Robeson County, North Carolina: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+87 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 116,9022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $41,9782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 24.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Martin County, NC · similarity 0.97
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Robeson CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Robeson County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +28.0% |
| 1896 | +17.5% |
| 1900 | +48.3% |
| 1904 | +39.6% |
| 1908 | +35.0% |
| 1912 | +72.5% |
| 1916 | +33.1% |
| 1920 | +47.2% |
| 1924 | +85.4% |
| 1928 | +26.2% |
| 1932 | +81.5% |
| 1936 | +86.7% |
| 1940 | +81.7% |
| 1944 | +73.4% |
| 1948 | +65.9% |
| 1952 | +38.6% |
| 1956 | +58.1% |
| 1960 | +52.9% |
| 1964 | +58.7% |
| 1968 | +19.4% |
| 1972 | −21.0% |
| 1976 | +61.4% |
| 1980 | +42.5% |
| 1984 | +8.2% |
| 1988 | +26.2% |
| 1992 | +38.1% |
| 1996 | +33.3% |
| 2000 | −20.5% |
| 2004 | +5.8% |
| 2008 | +13.8% |
| 2012 | +17.4% |
| 2016 | −4.3% |
| 2020 | −18.6% |
| 2024 | −27.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,728 | 29,647 | 46,770 | ||
| R | 19,020 | 27,806 | 47,188 | ||
| R | 19,016 | 20,762 | 40,858 | ||
| D | 24,988 | 17,510 | 42,946 | ||
| D | 23,058 | 17,433 | 40,834 | ||
| D | 17,868 | 15,909 | 33,871 | ||
| R | 11,721 | 17,834 | 29,747 | ||
| D | 17,361 | 8,146 | 27,671 | ||
| D | 19,378 | 7,777 | 30,474 | ||
| D | 16,988 | 9,908 | 27,000 | ||
| D | 15,257 | 12,947 | 28,291 | ||
| D | 17,618 | 6,982 | 25,030 | ||
| D | 20,695 | 4,907 | 25,699 | ||
| R | 7,391 | 11,362 | 18,941 | ||
| D | 8,248 | 4,526 | 19,215 | ||
| D | 13,796 | 3,591 | 17,387 | ||
| D | 11,623 | 3,580 | 15,203 | ||
| D | 10,516 | 2,785 | 13,301 | ||
| D | 9,311 | 4,127 | 13,438 | ||
| D | 7,056 | 1,036 | 9,133 | ||
| D | 7,278 | 1,118 | 8,396 | ||
| D | 9,251 | 931 | 10,182 | ||
| D | 10,280 | 732 | 11,012 | ||
| D | 7,860 | 783 | 8,687 | ||
| D | 4,730 | 2,767 | 7,497 | ||
| D | 4,064 | 314 | 4,392 | ||
| D | 6,183 | 2,220 | 8,403 | ||
| D | 2,894 | 1,453 | 4,347 | ||
| D | 2,706 | 154 | 3,520 | ||
| D | 2,698 | 1,300 | 3,998 | ||
| D | 2,274 | 982 | 3,262 | ||
| D | 3,280 | 1,144 | 4,424 | ||
| D | 3,457 | 2,429 | 5,889 | ||
| D | 2,312 | 1,117 | 4,271 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
17.2%
English
3.6%
Irish
1.9%
German
1.4%
Scottish
0.7%
African American
18.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$41,978
Robeson County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties.
Robeson County$41,978
North Carolina$72,388
United States$80,734
Robeson County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
27.2%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1836.6%
Working age (18–64)24.0%
Seniors (65+)22.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.7%
speak English only
Spanish8.7%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Other languages0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Robeson County is home to the Lumbee Tribe, the largest Indigenous group east of the Mississippi, alongside large Black and Hispanic communities — yet its 2024 presidential margin reached R+27.6, a dramatic rightward move from its once reliably competitive past.
The Democratic margin here once reached eighty-seven points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved nine points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.
A population of 116,902, a 24% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,978 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Martin County and Gates County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Robeson County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37155/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in North Carolina
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Frequently asked questions
How did Robeson County, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Robeson County, North Carolina voted Republican by 27.6 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 46,770 votes cast, 16,728 went Democratic and 29,647 went Republican.
What is Robeson County, North Carolina's political typology?
Akashic places Robeson County, North Carolina in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
When did Robeson County, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Robeson County, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Robeson County, North Carolina?
Robeson County, North Carolina has a population of 116,902 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Robeson County, North Carolina?
Median household income in Robeson County, North Carolina is $41,978 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Robeson County, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Robeson County, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.