Scotland County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
7 precincts · 14,626 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0404 | 1,113 | 1,571 | 16 | 2,700 | 41.2% | 58.2% | R+17.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -06-8906-89 | 688 | 1,543 | 15 | 2,246 | 30.6% | 68.7% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -0707 | 1,154 | 1,014 | 20 | 2,188 | 52.7% | 46.3% | D+6.4 |
| Precinct -0303 | 1,030 | 1,134 | 19 | 2,183 | 47.2% | 51.9% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -02-2502-25 | 986 | 1,114 | 20 | 2,120 | 46.5% | 52.5% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -01-1601-16 | 1,303 | 517 | 13 | 1,833 | 71.1% | 28.2% | D+42.9 |
| Precinct -05-1005-10 | 480 | 874 | 2 | 1,356 | 35.4% | 64.5% | R+29.1 |
Presidential margin, 1900–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1900 | +90.7% |
| 1904 | +81.7% |
| 1908 | +78.7% |
| 1912 | +88.9% |
| 1916 | +74.5% |
| 1920 | +69.6% |
| 1924 | +75.0% |
| 1928 | +49.9% |
| 1932 | +85.0% |
| 1936 | +82.0% |
| 1940 | +84.5% |
| 1944 | +77.3% |
| 1948 | +56.7% |
| 1952 | +29.4% |
| 1956 | +44.4% |
| 1960 | +48.0% |
| 1964 | +51.5% |
| 1968 | +8.9% |
| 1972 | −28.3% |
| 1976 | +39.1% |
| 1980 | +34.1% |
| 1984 | −0.6% |
| 1988 | +9.4% |
| 1992 | +23.5% |
| 1996 | +24.2% |
| 2000 | +20.1% |
| 2004 | +10.8% |
| 2008 | +15.1% |
| 2012 | +16.8% |
| 2016 | +7.6% |
| 2020 | −1.9% |
| 2024 | −6.9% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 45.8%4,359 | 51.8%4,922 | 9,511 |
| 2020 | R | 47.4%6,850 | 48.9%7,066 | 14,461 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Scotland County, NC registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 27-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 21,861 | 14,033 | 3,718 | 4,107 | 3 |
| 2012 | 23,118 | 14,305 | 3,634 | 5,151 | 28 |
| 2016 | 22,983 | 13,349 | 3,730 | 5,858 | 46 |
| 2020 | 22,084 | 11,231 | 4,247 | 6,508 | 98 |
| 2022 | 21,064 | 10,093 | 4,350 | 6,545 | 76 |
| 2024 | 22,821 | 9,605 | 5,050 | 7,988 | 178 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−258 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,730 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,293 in average income, against $52,611 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.0 on average — about the same lean as Scotland County, NC (R+6.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Robeson County, NC112R+27.6
- Richmond County, NC58R+20.9
- Cumberland County, NC57D+13.4
- Hoke County, NC48D+5.9
- Marlboro County, SC43D+2.4
- Moore County, NC30R+29.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Robeson County, NC113
- Cumberland County, NC77
- Richmond County, NC68
- Marlboro County, SC42
- Hoke County, NC30
- Mecklenburg County, NC24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +85 |
| 2012 | −257 |
| 2013 | −239 |
| 2014 | −363 |
| 2015 | −415 |
| 2016 | −59 |
| 2017 | −239 |
| 2018 | −438 |
| 2019 | +53 |
| 2021 | +71 |
| 2022 | +171 |
| 2023 | +101 |
| 2024 | +57 |
| 2025 | −258 |
Scotland County sits in North Carolina's Sandhills region with a population that is roughly 40% Black, making its electoral shifts a closely watched signal of rural coalition change in a perennial battleground state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.7 points in 1900 and a Republican high of 28.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.9 points.
A population of 33,590, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,730 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greensville County and Burke County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Scotland County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37165/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.