Casper, Wyoming
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −33.1% |
| 2008 | −30.4% |
| 2012 | −34.8% |
| 2016 | −45.4% |
| 2020 | −41.1% |
| 2024 | −42.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 27.5%Harris6,803 | 69.5%Trump17,170 | 3.0% | R+42.0 | R+0.9 | R+40.5 | 24,705 | |
| R | 27.3%Biden7,033 | 68.4%Trump17,619 | 4.3% | R+41.1 | D+4.3 | R+45.6 | 25,755 | |
| R | 22.2%Clinton5,417 | 67.6%Trump16,494 | 10.3% | R+45.4 | R+10.5 | R+47.5 | 24,416 | |
| R | 30.5%Obama7,442 | 65.3%Romney15,958 | 4.2% | R+34.8 | R+4.5 | R+38.7 | 24,438 | |
| R | 33.7%Obama8,563 | 64.0%McCain16,286 | 2.3% | R+30.4 | D+2.8 | R+37.6 | 25,433 | |
| R | 32.5%Kerry8,092 | 65.7%Bush16,345 | 1.8% | R+33.1 | — | R+30.7 | 24,896 |
Casper's economy tracks closely with crude prices, and that volatility has made energy policy a defining issue in local and statewide races, reinforcing Natrona County's position as one of Wyoming's most reliably Republican urban centers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 45.4 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.0 points.
A population of 58,839, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,218 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Florence and Twin Falls.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Casper, Wyoming. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5613150/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.