Natrona County, Wyoming: Stable Rural Right county. In 2024, voted R+48%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 79,9772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,1562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Moffat County, CO · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Natrona CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Natrona County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −55.9% |
| 1896 | −9.0% |
| 1900 | −32.1% |
| 1904 | −39.2% |
| 1908 | −28.5% |
| 1912 | −13.7% |
| 1916 | +20.0% |
| 1920 | −40.4% |
| 1924 | −32.1% |
| 1928 | −30.1% |
| 1932 | +20.9% |
| 1936 | +33.7% |
| 1940 | +6.8% |
| 1944 | −3.0% |
| 1948 | +7.3% |
| 1952 | −27.8% |
| 1956 | −25.1% |
| 1960 | −13.5% |
| 1964 | +4.8% |
| 1968 | −25.6% |
| 1972 | −41.1% |
| 1976 | −22.6% |
| 1980 | −36.3% |
| 1984 | −41.2% |
| 1988 | −20.7% |
| 1992 | +0.4% |
| 1996 | −6.9% |
| 2000 | −34.5% |
| 2004 | −36.3% |
| 2008 | −34.4% |
| 2012 | −40.7% |
| 2016 | −50.9% |
| 2020 | −47.6% |
| 2024 | −48.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8,337 | 24,671 | 33,921 | ||
| R | 8,530 | 25,271 | 35,202 | ||
| R | 6,577 | 23,552 | 33,348 | ||
| R | 8,961 | 22,132 | 32,373 | ||
| R | 10,475 | 21,906 | 33,267 | ||
| R | 9,863 | 21,512 | 32,068 | ||
| R | 8,646 | 18,439 | 28,388 | ||
| R | 11,240 | 13,182 | 28,215 | ||
| D | 9,817 | 9,717 | 27,400 | ||
| R | 9,148 | 14,005 | 23,487 | ||
| R | 7,598 | 18,488 | 26,464 | ||
| R | 7,111 | 16,801 | 26,672 | ||
| R | 8,640 | 13,761 | 22,621 | ||
| R | 6,514 | 15,649 | 22,200 | ||
| R | 5,900 | 10,679 | 18,674 | ||
| D | 11,167 | 10,135 | 21,302 | ||
| R | 9,002 | 11,809 | 20,811 | ||
| R | 6,462 | 10,796 | 17,258 | ||
| R | 6,021 | 10,663 | 16,695 | ||
| D | 6,183 | 5,341 | 11,608 | ||
| R | 4,890 | 5,196 | 10,086 | ||
| D | 6,373 | 5,555 | 11,949 | ||
| D | 7,819 | 3,810 | 11,907 | ||
| D | 6,777 | 4,368 | 11,533 | ||
| R | 3,818 | 7,141 | 11,023 | ||
| R | 3,857 | 8,267 | 13,755 | ||
| R | 1,153 | 2,957 | 4,467 | ||
| D | 1,377 | 912 | 2,327 | ||
| R | 447 | 640 | 1,406 | ||
| R | 461 | 835 | 1,310 | ||
| R | 320 | 738 | 1,065 | ||
| R | 267 | 520 | 787 | ||
| R | 327 | 392 | 722 | ||
| R | 0 | 194 | 347 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.8%
English
13.7%
Irish
13.4%
American
4.2%
Scottish
3.7%
French
2.6%
Italian
2.3%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,156
Natrona County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Natrona County$72,156
Wyoming$76,176
United States$80,734
Natrona County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.6%
Working age (18–64)8.8%
Seniors (65+)7.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.6%
speak English only
Spanish3.5%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Natrona County, seat of Casper and center of Wyoming's energy industry, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 40 points in every cycle this decade, reflecting a working-age, resource-sector workforce with limited urban counterweight.
The Republican margin here reached fifty-six points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-eight points.
A population of 79,977, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,156 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Moffat County and Bullitt County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Natrona County, Wyoming. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/56025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More stable rural right counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Natrona County, Wyoming vote in 2024?
In 2024, Natrona County, Wyoming voted Republican by 48.2 points (R+48), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 33,921 votes cast, 8,337 went Democratic and 24,671 went Republican.
What is Natrona County, Wyoming's political typology?
Akashic places Natrona County, Wyoming in the "Stable Rural Right" typology — Mountain, Plains, and rural Republican counties already near their ceiling, with little further room to swing. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 27 times, and other 0 times.
When did Natrona County, Wyoming last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Natrona County, Wyoming voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Natrona County, Wyoming?
Natrona County, Wyoming has a population of 79,977 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Natrona County, Wyoming?
Median household income in Natrona County, Wyoming is $72,156 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wyoming state median is $76,176.
What is the political history of Natrona County, Wyoming?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Natrona County, Wyoming from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The county's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.