† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
10 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSouth Bend-ElkhartUnited States
German20.8%12.5%
English9.6%9.5%
Irish9.6%9.4%
American6.1%5.3%
Polish4.3%2.2%
Italian2.7%4.8%
French1.5%1.6%
Dutch1.4%—
Mexican7.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.8%1.8%
Honduran0.5%0.3%
Venezuelan0.3%—
Guatemalan0.2%0.5%
Salvadoran0.2%0.7%
African American†6.1%9.9%
African0.8%0.5%
Asian Indian0.3%1.4%
Chinese0.3%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
South Bend-Elkhart
United States
Median age
38.5
39.1
Age 18–24
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
South Bend-Elkhart
United States
Median household income
$68,750
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
South Bend-Elkhart
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
14.5%
22.3%
Spanish
7.6%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
4.4%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
South Bend-Elkhart
United States
Catholic
11.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
19.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
59.3%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.6%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−0.2%
1896
−6.2%
1900
−7.6%
1904
−21.4%
1908
−9.9%
1912
+17.1%
1916
−0.9%
1920
−27.9%
1924
−27.7%
1928
−27.8%
1932
+11.9%
1936
+11.1%
1940
−6.8%
1944
−11.3%
1948
−6.7%
1952
−18.9%
1956
−21.9%
1960
−12.0%
1964
+13.3%
1968
−13.6%
1972
−34.6%
1976
−14.0%
1980
−22.0%
1984
−27.8%
1988
−21.8%
1992
−7.5%
1996
−7.4%
2000
−17.5%
2004
−20.9%
2008
−0.1%
2012
−14.5%
2016
−21.8%
2020
−18.4%
2024
−21.5%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
38.2%Harris146,996
59.7%Trump229,734
1.0%Kennedy3,777 +17
R+21.5
R+3.1
R+20.0
384,825
All 20 candidates in 2024 · 18 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican59.7%229,734
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic38.2%146,996
Robert F KennedyIndependent1.0%3,777
Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%2,835
Peter SonskiIndependent0.2%690
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%285
Cornel WestIndependent0.0%177
Randall TerryIndependent0.0%141
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%130
Joseph KishoreIndependent0.0%43
Tom HoeflingIndependent0.0%5
Paij BoringIndependent0.0%3
Andre Ramon Mcneil SrIndependent0.0%2
Carol AsherIndependent0.0%1
Cherunda Lynn FoxIndependent0.0%1
Doug JenkinsIndependent0.0%1
Nala Baozun Scott Johnson Jr.Nonpartisan0.0%1
Shondra IrvingIndependent0.0%1
Susan Maude BuchserIndependent0.0%1
William Cody NalbachIndependent0.0%1
R
39.9%Biden155,396
58.3%Trump227,213
1.9%
R+18.4
D+3.4
R+22.9
389,822
R
36.1%Clinton128,644
57.9%Trump206,188
6.0%
R+21.8
R+7.3
R+23.9
356,118
R
41.9%Obama148,141
56.3%Romney199,294
1.8%
R+14.5
R+14.3
R+18.3
353,841
R
49.3%Obama184,306
49.4%McCain184,754
1.2%
R+0.1
D+20.7
R+7.4
373,700
R
39.2%Kerry135,423
60.0%Bush207,571
0.8%
R+20.9
R+3.3
R+18.4
345,798
R
40.1%Gore124,139
57.7%Bush178,378
2.2%
R+17.5
R+10.2
R+18.1
309,335
R
40.8%Clinton118,299
48.2%Dole139,688
11.1%
R+7.4
D+0.1
R+15.9
290,049
R
36.2%Clinton115,259
43.7%Bush139,102
20.1%
R+7.5
D+14.3
R+13.0
318,442
R
38.9%Dukakis113,627
60.7%Bush177,417
0.4%
R+21.8
D+5.9
R+14.1
292,324
R
35.8%Mondale108,516
63.6%Reagan192,592
0.6%
R+27.8
R+5.8
R+9.5
302,941
R
35.4%Carter109,698
57.4%Reagan177,862
7.2%
R+22.0
R+8.0
R+12.3
309,925
R
42.4%Carter127,384
56.4%Ford169,488
1.2%
R+14.0
D+20.6
R+16.1
300,353
R
32.2%McGovern95,114
66.8%Nixon197,471
1.0%
R+34.6
R+21.0
R+11.5
295,484
R
37.3%Humphrey108,776
50.9%Nixon148,498
11.7%
R+13.6
R+26.9
R+12.9
291,493
D
56.4%Johnson162,559
43.1%Goldwater124,300
0.5%
D+13.3
D+25.3
R+9.3
288,380
R
43.8%Kennedy133,924
55.8%Nixon170,654
0.5%
R+12.0
D+9.9
R+12.2
306,095
R
38.8%Stevenson110,393
60.7%Eisenhower172,745
0.5%
R+21.9
R+3.0
R+6.5
284,541
R
39.9%Stevenson108,995
58.9%Eisenhower160,706
1.2%
R+18.9
R+12.3
R+8.2
272,983
R
45.6%Truman102,958
52.3%Dewey118,003
2.1%
R+6.7
D+4.6
R+11.1
225,647
R
43.9%Roosevelt99,602
55.1%Dewey125,205
1.0%
R+11.3
R+4.5
R+18.8
227,031
R
46.3%Roosevelt104,102
53.1%Willkie119,350
0.6%
R+6.8
R+17.8
R+16.7
224,884
D
54.4%Roosevelt110,641
43.3%Landon88,141
2.3%
D+11.1
R+0.8
R+13.2
203,528
D
54.6%Roosevelt106,155
42.7%Hoover83,070
2.7%
D+11.9
D+39.7
R+5.9
194,420
R
35.8%Smith62,218
63.6%Hoover110,510
0.6%
R+27.8
R+0.1
R+10.3
173,832
R
31.7%Davis43,537
59.4%Coolidge81,572
8.8%
R+27.7
D+0.2
R+2.5
137,223
R
33.7%Cox42,717
61.6%Harding78,145
4.7%
R+27.9
R+27.0
R+1.8
126,801
R
46.8%Wilson37,284
47.8%Hughes38,027
5.4%
R+0.9
R+18.0
R+4.1
79,604
O
38.4%Wilson27,381
21.4%Taft15,223
40.2%
Roosevelt +1.8
D+27.0
R+2.5
71,296
R
42.6%Bryan34,873
52.5%Taft42,998
5.0%
R+9.9
D+11.5
R+0.4
81,939
R
36.4%Parker27,601
57.8%Roosevelt43,831
5.7%
R+21.4
R+13.8
R+1.8
75,774
R
44.8%Bryan33,410
52.4%McKinley39,061
2.8%
R+7.6
R+1.4
±0.0
74,583
R
46.0%Bryan33,249
52.2%McKinley37,699
1.7%
R+6.2
R+5.9
R+0.1
72,209
R
47.2%Cleveland28,964
47.4%Harrison29,106
5.4%
R+0.2
—
R+1.9
61,375
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in South Bend-Elkhart
Year
Total registered
2016
658,893
2018
611,364
2020
637,635
2022
641,016
2024
657,983
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,819 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −40,883 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in South Bend-Elkhart in South Bend-Elkhart: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−3,793
2012
−4,494
2013
−2,905
2014
−1,748
2015
−3,296
2016
−3,046
2017
−3,067
2018
−1,903
2019
−3,235
2021
−2,593
2022
−1,677
2023
−3,611
2024
−3,696
2025
−1,819
The South Bend-Elkhart market pairs a mid-sized university city that has trended competitive in recent cycles with Elkhart County's RV-industry workforce, one of Indiana's most reliably wide-margin Republican geographies.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.5 points.
A population of 908,629, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,750 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Champaign & Springfield-Decatur and Fort Wayne.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
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South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/588/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana voted Republican by 21.5 points (R+21.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 384,825 votes cast, 146,996 went Democratic and 229,734 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana has a population of 908,629 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana is $68,750 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.
