Muscatine County, Iowa: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+15%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,5592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,3962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lafayette County, WI · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Muscatine CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Muscatine County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +4.1% |
| 1896 | −11.6% |
| 1900 | −12.4% |
| 1904 | −20.9% |
| 1908 | −6.8% |
| 1912 | +26.6% |
| 1916 | −17.1% |
| 1920 | −50.4% |
| 1924 | −48.4% |
| 1928 | −35.7% |
| 1932 | +2.0% |
| 1936 | +2.0% |
| 1940 | −18.8% |
| 1944 | −19.3% |
| 1948 | −4.6% |
| 1952 | −23.6% |
| 1956 | −19.8% |
| 1960 | −16.5% |
| 1964 | +18.2% |
| 1968 | −20.5% |
| 1972 | −25.8% |
| 1976 | −7.8% |
| 1980 | −14.7% |
| 1984 | −20.3% |
| 1988 | +1.1% |
| 1992 | +5.9% |
| 1996 | +11.8% |
| 2000 | +3.6% |
| 2004 | +2.8% |
| 2008 | +15.6% |
| 2012 | +15.9% |
| 2016 | −6.2% |
| 2020 | −7.0% |
| 2024 | −14.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8,212 | 11,152 | 19,752 | ||
| R | 9,372 | 10,823 | 20,671 | ||
| R | 8,368 | 9,584 | 19,623 | ||
| D | 11,323 | 8,168 | 19,865 | ||
| D | 10,920 | 7,929 | 19,119 | ||
| D | 9,542 | 9,020 | 18,717 | ||
| D | 8,058 | 7,483 | 16,076 | ||
| D | 7,674 | 5,858 | 15,386 | ||
| D | 7,089 | 6,087 | 16,864 | ||
| D | 7,059 | 6,904 | 14,102 | ||
| R | 5,986 | 9,069 | 15,168 | ||
| R | 5,597 | 7,829 | 15,145 | ||
| R | 6,567 | 7,697 | 14,496 | ||
| R | 4,917 | 8,436 | 13,642 | ||
| R | 4,726 | 7,361 | 12,874 | ||
| D | 8,020 | 5,547 | 13,577 | ||
| R | 6,135 | 8,555 | 14,698 | ||
| R | 5,718 | 8,552 | 14,298 | ||
| R | 5,772 | 9,361 | 15,196 | ||
| R | 5,466 | 6,003 | 11,615 | ||
| R | 4,801 | 7,104 | 11,963 | ||
| R | 5,825 | 8,543 | 14,421 | ||
| D | 6,593 | 6,332 | 13,313 | ||
| D | 6,423 | 6,160 | 12,917 | ||
| R | 4,055 | 8,604 | 12,757 | ||
| R | 1,963 | 7,731 | 11,917 | ||
| R | 2,293 | 8,115 | 11,544 | ||
| R | 2,694 | 3,929 | 7,242 | ||
| O | 2,679 | 789 | 7,110 | ||
| R | 3,038 | 3,525 | 7,131 | ||
| R | 2,555 | 4,036 | 7,076 | ||
| R | 3,021 | 3,905 | 7,110 | ||
| R | 2,863 | 3,627 | 6,592 | ||
| D | 2,964 | 2,726 | 5,874 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.4%
English
9.7%
Irish
8.7%
American
6.5%
French
1.7%
Polish
1.4%
Scottish
1.0%
African American
1.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,396
Muscatine County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Muscatine County$69,396
Iowa$75,059
United States$80,734
Muscatine County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.3%
Working age (18–64)12.3%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.9%
speak English only
Spanish12.0%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Muscatine County, anchored by its industrial river city, voted within single digits of the national average as recently as 2008 but has since moved sharply toward Republican margins, reflecting broader rural and working-class realignment across the Iowa River corridor.
The Democratic margin here once reached twenty-seven points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifteen points.
A population of 42,559, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,396 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lafayette County and Whiteside County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Muscatine County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19139/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Muscatine County, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Muscatine County, Iowa voted Republican by 14.9 points (R+15), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,752 votes cast, 8,212 went Democratic and 11,152 went Republican.
What is Muscatine County, Iowa's political typology?
Akashic places Muscatine County, Iowa in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 22 times, and other 1 times.
When did Muscatine County, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Muscatine County, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Muscatine County, Iowa?
Muscatine County, Iowa has a population of 42,559 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Muscatine County, Iowa?
Median household income in Muscatine County, Iowa is $69,396 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Muscatine County, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Muscatine County, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.