New Hampshire State House District Carroll 4
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −11.7% |
| 2008 | −1.7% |
| 2012 | −9.3% |
| 2016 | −21.4% |
| 2020 | −14.8% |
| 2024 | −20.8% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 39.2%Harris2,597 | 60.0%Trump3,976 | 0.8% | R+20.8 | R+6.0 | R+19.3 | 6,623 | |
| R | 41.9%Biden2,575 | 56.7%Trump3,482 | 1.4% | R+14.8 | D+6.6 | R+19.2 | 6,140 | |
| R | 36.1%Clinton1,928 | 57.4%Trump3,069 | 6.5% | R+21.4 | R+12.1 | R+23.4 | 5,344 | |
| R | 44.6%Obama2,222 | 53.9%Romney2,685 | 1.5% | R+9.3 | R+7.6 | R+13.2 | 4,980 | |
| R | 48.2%Obama2,499 | 49.9%McCain2,589 | 1.9% | R+1.7 | D+9.9 | R+9.0 | 5,185 | |
| R | 43.5%Kerry2,137 | 55.2%Bush2,710 | 1.3% | R+11.7 | — | R+9.2 | 4,912 |
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Carroll 04 covers a lightly populated stretch of New Hampshire's Lakes and White Mountain region, where the 2024 presidential contest broke R+20.8 — among the wider margins in a state that itself has grown increasingly competitive statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 21.4 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.8 points.
A population of 9,741, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,128 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Carroll 05 and State House District Carroll 03.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Carroll 4. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33104/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.