- Lead
- 16,334
- Total
- 33,921
- vs nation
- R+46.7
- Turnout
- 56.7%
Natrona County, WY
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.7% of 60,361 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 16,741
- Total
- 35,202
- vs nation
- R+52.0
- Turnout
- 59.0%
- Lead
- 16,975
- Total
- 33,348
- vs nation
- R+53.0
- Turnout
- 55.2%
- Lead
- 13,171
- Total
- 32,373
- vs nation
- R+44.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,431
- Total
- 33,267
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,649
- Total
- 32,068
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,793
- Total
- 28,388
- vs nation
- R+35.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,942
- Total
- 28,215
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 79,9772024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5,341 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,1562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.9 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lumpkin County, GA · twin score 84.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 56.7%34,206 participants ÷ 60,361 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 36.0%–39.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34,206 | 60,361 ± 366 | 56.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 22,955 | 59,847 ± 425 | 38.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 35,391 | 59,995 ± 406 | 59.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 24,662 | 60,065 ± 493 | 41.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 33,360 | 60,414 ± 501 | 55.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 32,373 | 56,841 | 57.0% | Derived | — | |
| 33,267 | 53,600 | 62.1% | Derived | — | |
| 32,068 | 50,359 extrapolated | 63.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Natrona County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Natrona County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 142 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
142 precincts · 33,921 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -3-103-10 | 597 | 1,996 | 63 | 2,656 | 22.5% | 75.2% | R+52.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3-63-6 | 456 | 1,115 | 51 | 1,622 | 28.1% | 68.7% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -2-62-6 | 348 | 1,122 | 52 | 1,522 | 22.9% | 73.7% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -8-18-1 | 318 | 1,157 | 31 | 1,506 | 21.1% | 76.8% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -2-82-8 | 289 | 1,170 | 37 | 1,496 | 19.3% | 78.2% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -2-72-7 | 286 | 1,032 | 42 | 1,360 | 21.0% | 75.9% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -1-71-7 | 364 | 911 | 30 | 1,305 | 27.9% | 69.8% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -8-58-5 | 153 | 1,072 | 28 | 1,253 | 12.2% | 85.6% | R+73.3 |
| Precinct -9-19-1 | 213 | 913 | 24 | 1,150 | 18.5% | 79.4% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -4-24-2 | 125 | 983 | 19 | 1,127 | 11.1% | 87.2% | R+76.1 |
| Precinct -1-91-9 | 245 | 803 | 34 | 1,082 | 22.6% | 74.2% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -8-48-4 | 155 | 911 | 14 | 1,080 | 14.4% | 84.4% | R+70.0 |
| Precinct -1-41-4 | 369 | 646 | 32 | 1,047 | 35.2% | 61.7% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -2-102-10 | 261 | 678 | 42 | 981 | 26.6% | 69.1% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -4-14-1 | 213 | 660 | 16 | 889 | 24.0% | 74.2% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -3-33-3 | 265 | 583 | 23 | 871 | 30.4% | 66.9% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -3-93-9 | 243 | 567 | 23 | 833 | 29.2% | 68.1% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -2-12-1 | 253 | 543 | 27 | 823 | 30.7% | 66.0% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -1-31-3 | 325 | 438 | 22 | 785 | 41.4% | 55.8% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -1-61-6 | 220 | 532 | 11 | 763 | 28.8% | 69.7% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -3-53-5 | 196 | 513 | 15 | 724 | 27.1% | 70.9% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -3-43-4 | 183 | 502 | 28 | 713 | 25.7% | 70.4% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -3-23-2 | 183 | 424 | 19 | 626 | 29.2% | 67.7% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -3-83-8 | 186 | 426 | 14 | 626 | 29.7% | 68.1% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -8-38-3 | 99 | 491 | 14 | 604 | 16.4% | 81.3% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -2-22-2 | 187 | 383 | 28 | 598 | 31.3% | 64.0% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -1-11-1 | 190 | 380 | 12 | 582 | 32.6% | 65.3% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -2-42-4 | 176 | 371 | 21 | 568 | 31.0% | 65.3% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -2-92-9 | 104 | 435 | 16 | 555 | 18.7% | 78.4% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -1-21-2 | 206 | 315 | 17 | 538 | 38.3% | 58.6% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -1-51-5 | 249 | 249 | 30 | 528 | 47.2% | 47.2% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -1-111-11 | 144 | 347 | 7 | 498 | 28.9% | 69.7% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -1-121-12 | 128 | 296 | 22 | 446 | 28.7% | 66.4% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -2-32-3 | 151 | 280 | 12 | 443 | 34.1% | 63.2% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -12-212-2 | 89 | 293 | 10 | 392 | 22.7% | 74.7% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -11-311-3 | 44 | 197 | 9 | 250 | 17.6% | 78.8% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -8-28-2 | 38 | 189 | 2 | 229 | 16.6% | 82.5% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -7-17-1 | 20 | 117 | 1 | 138 | 14.5% | 84.8% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -11-111-1 | 4 | 120 | 3 | 127 | 3.1% | 94.5% | R+91.3 |
| Precinct -11-411-4 | 3 | 118 | 6 | 127 | 2.4% | 92.9% | R+90.6 |
| Precinct -11-211-2 | 19 | 89 | 3 | 111 | 17.1% | 80.2% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -13-113-1 | 7 | 103 | 0 | 110 | 6.4% | 93.6% | R+87.3 |
| Precinct -7-27-2 | 13 | 74 | 1 | 88 | 14.8% | 84.1% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -13-213-2 | 4 | 61 | 1 | 66 | 6.1% | 92.4% | R+86.4 |
| Precinct -5-15-1 | 15 | 50 | 1 | 66 | 22.7% | 75.8% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -14-114-1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 17 | 5.9% | 94.1% | R+88.2 |
| 1ST ASSEMBLY OF GOD CHURCH Voting District56_560250308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1ST ASSEMBLY OF GOD CHURCH Voting District56_560250308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 7TH DAY ADVENTIST SCHOOL Voting District56_560250109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 7TH DAY ADVENTIST SCHOOL Voting District56_560250109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ALCOVA Voting District56_560251102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ALCOVA Voting District56_560251102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAR NUNN Voting District56_560250805 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAR NUNN Voting District56_560250805 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BETHEL BAPTIST CHURCH Voting District56_560250210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BETHEL BAPTIST CHURCH Voting District56_560250210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRESSLER RANCH Voting District56_560251301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRESSLER RANCH Voting District56_560251301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASPER COLLEGE Voting District56_560250104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASPER COLLEGE Voting District56_560250104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTENNIAL JUNIOR HIGH Voting District56_560250310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTENNIAL JUNIOR HIGH Voting District56_560250310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CREST HILL SCHOOL Voting District56_560250205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CREST HILL SCHOOL Voting District56_560250205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CY JR HS Voting District56_560250203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CY JR HS Voting District56_560250203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DEAN MORGAN JR HS Voting District56_560250103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DEAN MORGAN JR HS Voting District56_560250103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST JR HS Voting District56_560250107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST JR HS Voting District56_560250107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EDGERTON TOWN HALL Voting District56_560250702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EDGERTON TOWN HALL Voting District56_560250702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EVANSVILLE INSIDE Voting District56_560250401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EVANSVILLE INSIDE Voting District56_560250401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EVANSVILLE OUTSIDE Voting District56_560250402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EVANSVILLE OUTSIDE Voting District56_560250402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRDALE SCHOOL Voting District56_560250304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRDALE SCHOOL Voting District56_560250304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FISH HATCHERY Voting District56_560251103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FISH HATCHERY Voting District56_560251103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRANT SCHOOL Voting District56_560250106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRANT SCHOOL Voting District56_560250106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAT SIX RANCH Voting District56_560250501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAT SIX RANCH Voting District56_560250501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON SCHOOL Voting District56_560250105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON SCHOOL Voting District56_560250105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KELLY WALSH HS Voting District56_560250305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KELLY WALSH HS Voting District56_560250305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MANOR HEIGHTS SCHOOL Voting District56_560250306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MANOR HEIGHTS SCHOOL Voting District56_560250306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MCKINLEY SCHOOL Voting District56_560250110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MCKINLEY SCHOOL Voting District56_560250110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIDWEST TOWN HALL Voting District56_560250701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIDWEST TOWN HALL Voting District56_560250701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLS RECREATION HALL Voting District56_560250801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLS RECREATION HALL Voting District56_560250801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUNTAIN VIEW SCHOOL Voting District56_560250802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUNTAIN VIEW SCHOOL Voting District56_560250802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NATIONAL GUARD ARMORY - CASPER Voting District56_560250901C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NATIONAL GUARD ARMORY - CASPER Voting District56_560250901C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NATIONAL GUARD ARMORY Voting District56_560250901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NATIONAL GUARD ARMORY Voting District56_560250901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NATRONA COUNTY LIBRARY Voting District56_560250102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NATRONA COUNTY LIBRARY Voting District56_560250102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON TRAIL SCHOOL - CASPER Voting District56_560250208C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON TRAIL SCHOOL - CASPER Voting District56_560250208C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON TRAIL SCHOOL Voting District56_560250208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON TRAIL SCHOOL Voting District56_560250208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARADISE VALLEY SCHOOL Voting District56_560250207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARADISE VALLEY SCHOOL Voting District56_560250207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINEVIEW SCHOOL Voting District56_560250303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINEVIEW SCHOOL Voting District56_560250303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POISON SPIDER SCHOOL Voting District56_560251104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POISON SPIDER SCHOOL Voting District56_560251104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POWDER RIVER SCHOOL Voting District56_560251302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POWDER RIVER SCHOOL Voting District56_560251302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RED CREEK SCHOOL Voting District56_560251101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RED CREEK SCHOOL Voting District56_560251101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROOSEVELT SCHOOL Voting District56_560250101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROOSEVELT SCHOOL Voting District56_560250101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHEPHERD OF HILLS CHURCH Voting District56_560250206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHEPHERD OF HILLS CHURCH Voting District56_560250206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHEPHERD OF THE VALLEY CARECENTER Voting District56_560250209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHEPHERD OF THE VALLEY CARECENTER Voting District56_560250209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTHRIDGE SCHOOL Voting District56_560250204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTHRIDGE SCHOOL Voting District56_560250204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST STEPHENS CHURCH Voting District56_560251202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST STEPHENS CHURCH Voting District56_560251202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIVERSITY PARK SCHOOL Voting District56_560250302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIVERSITY PARK SCHOOL Voting District56_560250302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UPPER WILLOW CREEK SCHOOL Voting District56_560251401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UPPER WILLOW CREEK SCHOOL Voting District56_560251401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERDA JAMES SCHOOL Voting District56_560250309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERDA JAMES SCHOOL Voting District56_560250309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VISTA WEST CHURCH Voting District56_560250804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VISTA WEST CHURCH Voting District56_560250804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARDWELL WATER & SEWER Voting District56_560250803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARDWELL WATER & SEWER Voting District56_560250803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTWOOD SCHOOL Voting District56_560250201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTWOOD SCHOOL Voting District56_560250201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WILLARD SCHOOL Voting District56_560250301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WILLARD SCHOOL Voting District56_560250301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Natrona County, WY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
65.7%
7,819 votes · D+33.7
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 59.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.7%
24,671 votes · R+48.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
11,240votes
39.8% of the vote · R+6.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 11,167 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
25,271votes
71.8% of the vote · R+47.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 24,671 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+16.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.0 · U.S. D+3.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +9.4 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+57.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.9 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +53.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Natrona County, WY. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.3%7,090 | 76.7%23,396 | 30,486 |
| 2020 | R | 23.5%7,454 | 76.5%24,214 | 31,668 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Democratic than the rolls.
34,045 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+335 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +941 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,759 in average income, against $93,156 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.0 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Natrona County, WY itself (R+48.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Converse County, WY115R+72.9
- Fremont County, WY78R+36.9
- Laramie County, WY56R+32.1
- Campbell County, WY55R+76.3
- Sweetwater County, WY46R+52.8
- Albany County, WY41R+3.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Converse County, WY91
- Laramie County, WY75
- Albany County, WY58
- Campbell County, WY49
- Sheridan County, WY46
- Fremont County, WY44
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +586 |
| 2012 | +1,675 |
| 2013 | +2,018 |
| 2014 | −189 |
| 2015 | +225 |
| 2016 | −1,705 |
| 2017 | −1,786 |
| 2018 | −802 |
| 2019 | +361 |
| 2021 | −578 |
| 2022 | +68 |
| 2023 | +361 |
| 2024 | +372 |
| 2025 | +335 |
Natrona County, seat of Casper and center of Wyoming's energy industry, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 40 points in every cycle this decade, reflecting a working-age, resource-sector workforce with limited urban counterweight.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 55.9 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.2 points.
A population of 79,977, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,156 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lumpkin County and Sheridan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Natrona County, Wyoming. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/56025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.