state house districtNew Hampshire State House District Carroll 3
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+9.2
2008D+3.1
2012R+4.9
2016R+10.9
2020R+2.3
2024R+5.1
net swing · 2004→2024D+4.1R+9.2 → R+5.1
vs. U.S. · 2024R+3.6R+5.1 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 85.3% of 8,811 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
3,545
3,928
41
7,514
8,811
85.3%
2020
3,430
3,595
92
7,117
8,140†
87.4%
2016
2,608
3,303
440
6,351
7,770†
81.7%
2012
2,841
3,138
89
6,068
7,671†
79.1%
2008
3,113
2,926
88
6,127
7,580†
80.8%
2004
2,652
3,200
97
5,949
7,489†
79.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNH HD 03New HampshireUnited States
English26.4%18.3%9.5%
Irish20.5%20.6%9.4%
German10.4%8.6%12.5%
Italian9.1%9.8%4.8%
French7.5%10.5%1.6%
Scottish7.3%2.1%1.3%
French Canadian6.0%7.2%—
American4.0%4.2%5.3%
Puerto Rican1.2%1.4%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NH HD 03
New Hampshire
United States
Median age
52.9
43.5
39.1
Age 18–24
5.8%
8.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
30.9%
20.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NH HD 03
New Hampshire
United States
Median household income
$91,549
$99,031
$84,427
Poverty rate
4.6%
7.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.6%
40.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NH HD 03
New Hampshire
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.8%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
1.5%
2.6%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
NH HD 03
New Hampshire
United States
Catholic
—
16.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
4.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
72.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−9.2%
2008
+3.1%
2012
−4.9%
2016
−10.9%
2020
−2.3%
2024
−5.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
47.2%Harris3,545
52.3%Trump3,928
0.5%
R+5.1
R+2.8
R+3.6
7,514
R
48.2%Biden3,430
50.5%Trump3,595
1.3%
R+2.3
D+8.6
R+6.8
7,117
R
41.1%Clinton2,608
52.0%Trump3,303
6.9%
R+10.9
R+6.0
R+13.0
6,351
R
46.8%Obama2,841
51.7%Romney3,138
1.5%
R+4.9
R+7.9
R+8.7
6,068
D
50.8%Obama3,113
47.8%McCain2,926
1.4%
D+3.1
D+12.3
R+4.2
6,127
R
44.6%Kerry2,652
53.8%Bush3,200
1.6%
R+9.2
—
R+6.8
5,949
current representation
Current officeholders
RJoe HamblenState House · Carroll 3
RKarel CrawfordState House · Carroll 3
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Carroll 03 covers a slice of New Hampshire's Lakes Region with a population just over 10,000, and its R+5.1 margin in 2024 reflects the modest Republican lean typical of rural Granite State districts outside the urban cores.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 10.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.1 points.
A population of 10,295, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $91,549 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Carroll 04 and State House District Carroll 06.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3 voted Republican by 5.1 points (R+5.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,514 votes cast, 3,545 went Democratic and 3,928 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3 last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3 voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3?
New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3 has a population of 10,295 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3 is $91,549 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 3 from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
