | 69.4% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -43556200124355620012 | 140 | 811 | 17 | 968 | 14.5% | 83.8% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -43556200174355620017 | 159 | 785 | 14 | 958 | 16.6% | 81.9% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -43556200074355620007 | 223 | 688 | 26 | 937 | 23.8% | 73.4% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -43556200104355620010 | 171 | 671 | 24 | 866 | 19.7% | 77.5% | R+57.7 |
| Elbert 108_0803920001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1008_0803920010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1108_0803920011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1208_0803920012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1308_0803920013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1408_0803920014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1508_0803920015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1608_0803920016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1708_0803920017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1808_0803920018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 208_0803920002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 308_0803920003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 408_0803920004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 508_0803920005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 608_0803920006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 708_0803920007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 808_0803920008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 908_0803920009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Elbert County, CO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1880) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
72.7%
751 votes · D+46.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 53.6%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
75.3%
2,605 votes · R+52.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 74.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
4,768votes
23.3% of the vote · R+51.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 4,490 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,209votes
74.5% of the vote · R+51.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,027 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+52.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.2 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +9.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+55.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.6 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +54.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Elbert County, CO. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Republican than the rolls.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,035 | 2,570 | 11,093 | 6,100 | 272 |
| 2018 | 21,171 | 2,436 | 11,298 | 7,117 | 320 |
| 2020 | 23,139 | 2,453 | 11,886 | 8,436 | 364 |
| 2022 | 24,834 | 2,412 | 11,954 | 10,072 | 396 |
| 2024 | 26,679 | 2,354 | 12,351 | 11,480 | 494 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,156 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +6,968 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $99,799 in average income, against $127,625 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.5 on average — 58 points more Democratic-leaning than Elbert County, CO itself (R+51.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Douglas County, CO400R+7.0
- Arapahoe County, CO218D+20.1
- El Paso County, CO108R+9.8
- Jefferson County, CO79D+19.5
- Denver County, CO61D+56.1
- Adams County, CO52D+9.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Douglas County, CO214
- Arapahoe County, CO115
- El Paso County, CO98
- Denver County, CO50
- Adams County, CO43
- Jefferson County, CO40
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −41 |
| 2012 | +59 |
| 2013 | +235 |
| 2014 | +406 |
| 2015 | +481 |
| 2016 | +403 |
| 2017 | +526 |
| 2018 | +455 |
| 2019 | +345 |
| 2021 | +943 |
| 2022 | +624 |
| 2023 | +899 |
| 2024 | +477 |
| 2025 | +1,156 |
A sprawling exurban and ranch county southeast of Denver, Elbert delivered an R+51 presidential margin in 2024 despite sitting within commuting distance of one of the country's fastest-growing metro areas.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 53.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.1 points.
A population of 27,874, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $132,685 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Poquoson city and New Kent County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Elbert County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.