combined metro areaFayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+4.9
2008D+9.1
2012D+9.6
2016D+2.1
2020R+0.4
2024R+5.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 61.0% of 502,074 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
143,245
159,365
3,758
306,368
502,074
61.0%
2020
152,012
153,358
4,484
309,854
512,479
60.5%
2016
132,496
126,916
9,130
268,542
495,399
54.2%
2012
145,480
119,653
2,531
267,664
476,913
56.1%
2008
142,466
118,620
1,822
262,908
458,020
57.4%
2004
97,774
107,869
616
206,259
439,127†
47.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
6 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NCNorth CarolinaUnited States
American8.3%8.3%5.3%
English8.1%12.7%9.5%
German6.9%9.4%12.5%
Irish6.2%8.4%9.4%
Italian2.4%3.3%4.8%
Scottish2.1%2.3%1.3%
Polish1.0%1.0%2.2%
Scotch-Irish0.8%1.4%—
African American†27.5%18.3%9.9%
Jamaican0.6%0.2%0.4%
African0.6%0.7%0.5%
Haitian0.2%—0.3%
Mexican5.0%5.6%11.3%
Puerto Rican2.9%1.2%1.8%
Panamanian0.3%——
Dominican0.3%0.3%0.7%
Cuban0.3%0.3%0.7%
Honduran0.3%0.7%0.3%
Guatemalan0.3%0.4%0.5%
Colombian0.2%0.3%0.4%
Lumbee6.6%0.4%—
Filipino0.5%0.2%0.9%
Korean0.3%0.2%0.4%
Asian Indian0.3%1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.2%0.4%1.3%
Vietnamese0.2%0.3%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC
North Carolina
United States
Median age
35.4
39.5
39.1
Age 18–24
10.4%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.8%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC
North Carolina
United States
Median household income
$60,305
$72,388
$84,427
Poverty rate
18.5%
13.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
26.0%
35.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC
North Carolina
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.6%
13.5%
22.3%
Spanish
7.2%
8.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC
North Carolina
United States
Catholic
5.9%
8.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
31.7%
26.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
45.6%
48.0%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
7.7%
9.1%
5.2%
Black Protestant
6.3%
3.6%
2.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+17.3%
1896
+6.3%
1900
+21.3%
1904
+30.4%
1908
+25.5%
1912
+64.4%
1916
+34.4%
1920
+39.1%
1924
+51.9%
1928
+13.8%
1932
+67.0%
1936
+72.4%
1940
+68.6%
1944
+58.1%
1948
+45.6%
1952
+21.8%
1956
+29.8%
1960
+30.8%
1964
+35.8%
1968
+7.3%
1972
−33.4%
1976
+35.8%
1980
+15.3%
1984
−9.7%
1988
+0.7%
1992
+13.7%
1996
+9.8%
2000
+1.8%
2004
−4.9%
2008
+9.1%
2012
+9.6%
2016
+2.1%
2020
−0.4%
2024
−5.3%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.8%Harris143,245
52.0%Trump159,365
1.2%
R+5.3
R+4.8
R+3.8
306,368
R
49.1%Biden152,012
49.5%Trump153,358
1.4%
R+0.4
R+2.5
R+4.9
309,854
D
49.3%Clinton132,496
47.3%Trump126,916
3.4%
D+2.1
R+7.6
±0.0
268,542
D
54.4%Obama145,480
44.7%Romney119,653
0.9%
D+9.6
D+0.6
D+5.8
267,664
D
54.2%Obama142,466
45.1%McCain118,620
0.7%
D+9.1
D+14.0
D+1.8
262,908
R
47.4%Kerry97,774
52.3%Bush107,869
0.3%
R+4.9
R+6.7
R+2.4
206,259
D
50.6%Gore86,271
48.8%Bush83,174
0.6%
D+1.8
R+8.0
D+1.3
170,453
D
51.4%Clinton75,891
41.6%Dole61,455
7.0%
D+9.8
R+4.0
D+1.3
147,658
D
50.7%Clinton77,386
36.9%Bush56,411
12.4%
D+13.7
D+13.0
D+8.2
152,785
D
50.2%Dukakis62,716
49.5%Bush61,800
0.3%
D+0.7
D+10.5
D+8.5
124,901
R
45.0%Mondale59,670
54.8%Reagan72,563
0.2%
R+9.7
R+25.0
D+8.5
132,516
D
56.2%Carter63,013
40.9%Reagan45,892
2.9%
D+15.3
R+20.5
D+25.0
112,188
D
67.7%Carter68,774
31.9%Ford32,410
0.4%
D+35.8
D+69.3
D+33.7
101,573
R
32.6%McGovern27,783
66.1%Nixon56,248
1.3%
R+33.4
R+40.8
R+10.3
85,098
D
36.7%Humphrey30,463
29.3%Nixon24,385
34.0%
D+7.3
R+28.5
D+8.0
83,109
D
67.9%Johnson48,658
32.1%Goldwater22,977
0.0%
D+35.8
D+5.0
D+13.3
71,635
D
65.4%Kennedy42,814
34.6%Nixon22,627
0.0%
D+30.8
D+1.1
D+30.7
65,441
D
64.9%Stevenson35,685
35.1%Eisenhower19,313
0.0%
D+29.8
D+8.0
D+45.2
54,998
D
60.9%Stevenson35,229
39.1%Eisenhower22,610
0.0%
D+21.8
R+23.8
D+32.6
57,839
D
65.0%Truman23,065
19.3%Dewey6,863
15.7%
D+45.6
R+12.5
D+41.2
35,505
D
79.0%Roosevelt27,152
21.0%Dewey7,196
0.0%
D+58.1
R+10.5
D+50.6
34,348
D
84.3%Roosevelt31,046
15.7%Willkie5,782
0.0%
D+68.6
R+3.8
D+58.7
36,828
D
86.2%Roosevelt33,096
13.8%Landon5,299
0.0%
D+72.4
D+5.4
D+48.1
38,395
D
83.2%Roosevelt26,409
16.2%Hoover5,139
0.6%
D+67.0
D+53.2
D+49.3
31,726
D
56.9%Smith16,556
43.1%Hoover12,535
0.0%
D+13.8
R+38.1
D+31.3
29,091
D
75.3%Davis14,848
23.4%Coolidge4,605
1.4%
D+51.9
D+12.9
D+77.1
19,720
D
69.5%Cox18,407
30.5%Harding8,067
0.0%
D+39.1
D+4.6
D+65.2
26,474
D
67.1%Wilson9,473
32.7%Hughes4,614
0.2%
D+34.4
R+29.9
D+31.3
14,109
D
71.2%Wilson8,247
6.9%Taft795
21.9%
D+64.4
D+38.9
D+44.8
11,577
D
62.7%Bryan7,382
37.2%Taft4,377
0.2%
D+25.5
R+4.8
D+35.1
11,778
D
65.0%Parker6,865
34.7%Roosevelt3,660
0.3%
D+30.4
D+9.0
D+50.0
10,560
D
60.6%Bryan9,039
39.2%McKinley5,859
0.2%
D+21.3
D+15.0
D+28.9
14,928
D
53.0%Bryan10,345
46.7%McKinley9,106
0.3%
D+6.3
R+11.0
D+12.4
19,515
D
48.1%Cleveland7,864
30.8%Harrison5,032
21.1%
D+17.3
—
D+15.7
16,340
Congressional elections · 2 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2022
R
46.8%88,264
51.0%96,113
188,588
2020
D
47.9%146,595
47.3%144,720
305,765
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+10.5
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+5.3
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 16-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2008
391,700
217,377
93,631
80,476
216
2012
440,571
232,649
102,719
104,101
1,102
2016
440,785
213,486
102,033
123,446
1,820
2020
463,593
197,456
114,289
148,310
3,538
2022
442,289
177,819
112,060
149,258
3,152
2024
478,487
173,307
122,850
176,625
5,705
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+430 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −32,291 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC in Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+1,004
2012
−7,014
2013
−2,442
2014
−6,236
2015
−6,197
2016
−3,256
2017
−5,093
2018
−685
2019
−552
2021
+3,709
2022
−1,047
2023
−2,321
2024
−2,591
2025
+430
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC sits in the Carolinas. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 33.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.3 points.
A population of 690,092, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,305 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Columbus-Auburn-Opelika, GA-AL and Memphis-Clarksdale-Forrest City, TN-MS-AR.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/246/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina voted Republican by 5.3 points (R+5.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 306,368 votes cast, 143,245 went Democratic and 159,365 went Republican.
When did Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina?
Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina has a population of 690,092 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina?
Median household income in Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina is $60,305 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fayetteville-Lumberton-Pinehurst, NC, North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
